Germany vs Italy Predictions

Germany vs Italy predictions for their clash in the Nations League. Germany are predicted to win with both teams scoring, given their attacking form and Italy’s need to chase the game, likely resulting in an open contest between two high-quality, goal-capable sides. Read on for our free match preview, betting tips and predictions.

Nations League | Mar 23, 2025 at 7:45pm UK at Signal-Iduna-Park

Germany vs Italy Predictions

Is Germany’s Momentum Too Strong or Can Italy Spoil the Party in Dortmund?

• Defensive doubts haunt Italy: The Azzurri have managed only one clean sheet across their last 11 competitive fixtures, repeatedly undone by poor organisation at the back.
• Germany don’t stop scoring: Die Mannschaft have found the net in each of their last 13 international outings, and they rarely look short of ideas in the final third.
• Italy rarely leave quietly: Both teams have scored in six of Italy’s seven Nations League matches this season, including all three of their group-stage away trips.

Best Bet for Germany vs Italy

If there’s one thing Germany never do, it’s panic. And after coming from behind in Milan to claim a gritty 2-1 win, they’ve returned home with the advantage, a spring in their step, and the scent of the UEFA Nations League semi-finals hanging thick in the air. Now the action moves to Dortmund, where Italy must find something special—or at least something coherent—if they’re to claw back the deficit and derail Julian Nagelsmann’s revival act.

The first leg was intense, dramatic and, let’s be honest, a little chaotic. Italy got off to the ideal start, scoring with their very first proper attack, and for a while it looked like they might hold out. But in classic German fashion, the tide turned quickly. Joshua Kimmich pulled the strings with cold-blooded precision, assisting both of the comeback goals. Substitute striker Tim Kleindienst made the impact his hairstyle demands—powerful header, no-nonsense celebration—before Leon Goretzka, back in from the cold, nodded in the winner. You’d think it was scripted, but Italy’s collapse had more to do with familiar defensive fragilities than any fairytale.

Germany now stand unbeaten in eight Nations League matches and, perhaps more significantly, they’ve scored in 13 consecutive internationals. They’ve been slowly building something under Nagelsmann—even with a laundry list of absentees—and this tie is theirs to lose. Italy, meanwhile, look like a team still searching for their own rhythm. A narrow lead given away, coupled with a previous home thrashing against France, leaves the Azzurri limping into Dortmund not just physically, but mentally.

Best Bet for Germany vs Italy: Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

At BettingTips4You, we don’t mess around with ten different markets hoping something sticks. We give you one pick per game—always the strongest angle. Our mission is clear: quality over quantity. And for this second leg showdown between two of Europe’s biggest footballing names, the Best Bet is Both Teams to Score.

Let’s start with the Italians. Their defence, once the bedrock of their identity, is currently softer than an overcooked gnocchi. They’ve managed just one clean sheet in their last eleven and continue to be exposed at set pieces, with the Germans happily taking full advantage of that on Thursday night. Without Mateo Retegui and possibly Riccardo Calafiori, Italy are being forced to juggle personnel in crucial positions. Alessandro Buongiorno is expected to step in, but whether he can deal with the movement of Germany’s fluid front line remains very much in question.

Despite those setbacks, Italy have still been effective going forward. Sandro Tonali, who has quietly been Italy’s best Nations League performer, once again showed his value with a clever run and finish to open the scoring in Milan. Raspadori and Kean bring energy, if not always precision, and Germany’s defence—while solid—did allow 13 shots in the first leg, six of them on target. So yes, Italy can absolutely find the net again.

But stopping Germany from doing the same? That’s the real issue. With Kimmich pulling the strings and Goretzka bursting forward with more confidence than ever, not to mention Kleindienst finding his groove in the final third, it’s difficult to see the hosts drawing a blank on home soil.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote:

“Germany have the tools to punish any defence, and Italy’s isn’t exactly watertight right now. But the Azzurri will throw everything at it—goals feel inevitable.” – Herrin Kendrick

With both teams needing something—Germany to kill the tie, Italy to rescue it—the stage is set for another game where neither side can afford to sit back. We’re tipping a 2-2 draw, with Germany going through thanks to their first-leg win. It might be nervy, it could even get a little messy, but there’s enough talent on both sides to ensure the scoreboard gets a workout.

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