Germany vs Hungary Predictions

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Germany vs Hungary predictions, betting tips and match previews ahead of their Euro 2024 Group A clash. Hosts Germany can seal Euro 2024 knockout stage qualification early with a win against Hungary in Wednesday’s Group A clash at MHPArena in Stuttgart. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Germany
Hungary

European Championship | Group Stage – Jun 19, 2024 at 5pm UK at Mercedes-Benz-Arena

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Germany vs Hungary Predictions

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Key Stats

– Germany have scored 10 goals in their last two matches, highlighting their offensive strength.

– Hungary have only lost two of their last 17 matches, showcasing their resilience despite recent setbacks.

– Kai Havertz has scored in each of Germany’s last two matches, making him a key player to watch.

Can Germany Maintain Their Dominant Run Against Resilient Hungary?

As Germany prepares to face Hungary in a crucial Euro 2024 Group A encounter at the MHPArena in Stuttgart, the stakes could not be higher. The hosts aim to seal their place in the knockout stages with a game to spare, having already displayed their formidable prowess in a record-breaking 5-1 demolition of Scotland. On the other hand, Hungary, coming off a 3-1 defeat to Switzerland, need to regroup and find their form if they hope to advance. This match promises to be a thrilling showdown, full of tactical nuances and individual battles that could decide the outcome.

Team Analysis

Germany’s Offensive Firepower

Germany’s attacking lineup is a well-oiled machine, capable of overwhelming any defence. In their opening match, they set a new tournament record with a five-goal haul, demonstrating both their depth and versatility. Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala were particularly impressive, showcasing their ability to break down defences with skill and precision. Kai Havertz, who converted a penalty, adds another layer of threat, while Niclas Fullkrug and Emre Can’s goals underline the squad’s scoring potential from all areas of the pitch.

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Hungary’s Resilience and Set-Piece Threat

Despite their defeat to Switzerland, Hungary showed moments of resilience and an ability to threaten from set-pieces. Dominik Szoboszlai, their young captain, remains a pivotal figure, providing creativity and leadership. The Magyars’ ability to score from crosses and set-pieces, as evidenced by Barnabas Varga’s goal against Switzerland, means Germany cannot afford any lapses in concentration.

Key Duels and Strategic Insights

Midfield Battle: GĂĽndogan vs. Szoboszlai

The midfield battle will be crucial, with Ilkay GĂĽndogan likely to face off against Szoboszlai. GĂĽndogan’s experience and vision are central to Germany’s control of the game, while Szoboszlai’s flair and creativity will be Hungary’s main outlet for launching counter-attacks. This duel could determine the flow of the match, with the victor gaining the upper hand in dictating play.

Defensive Challenges: Rudiger and Tah vs. Sallai and Varga

Germany’s defence, led by Antonio Rudiger and Jonathan Tah, must be vigilant against the Hungarian forwards, Roland Sallai and Barnabas Varga. Sallai, who plays in the Bundesliga, knows German defenders well and can exploit any gaps. Rudiger and Tah will need to maintain their focus, especially during set-pieces where Hungary have shown they can be dangerous.

Wing Play: Kimmich and Mittelstädt vs. Bolla and Kerkez

The flanks will be another area of intense competition. Joshua Kimmich and Maximilian Mittelstädt provide Germany with width and crossing ability, essential for breaking down a compact Hungarian defence. Conversely, Hungary’s wing-backs, Bendeguz Bolla and Milos Kerkez, will have to balance their defensive duties with supporting their attack.

Expected Gameplay and Tactical Approaches

Germany are likely to dominate possession, using their technical superiority and fluid movement to stretch the Hungarian defence. Julian Nagelsmann’s side will look to press high and win the ball back quickly, aiming to exploit any disorganisation in Hungary’s ranks.

Hungary, conversely, are expected to adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on solid defensive organisation and looking for opportunities to counter-attack. They will rely heavily on Szoboszlai’s vision to transition from defence to attack and aim to utilise set-pieces to their advantage.

Tactical Analysis: Deep-Dive

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Offensive and Defensive Strategies

Germany’s Offensive Brilliance

Germany’s offensive strategy against Scotland was nothing short of spectacular. Julian Nagelsmann’s men showcased a fluid attacking style, with Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala playing pivotal roles. Wirtz, who became the youngest German to score at the European Championships, and Musiala, with his exceptional dribbling and creativity, tore through the Scottish defence. Kai Havertz added to the onslaught with a clinical penalty, highlighting Germany’s multiple goal-scoring threats.

Defensively, however, Germany showed vulnerabilities. Antonio Rudiger’s own goal extended Germany’s streak without a clean sheet in major tournaments to 13 matches. While the attacking prowess overshadowed these defensive lapses against Scotland, it is an area that requires improvement. The defence, comprising Rudiger and Jonathan Tah, will need to be more cohesive to prevent conceding against stronger opposition.

