Genoa vs Fiorentina Predictions

Genoa vs Fiorentina predictions ahead of this Serie A clash. Genoa, with just one point from five games, face in-form Fiorentina on Thursday, aiming to end their poor Serie A run. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.

Serie A | Oct 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa vs Fiorentina Predictions

Will Genoa’s Struggles Continue Against High-Flying Fiorentina?

• Genoa’s Defensive Woes: Genoa have conceded 20 goals in Serie A this season, shipping two or more goals in six of their last seven matches.
• Fiorentina’s Scoring Streak: Fiorentina have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine matches across all competitions, showcasing their relentless attacking form.
• Kean’s Hot Streak: Moise Kean has been averaging a shot on target every 24 minutes across his last four appearances, underlining his importance to Fiorentina’s attack.

Our Tips

This Thursday’s Serie A clash between Genoa and Fiorentina at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris pits two teams on radically different paths. While Fiorentina are riding a five-game winning streak, scoring freely and pressing their claim as top-four contenders, Genoa are grappling with a nightmarish run, having secured just one point from their last five matches. It’s a meeting of opposites, with the visitors looking to continue their red-hot form and the hosts desperately trying to revive their dismal season.

With both teams coming off significant results—Genoa suffering a 3-0 loss to Lazio and Fiorentina dismantling Roma 5-1—the stage is set for a dramatic encounter. But will Genoa, with their backs against the wall, find a way to stop the free-flowing football of Fiorentina? Or are we looking at yet another bruising defeat for the Grifone?

Best Bet: Fiorentina to Win and Over 2.5 Goals

Fiorentina’s current form makes it hard to back anything other than an away win, especially when considering their relentless attacking output. In their last five matches, they have not only won every game but have also managed to rack up a staggering 19 goals, which equates to almost four goals per match. Genoa, on the other hand, are conceding goals at an alarming rate. With 20 goals allowed in just nine matches, their defence seems more porous than a sieve, and this could spell disaster against an attacking juggernaut like Fiorentina.

Why should you back Fiorentina and Over 2.5 goals? Simply put, the stats heavily favour this outcome. Fiorentina are averaging 2.2 goals per game in Serie A this season and have scored two or more in eight of their last nine matches. Meanwhile, Genoa have shipped two or more goals in six of their last seven outings, highlighting just how vulnerable they are at the back. Genoa’s inability to keep things tight defensively, combined with Fiorentina’s penchant for goal-fests, makes the combination of an away win and over 2.5 goals an attractive prospect.

Moreover, Genoa’s attack has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging a mere 0.8 goals per game this season. This lack of firepower suggests that they will be unable to match Fiorentina blow for blow, and should they concede early, their fragile confidence could lead to an avalanche of goals from the visitors. Fiorentina’s Moise Kean, who scored a brace against Roma, is in fine form and will be looking to add to his tally. His presence alone significantly boosts Fiorentina’s attacking threat, and he’s been averaging a shot on target every 24 minutes in recent appearances.

In the words of BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Pratesi, “Fiorentina are in red-hot form right now, and with Genoa’s defence leaking goals, backing the Viola to win with over 2.5 goals looks like a sure bet. Fiorentina have scored freely in recent weeks, and I don’t see this changing against a Genoa side struggling at both ends of the pitch.”

Correct Score Prediction: Genoa 1-3 Fiorentina

Taking all the available data into account, a correct score prediction of 3-1 in favour of Fiorentina seems plausible. Genoa’s defensive frailties, combined with Fiorentina’s attacking might, point towards another high-scoring game. The Viola’s recent results indicate that they are more than capable of netting multiple times, while Genoa, despite their struggles, could nick a goal at home, especially with Andrea Pinamonti leading the line. Pinamonti has a knack for scoring against Fiorentina, having done so three times with different clubs in Serie A.

While Genoa have been poor defensively, they do have a glimmer of hope in their top scorer Pinamonti, who has three goals to his name this season. The Grifone are likely to be chasing the game, and with Fiorentina potentially easing off the gas late on, Genoa could take advantage of a lapse in concentration to snatch a consolation goal. Nevertheless, it’s hard to see them keeping up with Fiorentina’s firepower, which is why a 3-1 scoreline feels appropriate. Genoa’s season continues to spiral, while Fiorentina look set to cruise once more.

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