Germany vs Portugal Predictions

Germany vs Portugal predictions ahead of Wednesday’s Nations League semi-final. Germany, once dominant, have struggled for major success since their 2014 World Cup triumph in Brazil, facing early tournament exits and inconsistent performances in recent international competitions. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

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GERMANY TO WIN & 3 OR MORE GOALS IN THE MATCH (90 MINS)
2/1 (was 7/4)
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UEFA Nations League | June 4 2025 at 8:00 pm UK at Allianz Arena

Germany vs Portugal Predictions

Can Portugal Upset the Odds or Will Germany’s Relentless Form Continue?
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  • Seventeen and Counting: Germany haven’t suffered a single defeat in their last 17 matches in regular time, showing remarkable consistency under pressure.
  • Portugal’s Travel Blues: Roberto Martinez’s side have failed to win any of their last three away games, which includes disappointing performances against Croatia and Scotland.
  • Dominant in Duels: Germany have won each of their last five meetings with Portugal, scoring 15 goals and conceding just five in the process.

Best Bet for Germany vs Portugal 

PSG to Win & Under 2.5 Goals
14/5 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Botafogo will aim to keep it tight, but PSG’s class should eventually shine through. This looks like a controlled French win—convincing without being a spectacle, and ideal for our bet.

All eyes will be locked on the Allianz Arena in Munich as Germany and Portugal face off in a massive UEFA Nations League semi-final that promises fireworks—and not the kind you buy in a petrol station car park. Germany, who’ve rediscovered their swagger after years of wandering in the international wilderness, are coming into this clash as clear front-runners. But Portugal, though inconsistent lately, still carry enough star power to cause some real drama. Let’s not pretend this is just another semi-final. There’s pride, pressure, and probably a few egos on the line too.

Germany have quietly stitched together a run that would make even the most sceptical fan raise an eyebrow. They’ve gone 17 games without a loss in regular time, and even when the going got rough, they’ve managed to keep their cool. That 5-4 aggregate over Italy was chaotic, yes, but it also masked just how superior they were across the two legs. There’s structure, there’s pace, and finally, there seems to be a plan—something they’ve lacked in recent years.

Meanwhile, Portugal’s journey to this stage has been… well, patchy at best. There’s quality in the squad, but the engine stutters a bit too often, especially away from home. Drawing blanks in away matches against the likes of Scotland and Croatia is hardly the kind of form that strikes fear into a German crowd. With the stakes now sky-high, the question is: can they raise their game just in time, or will they once again fall at the quarter-final-esque hurdle?

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Best Bet for Germany v Portugal: Germany to Win

At BettingTips4You, we aren’t here to throw ten different bets at you and hope one sticks like spaghetti on a wall. We focus on one, decisive prediction per game. For this monster semi-final? Germany to win is our chosen bet, and here’s why it deserves your backing.

Germany are simply in a different rhythm at the moment. Yes, the draw against Italy last time was messy, but the broader context can’t be ignored—they haven’t lost in 17 matches inside regular time. That kind of consistency doesn’t happen by accident. Four wins in their last five at home further reinforces how dangerous they’ve become on their own patch. And let’s not forget they dismantled Bosnia 7-0 just a few matches ago—an absurd scoreline, even if Bosnia didn’t exactly bring their A-game.

More importantly, the team isn’t just grinding out results; they’re scoring goals, creating space, and dominating the midfield. Florian Wirtz and Leroy Sane have injected directness into their play, while Joshua Kimmich keeps the whole machine ticking over. With Marc-André ter Stegen confirmed as the man between the sticks, stability at the back is virtually guaranteed.

Contrast that with Portugal, who’ve struggled to assert themselves away from home. No wins in their last three road trips against teams that aren’t even close to Germany in terms of depth and cohesion. Even when they scraped past Denmark at home, it didn’t exactly scream dominance. And while Cristiano Ronaldo might still carry star power, there’s a reason the manager wasn’t eager to guarantee him a starting role. That alone raises questions about the unity and clarity within the Portuguese setup.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote:

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“Germany are ticking all the right boxes—form, fitness, home advantage, and squad balance. Portugal have flashes, but in Munich, that won’t be enough.” – Wolfgang Shotten

Germany’s superiority in recent head-to-head clashes only strengthens the case. Five wins on the bounce, with a combined 15-5 goal difference, is not the sort of stat you ignore going into a semi-final. They’ve got the psychological edge, the form, and a coach who genuinely seems to know what he’s doing—for a change.

Predicted Score: Germany 2-0 Portugal

This one might not be a goal-fest, but it feels like the kind of match Germany will control from start to finish. Expect them to strike once in each half, then calmly shut the door as Portugal chase shadows.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!