Genoa vs Roma predictions for Thursday’s Serie A fixture. Things could be about to go from bad to worse for struggling Genoa who will face a Roma side in desperate need of a win after a slow start to their campaign. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Match Live Thursday, 28th September at 7:45 pm In:
Genoa vs Roma Predictions
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The Roman Dominance or the Genoese Revival?
Key Stats
– Paulo Dybala has scored nine goals in 13 appearances against Genoa.
– Genoa have the lowest possession share (34.8%) in Serie A this season.
In an exciting midweek clash, AS Roma travel to the Stadio Luigi Ferraris, targeting their second Serie A win this season and to preserve their historical supremacy over Genoa. Genoa, currently going through a rough phase, are desperately seeking their first home win after their return to the Serie A.
Roma’s recent form has been a mix of highs and lows. The ecstasy of two wins, which includes a 7-0 mauling of Empoli and a triumphant start in the Europa League, was dampened by their inability to secure three points against Torino. Their failure to protect the lead given by Lukaku’s third goal in consecutive matches, allowed Zapata to equalise, making it a sombre affair for Mourinho’s troops. Thus, it’s imperative for Roma to maximise their points in the upcoming fixtures, especially considering their ensuing European commitments.
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For Genoa, the transition back to Serie A has been less than ideal. Their struggles were evident when they succumbed to Fiorentina and let go of a 2-goal advantage against Napoli. The statistics don’t paint a rosy picture either, with the lowest possession share and fewest shots in Italy’s top flight. The alarms are ringing, and Gilardino’s men have to turn the tide to stave off another potential relegation.
Team News & Key Players:
For Roma, Lorenzo Pellegrini is set to make a return, though perhaps initially from the bench. Yet, the Giallorossi have injury woes with Abraham, Kumbulla, Smalling, and Sanches all sidelined. Mourinho’s tactical inclination may see both Dybala and Lukaku leading the line. The latter has been prolific, while Dybala boasts a commendable record against Genoa, netting nine in 13 encounters.
On the other hand, Genoa could possibly introduce Milan’s loanee Junior Messias. However, Aaron Martin’s suspension means Johan Vazquez will fill in the left-back role. It’s worth noting that Dragusin, who has the highest clearances in the league, and Bani, will be central figures in Genoa’s defensive setup.
Expert Performance Analysis:
Genoa: For the 2023-24 season, based on the BettingTips4You Expert Rating, Davide Biraschi emerges as the standout player with an impressive rating of 7.60. Frendrup and Strootman trail closely, highlighting the backbone of Genoa’s team. However, the team has a subpar average rating of 6.73, which showcases their struggle.
Roma: As for Roma, their average rating of 7.01 signifies a better overall team performance. Cristante and forwards Belotti and Dybala are the pillars of this Roman side. Dybala and Lukaku have netted two goals each in the league, indicating the menace they pose upfront.
Predictions:
1. Match Outcome: Considering the past performances and the current form, Roma are the favourites. Genoa’s recent history with Roma, where they’ve been winless in 16 fixtures and Roma’s dominance in three consecutive away fixtures at Genoa, leans towards an AS Roma win.
2. Correct Score: Given the attacking prowess of Roma and Genoa’s vulnerability at the back, a 2-0 win for Roma seems probable.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: With Dybala’s past record against Genoa and Lukaku’s current form, either could find the net. Our bet is on Lukaku to score.
4. Corner Analysis: Roma’s attacking intent is evident from their 5.4 corners per game as opposed to Genoa’s 2. Predicting a combined total, over 7.5 corners in the match seems likely.
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