Hungary’s Defensive Resilience and Set-Piece Threats

Hungary, under Marco Rossi, displayed a contrasting approach. Their game against Switzerland highlighted a reliance on defensive resilience and set-piece opportunities. Despite the 3-1 loss, Hungary managed to create chances from set-pieces, with Dominik Szoboszlai providing the assist for Barnabas Varga’s goal. Szoboszlai’s creativity and leadership are central to Hungary’s strategy, particularly in exploiting set-piece situations.

Defensively, Hungary struggled against Switzerland’s dynamic attack, exposing vulnerabilities that Germany will look to exploit. The backline, led by Willi Orban and Attila Szalai, must tighten up to withstand Germany’s relentless pressure. Rossi’s strategy will likely focus on a compact defensive shape, relying on quick transitions and set-pieces to pose a threat.

Key Player Performances

Germany’s Standouts

Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala were Germany’s standout performers against Scotland. Wirtz’s goal and overall playmaking abilities were instrumental in Germany’s attacking fluidity. Musiala’s skill in navigating tight spaces and creating chances made him a constant threat. Kai Havertz, with his goal and involvement in build-up play, demonstrated his importance in Germany’s forward line.

In midfield, Ilkay GĂĽndogan’s experience and vision provided stability and creativity, while Robert Andrich’s physical presence helped in breaking up opposition play. Defensively, Rudiger and Tah will need to step up to ensure Germany maintains a solid backline.

Hungary’s Key Figures

Dominik Szoboszlai was Hungary’s key player against Switzerland, providing an assist and showcasing his playmaking abilities. Roland Sallai, who plays in the Bundesliga, also stood out with his attacking runs and efforts on goal. Barnabas Varga’s goal highlighted Hungary’s set-piece threat, an area they will look to exploit against Germany.

Defensively, Willi Orban and Attila Szalai must lead by example to shore up Hungary’s backline. Goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi will be crucial in keeping Hungary in the game with his shot-stopping abilities.

Impact of Management

Julian Nagelsmann’s Influence

Julian Nagelsmann’s management style has brought a blend of youthful exuberance and tactical acumen to the German side. His ability to integrate young talents like Wirtz and Musiala into the squad has paid dividends. Nagelsmann’s emphasis on high pressing and fluid attacking play was evident in the match against Scotland. However, his challenge remains in addressing the defensive frailties that have persisted.

Marco Rossi’s Tactical Approach

Marco Rossi’s tactical approach with Hungary revolves around defensive solidity and exploiting set-pieces. While this strategy has brought success in the past, such as their draw against Germany in Euro 2020 and their win in the Nations League, it has its limitations. Rossi must find a balance between defence and attack, particularly against a high-scoring team like Germany.

Expected Goals Analysis

Germany’s expected goals (xG) metric against Scotland was significantly high, reflecting their dominance and efficiency in creating high-quality chances. Players like Wirtz and Musiala, with their ability to penetrate defences, contribute to Germany’s high xG. Conversely, Hungary’s xG against Switzerland indicated their reliance on set-pieces and moments of individual brilliance from players like Szoboszlai.

For the upcoming match, Germany’s xG is expected to remain high due to their attacking depth and Hungary’s defensive vulnerabilities. Hungary’s xG will likely depend on their set-piece opportunities and counter-attacks, where they have shown potential to score.

Comparative Analysis

Tactics and Player Performances

Germany’s tactics under Nagelsmann emphasise high pressing, quick transitions, and a versatile attacking approach. Players like Musiala and Wirtz thrive in this system, providing creativity and scoring opportunities. Hungary, under Rossi, focus on defensive organisation and set-piece efficiency. Szoboszlai’s creativity and Varga’s finishing are pivotal in this strategy.

In terms of overall success, Germany’s recent form and attacking prowess give them the edge. Hungary’s resilience and set-piece threat make them a dangerous opponent, but their defensive lapses could be their undoing against Germany’s relentless attack.

Suggestions for Improvement

Germany

To improve, Germany must address their defensive vulnerabilities. Ensuring better coordination and communication among the backline is crucial. Rudiger and Tah must be more disciplined and focused to prevent unnecessary goals. Additionally, maintaining their attacking intensity while balancing defensive duties will be key.

Hungary

Hungary need to enhance their defensive solidity, particularly against high-calibre opponents like Germany. Orban and Szalai must lead a more cohesive and disciplined defence. Offensively, Hungary should aim to diversify their attack beyond set-pieces, utilising players like Szoboszlai and Sallai more effectively in open play.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Germany’s Strengths and Weaknesses

Germany’s strength lies in their attacking depth and versatility, with multiple players capable of scoring and creating chances. However, their weakness is a leaky defence that has struggled to keep clean sheets in major tournaments. Nagelsmann’s focus on attack sometimes leaves them exposed at the back, a vulnerability Hungary could exploit.

Hungary’s Strengths and Weaknesses

Hungary’s strength is their defensive resilience and set-piece prowess. Szoboszlai’s creativity and leadership add another dimension to their play. However, their primary weakness is a lack of attacking diversity and defensive lapses against stronger teams. Rossi’s conservative approach can sometimes limit their offensive potential, making them overly reliant on set-pieces.

