Germany vs Ukraine predictions for this international friendly fixture. Germany face Ukraine in their first pre-Euro 2024 friendly on Monday evening at the Max-Morlock-Stadion. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Friendlies | Jun 3, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at Max-Morlock-Stadion
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Germany vs Ukraine Predictions
Germany vs Ukraine: Tactical Insights and Key Predictions for the Friendly Clash
Key Stats
– Germany have conceded in 11 of their last 12 matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
– Ukraine have scored in nine of their last ten games, showing consistent offensive capability.
– Germany have averaged 23 total shots per game in their recent matches, underlining their attacking strength.
Germany commence their pre-Euro 2024 preparations with a friendly against Ukraine at the Max-Morlock-Stadion on Monday evening. As both teams look to sharpen their squads ahead of the summer tournament, this match offers a significant test, particularly for hosts Germany who are aiming to rectify their shortcomings from Euro 2020 and display their capabilities on home soil.
Match Preview
Germany enter the tournament as one of the hosts, placing them under immense pressure to perform and deliver results. Their Euro 2020 campaign ended in disappointment with a round of 16 exit, a far cry from their expectations. The team, managed by Julian Nagelsmann, seeks to improve on that showing and add to their storied history in the competition. They last triumphed in the European Championship in 1996, and have since reached the final in 2008 and the semi-finals in 2012 and 2016.
Germany’s preparations include two friendlies against strong European sides, starting with Ukraine and followed by Greece. These matches are crucial for integrating both experienced players and emerging talents. Ukraine, having secured their place at Euro 2024 through a playoff win over Iceland, represent a formidable challenge. The Blue and Yellows have consistently participated in recent European Championships and are aiming to build on their quarter-final appearance in Euro 2020.
Team News
Germany will be without key players such as Antonio Rudiger, Nico Schlotterbeck, Toni Kroos, and Niclas Fullkrug due to their involvement in the Champions League final. Additionally, Marc-Andre ter Stegen will not be available until after this match. Despite these absences, Nagelsmann is expected to field a strong side, with Ilkay Gundogan, Leroy Sane, and Kai Havertz likely to start. Joshua Kimmich, Jamal Musiala, and Florian Wirtz are also set to feature prominently, while Maximilian Mittelstadt may earn his third cap at left-back.
For Ukraine, Real Madrid’s Andriy Lunin is absent following his club’s recent Champions League triumph. However, the squad remains strong with Arsenal’s Oleksandr Zinchenko and Chelsea’s Mykhaylo Mudryk expected to play key roles. Girona’s Artem Dovbyk and Viktor Tsyhankov, both in excellent form, are also anticipated to start.
Expected Lineups
Germany: Neuer; Kimmich, Tah, Koch, Mittelstadt; Gundogan, Andrich; Sane, Musiala, Wirtz; Havertz
Ukraine: Bushchan; Konoplya, Zabarnyi, Matviyenko, Mykolenko; Malinovskyi, Zinchenko, Sudakov; Tsyhankov, Dovbyk, Mudryk
Tactical Analysis and Gameplay Predictions
Germany’s tactical approach under Nagelsmann is expected to focus on high possession and dynamic attacking play, utilising their strong midfield to control the game. Kimmich’s role will be pivotal in both defending and orchestrating attacks, while Musiala and Wirtz will aim to create opportunities through their creativity and pace.
Ukraine, known for their resilience and tactical discipline, will likely adopt a compact defensive structure, aiming to exploit spaces through quick transitions and counter-attacks. Zinchenko’s versatility and ability to drive forward from midfield will be crucial, while Mudryk’s speed on the flanks will be a significant threat.
Key Player Duels
- Joshua Kimmich vs. Oleksandr Zinchenko: This midfield battle will be central to the game’s outcome. Kimmich’s defensive solidity and passing range will be up against Zinchenko’s creativity and forward runs.
- Kai Havertz vs. Illia Zabarnyi: Havertz’s movement and finishing will challenge Ukraine’s defence, particularly young defender Zabarnyi, who will need to be at his best to contain the German forward.
Expected Goals Averages
Germany’s recent matches have seen them score an average of 2 goals per game, while conceding 1.7 goals per match, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities despite their offensive strength. Ukraine, on the other hand, have scored 1.5 goals per game in their qualifiers, showing a balanced attack. They have also conceded an average of 1 goal per match, indicating a solid, yet occasionally penetrable defence.
Betting Angles and Predictions
Based on the available data, the following predictions are made for this match:
Best Bet: Germany and Both Teams to Score
Given Germany’s potent attack and defensive inconsistencies, coupled with Ukraine’s ability to find the net in most games, betting on Germany to win with both teams scoring seems logical. Germany’s recent performances against strong teams like France and the Netherlands show their attacking prowess, while Ukraine’s scoring form indicates they can breach the German defence.
Correct Score Prediction: Germany 3-1 Ukraine
A 3-1 scoreline aligns with Germany’s offensive capabilities and defensive issues. This prediction considers Germany’s expected dominance in possession and their ability to create numerous scoring opportunities, alongside Ukraine’s potential to score on the counter-attack.
Goalscorer Prediction: Kai Havertz to Score Anytime
Havertz, leading the German attack in the absence of Fullkrug, is expected to be a key figure. His ability to find space and finish clinically makes him a prime candidate to score during the match, especially against a Ukrainian defence that can be vulnerable to high-quality forwards.
Corner Prediction: Germany to Get More Corners
Germany’s attacking style, which involves sustained pressure and frequent incursions into the opponent’s half, will likely result in a high number of corners. Ukraine’s defensive approach will further contribute to Germany earning more corners as they seek to repel German advances.
Shot on Target Prediction: Leroy Sane to Have 1 or More Shots on Target
Sane’s role in the German attack, coupled with his ability to cut inside and shoot from distance, makes him a strong candidate to register at least one shot on target. His speed and dribbling skills often create shooting opportunities, making this a realistic bet.
Yellow Card Prediction: Ruslan Malinovskyi to Get a Yellow Card
Given his role in breaking up play and his aggressive tackling style, Malinovskyi is a likely candidate to receive a yellow card. His defensive duties against a dominant German midfield increase the chances of him committing fouls.
Assist Prediction: Joshua Kimmich to Provide an Assist
Kimmich’s vision and passing ability, combined with his deep-lying playmaker role, make him a prime candidate to provide an assist. His deliveries from set-pieces and open play are consistently dangerous, creating numerous scoring opportunities for his teammates.
Innovative Market: Total Team Shots on Target Over 6.5
Considering Germany’s offensive strategy and Ukraine’s expected defensive stance, betting on Germany to have over 6.5 shots on target is a compelling market. Germany’s ability to sustain pressure and create multiple shooting opportunities justifies this prediction.
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