Frosinone vs Udinese predictions ahead of this final Serie A clash. A high-stakes Serie A survival shootout unfolds at Stadio Benito Stirpe on Sunday, with Frosinone and Udinese battling to avoid relegation. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.
Serie A | Gameweek 38 – May 26, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at Stadio Benito Stirpe
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Frosinone vs Udinese Predictions
Survival Showdown: Frosinone and Udinese Battle for Serie A Safety
Key Stats
– Frosinone have kept five clean sheets in their last eight matches, highlighting their recent defensive solidity.
– Udinese have drawn the most matches in Europe’s top five leagues this season, with 19 stalemates.
– Walid Cheddira has scored seven goals for Frosinone, making him their top scorer and a key player in their survival bid.
The Serie A season reaches a dramatic conclusion with Frosinone hosting Udinese at the Stadio Benito Stirpe. Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, with the stakes high and the pressure immense. This analysis delves into the tactical aspects, key player battles, and potential outcomes as both teams strive for survival.
Frosinone’s Fight for Survival
Frosinone have experienced a roller-coaster season, beginning with a promising start but then hitting a mid-season slump. They have, however, shown resilience in recent weeks, remaining unbeaten in seven of their last eight matches, including a crucial 1-0 victory over Monza. Under the guidance of Eusebio Di Francesco, Frosinone have tightened up defensively, keeping five clean sheets in their recent unbeaten run.
Offensively, Frosinone have struggled, with only 44 goals scored in 37 matches, averaging 1.2 goals per game. Their primary attacking threat has been Walid Cheddira, who has stepped up to fill the void left by the fading influence of Matias Soulé. Cheddira’s recent form, including vital goals, has been crucial in Frosinone’s survival bid. Defensively, they have conceded 68 goals, averaging 1.8 per game, but their recent defensive solidity provides hope.
Udinese’s Desperate Bid to Avoid Relegation
Udinese, having spent 29 years in Italy’s top flight, are fighting to extend their stay. Under new manager Fabio Cannavaro, they have steadied the ship somewhat, remaining unbeaten in their last four matches. However, their tendency to draw matches—19 draws in the season—has hampered their efforts to secure safety.
Udinese’s attacking stats reveal a team that has struggled to find the back of the net, with only 36 goals in 37 matches, averaging 1 goal per game. Their top scorer, Lorenzo Lucca, has been instrumental, but the overall lack of offensive support has been a significant issue. Defensively, they have conceded 53 goals, averaging 1.4 per game, indicating a relatively better defensive record compared to Frosinone.
Key Tactical Battles
The midfield battle will be crucial in this encounter. Frosinone’s midfield trio, featuring Enzo Barrenechea, Marco Brescianini, and Abdou Harroui, will need to dominate possession and create opportunities for their forwards. Udinese’s midfield, led by Lazar Samardzic and Walace, must disrupt Frosinone’s rhythm and transition quickly to exploit any defensive gaps.
On the wings, Frosinone’s Matias Soulé and Nadir Zortea will look to stretch Udinese’s defence and deliver crosses into the box. Udinese’s wing-backs, Kingsley Ehizibue and Brandon Soppy, will need to be alert to prevent Frosinone’s wide players from creating chances. The duel between Frosinone’s Walid Cheddira and Udinese’s centre-backs, Nehuén Pérez and Jaka Bijol, will be another key battle. Cheddira’s movement and finishing ability could prove decisive.
Predicted Lineups and Formations
Frosinone:
- Goalkeeper: Michele Cerofolini
- Defenders: Pol Lirola, Simone Romagnoli, Caleb Okoli
- Midfielders: Enzo Barrenechea, Marco Brescianini, Nadir Zortea, Giuseppe Pezzella
- Forwards: Matias Soulé, Abdou Harroui, Walid Cheddira
Udinese:
- Goalkeeper: Maduka Okoye
- Defenders: Nehuén Pérez, Jaka Bijol, Kristoffer Kristensen
- Midfielders: Kingsley Ehizibue, Walace, Martín Payero, Sandi Lovrić, Brandon Soppy
- Forwards: Lazar Samardzic, Lorenzo Lucca
Frosinone are expected to deploy a 3-4-3 formation, focusing on a solid defensive base and quick transitions. Udinese will likely adopt a similar 3-5-2 setup, aiming to control the midfield and exploit Frosinone’s defensive weaknesses.
Areas for Improvement and Tactical Insights
Frosinone:
- Strengths: Recent defensive solidity, resilience in critical moments, and effective use of set-pieces.
- Weaknesses: Lack of offensive firepower, inconsistency in midfield, and over-reliance on Cheddira.
- Improvement: Enhancing creativity in open play and maintaining defensive concentration.
Udinese:
- Strengths: Resilience in critical moments, effective counter-attacks, and individual brilliance.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, inconsistency in midfield, and over-reliance on key players.
- Improvement: Increasing goal-scoring options and reducing defensive errors.
Managerial Strengths and Criticism
Eusebio Di Francesco has been credited with transforming Frosinone’s fortunes this season. However, his occasional tactical conservatism has sometimes limited the team’s attacking potential. Fabio Cannavaro, on the other hand, has instilled a fighting spirit in Udinese but has struggled to convert draws into wins, which could prove costly.
Expected Goals Analysis
Frosinone’s expected goals (xG) average of 1.2 per game underscores their offensive struggles, while Udinese’s xG of 1.0 per game highlights their similar issues in front of goal. This suggests a low-scoring encounter, with both teams likely to be cautious given the high stakes.
Predictions
Best Bet: Under 1.5 Goals
Given the high stakes and both teams’ offensive struggles, a low-scoring match is likely. Both sides will be cautious, prioritising defensive solidity over attacking flair.
Correct Score Prediction: 1-0 to Frosinone
Given Frosinone’s recent defensive form and Udinese’s offensive struggles, a narrow 1-0 win for the home side is plausible. Frosinone’s need for a result and home advantage could see them edge this encounter.
Goalscorer Prediction: Walid Cheddira to Score Anytime
Walid Cheddira, Frosinone’s top scorer with seven goals, is a reliable option to find the net. His recent form and finishing ability make him a prime candidate to score in this crucial match.
Team to Score First: Frosinone
Given their home advantage and recent form, Frosinone are likely to score first. Their need for a result will see them push early on to take control of the match.
Innovative Market Prediction: Total Corners Over 9.5
Frosinone average 5.5 corners per game, while Udinese average 4.2. This suggests a high total corner count, with both teams’ attacking efforts likely to result in multiple corner kicks.
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