Genoa vs Venezia Predictions

Genoa vs Venezia predictions for this Serie A clash. Genoa seek a third straight home Serie A win without conceding for the first time since 2010, while Venezia battle to ease relegation worries in this crucial gameweek 25 clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Serie A | Feb 17, 2025 at 7:45pm UK at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa vs Venezia Predictions

Can Genoa Extend Their Home Dominance Against Struggling Venezia?

• Genoa’s Home Resurgence – Vieira’s side have won their last two home league matches without conceding and could make it three for the first time since 2010.
• Venezia’s Defensive Woes on the Road – The visitors have let in 24 goals in just 12 away matches this season, the worst defensive record in the league.
• Pinamonti’s Influence – With seven goals, including three match-winning strikes, he remains Genoa’s biggest attacking threat and could be the difference again in this fixture.

Best Bet for Genoa vs Venezia

Monday’s Serie A fixture at the Luigi Ferraris sees Genoa aiming to continue their recent resurgence against a Venezia side desperately trying to escape the relegation zone. Patrick Vieira’s men have found form at home, picking up consecutive wins without conceding, and another victory here would mark the first time since 2010 that they have won three home league matches in a row without letting in a goal. Meanwhile, Venezia arrive in Liguria with history on their side, having not lost to Genoa in the league for 63 years, though their dreadful away record this season suggests that statistic might finally be under threat.

Genoa’s recent form at home has been impressive, particularly their disciplined defensive displays. They claimed a 1-0 win over Parma before easing past Torino 2-0, with their backline showing signs of real solidity. Vieira inherited a side that had gone seven home matches without victory, and while the early signs under his management were mixed, it now appears that the Rossoblu have turned a corner. Sitting in 12th place, they cannot break into the top half this week, but a win would see them leapfrog Torino into 11th after their defeat to Bologna.

Venezia’s plight is increasingly desperate, with the visitors five points adrift of safety and suffering from an inability to pick up points on the road. They have taken just four points from 12 away fixtures this season, losing eight and conceding a league-high 24 goals in those matches. The one glimmer of hope for Eusebio Di Francesco’s side is their recent 2-0 victory over Genoa in the reverse fixture, but with goal-scorer Joel Pohjanpalo having since departed for Palermo, the Lagunari will need someone else to step up if they are to stand any chance of taking points home from Liguria.

Best Bet for This Match

At BettingTips4You, we pride ourselves on delivering just one standout prediction per game, ensuring you don’t have to sift through multiple options. For this match, our best bet is Draw/Genoa Half-Time/Full-Time.

Why This Bet Makes Sense

The way this match is likely to unfold plays perfectly into this selection. Genoa’s recent victories at home have been built on patience and defensive resilience, rather than all-out attacking dominance. Their last two home wins—1-0 against Parma and 2-0 against Torino—both followed a pattern of keeping things tight early on before gradually asserting their superiority in the second half. Given Venezia’s struggles away from home, a similar scenario could play out here.

Venezia’s away performances have followed a consistent theme: they start games cautiously, often keeping things level early on, before eventually succumbing to pressure as the match progresses. They have conceded 24 goals on their travels, the worst defensive record in the league, but crucially, many of those goals have come in the second half. In contrast, they tend to keep things relatively compact in the first 45 minutes, which is why a half-time draw looks likely.

Genoa’s Andrea Pinamonti will be a key figure in attack. The seven-goal forward has netted three match-winning goals this season, and with Venezia leaking chances late in games, he could be the difference-maker. Another name to watch is Koni De Winter, who has impressively scored in back-to-back games from defence. If he finds the net again, he would become the first Genoa defender in over a decade to score in three consecutive Serie A matches.

Venezia’s attack, meanwhile, lacks a real focal point, especially after the departure of Pohjanpalo. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia has been their most productive player with four goals and two assists, but that return is hardly enough to strike fear into a Genoa defence that has looked far more composed in recent weeks. Their struggles in front of goal are evident—only Lecce and Como have scored fewer away goals this season—so even if they manage to keep things tight initially, breaking down Genoa’s disciplined backline over 90 minutes will be a significant challenge.

BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Pratesi says:
“Genoa have found a rhythm at home, and their recent performances suggest they’ll be patient before overpowering a fragile Venezia side. Expect a tight first half before Genoa assert their dominance after the break.”

Predicted Scoreline: Genoa 2-0 Venezia

Given how Venezia struggle to score on the road and Genoa’s solid defensive structure, a 2-0 win for the home side seems the most logical outcome. Vieira’s men will likely keep things measured early on before gradually wearing down their opponents in the second half. With Venezia failing to keep a clean sheet in 10 consecutive away league matches, Genoa should have enough to extend that miserable run and secure another vital three points.

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