Germany vs Netherlands Predictions

Germany vs Netherlands Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in the Nations League. The next installment of the rivalry between Germany and Netherlands takes place in Munich in the UEFA Nations League on Monday night. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

Nations League | League A | Oct 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Allianz Arena

Germany vs Netherlands Predictions

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Will Germany Outclass the Netherlands Without Their Defensive Rock?

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William hill
PEDRO NETO OVER 2 SHOTS ON TARGET
4/1 (was 7/2)
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  • Germany’s attacking efficiency: Germany have scored nine goals in just three Nations League games, averaging three goals per game, with a 63% ball possession rate.
  • Undav’s hot streak: Deniz Undav has netted eight goals in eight games, including two in the reverse fixture against the Netherlands. He’s also been involved in almost every key attacking play for Germany recently.
  • Dutch defensive frailty: The Netherlands have conceded five goals in their last three Nations League games, and without Van Dijk, they’ve shown vulnerabilities, especially on set-pieces and through balls.

Our Tips

Watford to Win
4/6 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Both teams to score is a strong bet, given Chelsea's potent attack and defensive lapses, while Panathinaikos are resilient at home. Chelsea's firepower should overwhelm, but Panathinaikos can exploit Chelsea's defensive vulnerabilities.
Watford 2-1
10/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 2-1 win for Watford is predicted, with Swansea’s improving attack likely to score at home. However, Watford’s offensive edge, led by Bayo and Ince, should ultimately secure them victory.

With both Germany and the Netherlands undefeated in this year’s UEFA Nations League campaign, the upcoming clash in Munich promises to be a thriller. As these two fierce rivals square off once again, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Germany are currently top of Group A3, and a win would solidify their lead with just two games remaining. Meanwhile, the Netherlands are eager to close the gap and potentially leapfrog their neighbours to the summit. However, they’ll face this challenge without several key players, including their suspended captain, Virgil van Dijk.

Germany come into this fixture brimming with confidence after a 2-1 win over Bosnia on Friday night, while the Dutch were left to rue a missed opportunity after being held to a 1-1 draw by Hungary. Both sides will be desperate to gain the upper hand in this crucial encounter, but Germany’s home advantage and the Netherlands’ injury woes could tip the scales in favour of the hosts. With emotions running high and the Allianz Arena set to host this intense battle, the match will undoubtedly be one to watch.

Best Bet: Germany to Win

When considering the form of both teams, it’s hard to look past Germany for the win here. While the Netherlands have been resilient, their recent draws against Hungary and Germany suggest they may struggle against higher-quality opposition. The absence of Van Dijk and a depleted defensive line-up further complicates matters for Ronald Koeman’s side.

Germany’s recent form has been solid, especially with their 2-1 victory over Bosnia. Despite some nervy moments towards the end of that match, they displayed enough attacking prowess to suggest they can break down a vulnerable Dutch defence. Deniz Undav has been in exceptional form, scoring twice in Bosnia and netting eight goals in eight games since their last meeting with the Netherlands. His presence upfront, coupled with support from Florian Wirtz and Serge Gnabry, provides a potent attacking trio that will likely cause significant problems for the Dutch defence.

The Dutch, on the other hand, have had issues converting their chances. Their form shows they can score—having netted eight times in three Nations League matches—but their defence has been far from convincing, conceding five goals in those games. With Van Dijk out and Matthijs de Ligt struggling for form since his move to Manchester United, it’s hard to see how they’ll keep the German attack at bay.

One area where Germany should thrive is ball possession and control in midfield. Their ability to retain possession, with an impressive 63% on average, means they can dominate proceedings. Joshua Kimmich’s precision in passing and his leadership in the middle of the park will likely dictate the tempo, forcing the Netherlands to defend for large periods.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten summarises: “With Germany’s clinical attack and the Netherlands’ defensive frailties, especially without their captain Van Dijk, backing a home win seems like the smart play here.”

Germany’s tactical nous under Nagelsmann, combined with their strong home record in the Nations League, only adds to the belief that they will secure all three points. The Netherlands, although brave, may not have enough to handle the relentless pressure from the hosts. Therefore, the best bet for this match is Germany to win, especially given the circumstances.

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Second Prediction: Deniz Undav to Score Anytime

It’s difficult to overlook Deniz Undav when thinking about potential goal scorers in this match. The Stuttgart striker has been in red-hot form, with eight goals in his last eight matches for club and country. He was instrumental in Germany’s victory over Bosnia, scoring twice, and his movement off the ball will be key in exploiting the gaps left by the Dutch defence, particularly with Van Dijk absent.

Undav has a knack for being in the right place at the right time, with all of his goals coming from inside the box this Nations League campaign. The Netherlands have conceded from crosses and set-pieces in recent matches, and with Undav’s poaching abilities, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him on the scoresheet once again.

Moreover, the Dutch defence, likely anchored by a shaky De Ligt, will be under immense pressure to cope with Germany’s attacking threat. If Undav is afforded even a yard of space, you can back him to capitalise.

Correct Score Prediction: Germany 3-1 Netherlands

Given the attacking form of both teams, it’s hard to see this game ending without a few goals. However, Germany have the upper hand and are expected to make the most of their home advantage. A 3-1 scoreline seems fitting, reflecting the likely flow of the game.

The Netherlands have shown they can score—having found the net in all their Nations League games so far—but their defensive vulnerabilities, compounded by key absences, leave them exposed. Expect the Dutch to snatch a goal, likely through one of their dynamic forwards like Xavi Simons or Cody Gakpo, but Germany’s firepower should prove too much in the end.

With Undav in lethal form, supported by the creativity of Wirtz and Gnabry, Germany should be able to breach the Dutch defence multiple times. A 3-1 victory fits well with the best bet of Germany to win, and it also mirrors the attacking intent both teams are likely to show.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!