Managerial Critique

Julian Nagelsmann’s innovative and aggressive style has transformed Germany into an attacking force. However, his approach sometimes neglects defensive stability, a critical aspect at this level. Marco Rossi, on the other hand, has built a solid defensive foundation for Hungary but often fails to adapt his tactics to exploit attacking opportunities, making Hungary predictable and limited in their offensive play. Rossi’s overly cautious approach could be criticised for stifling Hungary’s potential, especially when facing top-tier teams.

Predictions

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Germany to Win and Both Teams to Score

The expectation for Germany to triumph while both teams find the net stems from a few key factors. Germany’s attack is in scintillating form, as evidenced by their emphatic 5-1 victory over Scotland. With talents like Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala, and Kai Havertz, they are well-equipped to breach any defence.

However, Germany’s defensive record is less convincing, having conceded in their last 13 major tournament matches, including an own goal against Scotland. Hungary, despite their 3-1 loss to Switzerland, showed they could create chances and score, particularly through set-pieces. With players like Dominik Szoboszlai providing creative spark, Hungary are likely to score, making this a compelling bet.

Correct Score Prediction: Germany 4-1 Hungary

Aligning with the prediction of a German victory and both teams scoring, a 4-1 scoreline appears plausible. Germany’s attacking depth should see them score multiple times. Players like Havertz and Musiala are in excellent form, and their creativity, combined with Hungary’s defensive vulnerabilities, should lead to a high-scoring affair.

Hungary’s ability to score, primarily from set-pieces, suggests they will not be entirely shut out. A goal from a set-piece or a moment of individual brilliance from Szoboszlai could see them getting on the scoresheet, but Germany’s overall quality should result in a comfortable win.

Goalscorer Prediction: Kai Havertz

Kai Havertz stands out as a prime candidate to score in this match. He was on the scoresheet against Scotland, and his role as a forward and potential penalty taker increases his scoring opportunities.

Havertz’s positioning and ability to exploit defensive weaknesses will be crucial. Hungary’s defence struggled against Switzerland, and with the pace and creativity around him from Musiala and Wirtz, Havertz is likely to find himself in goal-scoring positions frequently. His composure and finishing ability make him a solid bet to score at least once in this fixture.

Corners Prediction: Germany to Win More Corners

Germany’s attacking style and dominance in possession should see them winning the corner count. They play with high intensity, frequently attacking down the wings, which often leads to corners.

Against Scotland, Germany demonstrated their ability to press and maintain pressure, resulting in several corners. Hungary, while defensively resilient, are likely to be pushed back for long periods, leading to more defensive clearances and consequently more corners for Germany. Expect the total number of corners to be around 8-10, with the majority in Germany’s favour due to their aggressive attacking approach.

Shots on Target Prediction: Jamal Musiala

Jamal Musiala is expected to be one of the most active players in terms of shots on target. His creativity and ability to take on defenders will likely see him in positions to shoot frequently.

Musiala’s dribbling skills and agility enable him to find space and test the goalkeeper. Given Hungary’s defensive lapses seen in their previous game, Musiala should have ample opportunities to get shots away. His recent performances suggest he is in good form, and his role in the attacking midfield will see him taking multiple shots, making him a good bet for having at least one or more shots on target.

Yellow Card Prediction: Robert Andrich

Robert Andrich is a strong candidate for receiving a yellow card in this match. Known for his aggressive playing style, Andrich’s role in breaking up play and his physicality often put him at risk of bookings.

He was booked in the match against Scotland, and with the intensity expected in midfield against Hungary, another booking seems likely. Hungary’s midfield, led by Szoboszlai, will test Germany’s defensive midfielders, and Andrich’s tendency to commit fouls to disrupt play makes him a prime candidate for a yellow card.

Assist Prediction: Ilkay GĂĽndogan

Ilkay GĂĽndogan is likely to provide an assist in this match due to his exceptional vision and passing ability. As a central figure in Germany’s midfield, GĂĽndogan is adept at linking play and creating opportunities.

His experience and ability to read the game allow him to deliver precise passes that can unlock defences. With attackers like Havertz, Musiala, and Wirtz making intelligent runs, GĂĽndogan is well-positioned to provide the final ball. His role in set-pieces also increases his chances of providing an assist, making him a strong contender in this market.

Innovative Market Prediction: Total Team Shots on Goal Over 15

An intriguing market to consider is the total number of team shots on goal. Germany’s attacking dominance and propensity to press their opponents suggest they will have numerous shooting opportunities. In their previous match, they demonstrated a relentless approach, which is likely to continue against Hungary.

The German side’s ability to create chances from various positions, combined with Hungary’s defensive weaknesses, indicates a high number of shots. Expect Germany to exceed 15 total shots on goal, reflecting their aggressive play style and the expected flow of the game.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!