Fulham vs Newcastle Predictions

Fulham vs Newcastle predictions for this FA Cup affair. Following their EFL Cup semi-final loss, Fulham aims for redemption in the FA Cup fourth round, hosting Newcastle United at Craven Cottage on Saturday. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Fulham
Newcastle

FA Cup | Fourth Round – Jan 27, 2024 at 7pm UK at Craven Cottage

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Fulham vs Newcastle Predictions

£10 Returns £26

Reason for tip: Predicting BTTS and a Manchester City win, noting Bournemouth's scoring consistency against City's occasional defensive lapses, yet City's tactical superiority likely ensures victory.

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£10 Returns £120

Reason for tip: Predicting a 1-3 win for Manchester City against Bournemouth, highlighting City's attacking strength with Haaland, Foden, and De Bruyne, despite Bournemouth's potential to score.

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£10 Returns £32

Reason for tip: Erling Haaland, with his prolific scoring and physical prowess, is likely to score against Bournemouth, especially with support from De Bruyne, crucial in City's title chase.

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A Tale of Grit and Glory: Fulham and Newcastle’s FA Cup Battle

Key Stats
– Fulham’s recent form shows only two wins in their last nine matches.
– Newcastle have scored seven goals in their first three matches of 2024.
– Both teams have scored in three of Newcastle’s last four matches.

As Fulham and Newcastle United prepare to square off in the FA Cup fourth round at Craven Cottage, the match presents a narrative of redemption, aspirations, and tactical intrigue. Fulham, reeling from their EFL Cup semi-final heartbreak, are set to face a Newcastle side buoyed by their recent FA Cup success against Sunderland.

Fulham: Seeking Redemption

Marco Silva’s Fulham showed remarkable resilience in their EFL Cup journey, only to fall short against Liverpool. The team’s spirit was epitomised in their narrow escape led by Harry Wilson and Issa Diop, but ultimately they missed out on a coveted final spot. Their FA Cup run has been less dramatic, with a solitary goal against Rotherham sufficient for progress. However, their history in this stage of the competition has been a mix of close triumphs and missed opportunities.

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Newcastle United: Aiming for Consistency

Newcastle, under Eddie Howe, came out on top in a charged Tyne-Wear derby, a victory that broke their sequence of early FA Cup exits. Their Premier League form has been erratic, with a notable loss to Manchester City highlighting their current mid-table ambiguity. The FA Cup offers a different avenue for success, albeit one that has eluded them in recent years.

Team News and Expected Lineups

Fulham’s Tactical Setup and Absentees

Fulham’s squad depth is tested with key players absent due to the Africa Cup of Nations commitments. Silva’s strategic acumen will be crucial, with potential changes expected in the lineup. Marek Rodak is likely to replace Bernd Leno in goal, bringing a different dynamic to Fulham’s defensive structure.

Expected Fulham XI: Rodak; Tete, Diop, Ream, Robinson; Reed, Palhinha; Wilson, Pereira, Decordova-Reid; Jimenez

Newcastle’s Lineup and Injury Concerns

Newcastle faces its own share of injury woes. The absence of Joelinton and others will force Howe to rethink his midfield and attacking strategy. Their defence, led by Kieran Trippier, remains a pillar of strength.

Expected Newcastle XI: Dubravka; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Burn; Longstaff, Guimaraes, Miley; Almiron, Isak, Gordon

Tactical Analysis: Styles and Strategies

Fulham’s Approach: Resilience and Creativity

Fulham, under Silva, have demonstrated a blend of tactical resilience and attacking creativity. Their possession-based approach, complemented by effective counter-attacks, poses a threat to any defence. However, their recent form suggests a vulnerability, particularly in converting chances and maintaining defensive solidity.

Newcastle’s Game Plan: Fluidity and Directness

Newcastle’s style under Howe is marked by fluid attacking movements and direct play. Their ability to create and capitalise on big chances could be the key against Fulham. However, their inconsistency in defence might be exploited by Fulham’s creative forwards.

Highly Opinionated Analysis: Teams and Managers

Fulham’s Improvement Areas and Silva’s Tactical Nuance

Fulham need to improve their goal conversion rate and defensive organisation. Silva’s tactical flexibility can be a double-edged sword, sometimes leading to unpredictability but also inconsistency.

Newcastle’s Strengths and Howe’s Challenge

Newcastle’s attacking prowess, especially in set-piece situations, is a significant strength. However, Howe’s challenge lies in bringing consistency to their performances, both in defence and attack.

Critical Managerial Analysis

Silva shows promise with his tactical variations but needs to address Fulham’s defensive lapses. Howe, on the other hand, must find a balance between attacking flair and defensive solidity to harness Newcastle’s full potential.

Predictions and Rationale

Prediction 1: Handicap Market – Newcastle to Win with a -1 Handicap

Newcastle’s recent performances, particularly in the FA Cup, position them as strong contenders to overcome a -1 handicap against Fulham. Their convincing victory against Sunderland, combined with a robust attacking lineup, suggests they have the firepower to secure a win by a margin greater than a single goal. On the other hand, Fulham’s recent struggles, marked by fatigue and defensive fragility, especially after their taxing EFL Cup semi-final, might hinder their ability to resist Newcastle’s assertive play. This prediction is bolstered by Newcastle’s superior squad depth and Fulham’s evident vulnerability in handling persistent attacking pressure.

Prediction 2: Correct Score – Newcastle 3-1 Fulham

The prediction of a 3-1 win for Newcastle takes into account both teams’ current form and playing styles. Newcastle’s potent attack, led by players like Alexander Isak and Miguel Almirón, is capable of breaching Fulham’s defence, which has shown inconsistencies in recent games. Fulham, despite their defensive woes, have the attacking quality to find the back of the net, likely capitalising on Newcastle’s occasional lapses at the back. This scoreline reflects a scenario where Newcastle’s attacking prowess overshadows Fulham’s efforts, but still allows for the possibility of the Cottagers scoring a consolation goal.

Prediction 3: Goalscorer – Alexander Isak to Score

Alexander Isak stands out as a prime candidate to score in this matchup. His impressive form, combined with his technical ability and positional sense, makes him a significant threat to Fulham’s defence. Fulham’s recent defensive record, which has been less than stellar, particularly in high-pressure games, suggests they may struggle to contain Isak. His ability to exploit gaps and convert chances increases the likelihood of him getting on the scoresheet, especially considering Newcastle’s tendency to create ample opportunities in the final third.

Prediction 4: Corner Prediction – Newcastle More Corners; Total Over 9

This prediction is influenced by the tactical approaches of both teams. Newcastle’s style of play, which often involves wide attacks and crosses, naturally leads to a higher number of corners. Their average corners per game in the Premier League support this trend. Fulham, likely to adopt a more defensive posture, especially given their recent exhaustive fixtures, may concede several corners. The overall dynamic of the match, with Newcastle’s offensive thrust and Fulham’s potential defensive stance, suggests a high total corner count, making the prediction of over 9 total corners a reasonable expectation in this encounter.

£10 Returns £26

Reason for tip: Predicting BTTS and a Manchester City win, noting Bournemouth's scoring consistency against City's occasional defensive lapses, yet City's tactical superiority likely ensures victory.

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£10 Returns £120

Reason for tip: Predicting a 1-3 win for Manchester City against Bournemouth, highlighting City's attacking strength with Haaland, Foden, and De Bruyne, despite Bournemouth's potential to score.

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£10 Returns £32

Reason for tip: Erling Haaland, with his prolific scoring and physical prowess, is likely to score against Bournemouth, especially with support from De Bruyne, crucial in City's title chase.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.