Frosinone vs Empoli predictions ahead of this encounter in Serie A on Monday. On Monday, Frosinone will welcome a floundering Empoli side for the 11th round of Serie A encounters at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Can the hosts continue their fine home record? Read on for our full match preview and free betting tips.
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Match Live Monday, 6th November at 5:30 pm In:
Frosinone vs Empoli Predictions
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A Crucial Battle for Survival
Key Stats
– Empoli’s Scoring Drought: Empoli has failed to score in 60% of their away matches this season, the highest percentage in the league, highlighting their offensive struggles on the road.
– Set-Piece Vulnerability: Frosinone has conceded 40% of their goals from set-pieces, including free-kicks and corners, which is the second-worst record in Serie A. This could be a critical area for Empoli to exploit, despite their scoring challenges.
As Frosinone prepare to welcome Empoli to the Stadio Benito Stirpe for Monday’s Serie A spectacle, both sides face pivotal challenges. This technical analysis will delve into the upcoming clash, dissecting strategies, key duels, and potential game-changers without revealing the predictions, which will be detailed towards the article’s conclusion.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
Furthermore, Soulé has scored in consecutive home games against notable opponents such as Fiorentina and Hellas Verona, indicating his capacity to rise to the occasion. Empoli’s defensive record, conceding 19 goals in 10 games—one of the worst in the league—suggests that Frosinone’s attacking line will have opportunities to exploit, particularly through Soulé, whose scoring prowess from inside the box is evident with all five of his goals coming from this range.
Additionally, with Frosinone set to capitalise on their strong home form following three victories and a draw in front of their supporters, Soulé’s aggressive attacking involvement, underscored by 2.6 shots per game, is likely to yield results. Thus, the odds of 11/2 for Soulé to score first not only present a lucrative opportunity for punters but also reflect a calculated prediction based on the player’s current form and Empoli’s apparent vulnerabilities.
At the time of writing, this selection is boosted by Bet365, but as always, odds are subject to change and T&C’s apply. The elevated odds further enhance the value of this bet, making it an attractive proposition for this Serie A encounter.
Tactical Tussle at Stadio Benito Stirpe
The hosts, still reeling from a historic collapse against Cagliari, must regroup. Eusebio Di Francesco’s squad showed they could be both prolific and porous within 90 minutes. Their 15 goals in 10 matches are respectable for a mid-table side, but conceding 17 suggests a fragility that Empoli could exploit, despite their own attacking woes.
Empoli’s paltry tally of 3 goals speaks volumes of their offensive struggles. Andreazzoli’s men have been resolute in their scarce victories, hinting at a defensive solidity that could be marshalled better. However, their tendency to leak goals – 19 conceded – is alarming, a flaw that Frosinone’s attack will eye eagerly.
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Match Dynamics and Key Duels
Frosinone’s home form, barring last week’s aberration, has been a fortress of hope. Their seventh-best home record is no fluke, with their supporters often witnessing a resilient side capable of standing toe-to-toe with higher-ranked opposition. Empoli’s away form is, contrarily, dismal, their defensive lapses away from home a glaring blemish.
The midfield clash will be significant, with Frosinone’s Matias Soule – boasting a 7.70 BettingTips4You Expert Rating – pitted against Empoli’s top performer, Nicolas Haas (7.60). The battle between Frosinone’s creativity and Empoli’s grit in the midfield could dictate the flow and tempo of the game.
Pros and Cons of Strategies
Frosinone tend to utilise the width of the pitch, with Soule orchestrating from wide areas. Their balance in midfield and attack, reflected in the diversity of goalscorers, is a positive. However, their defensive lapses, especially in the latter stages of a game, are their Achilles’ heel.
Empoli’s conservative approach away from home could be their undoing or their salvation. Their defensive setup and reliance on counter-attacks suggest a team cautious not to overextend. Yet, such a strategy has yielded minimal goals, suggesting a need for more creative risk-taking.
Managerial Mind Games
Di Francesco has shown an aptitude for moulding a competitive side but has faced criticism for his team’s inability to close out games. This flaw was laid bare in their recent collapse and requires immediate rectification to avoid a repeat.
Andreazzoli, on the other hand, has garnered a reputation for organising his teams well, but the lack of offensive ingenuity is stark. His side appears overly dependent on rare moments of brilliance or opposition errors, a strategy that seems unsustainable for survival in Serie A.
Performance and Expectations
Analysing the expected goals (xG) of both teams reveals contrasting stories. Frosinone’s xG suggests they are performing as expected, perhaps even punching above their weight offensively. Empoli’s xG is concerning, indicating that not only are they not creating enough, but they are also not converting the scant chances they do create.
Decisive Battles and Gameplay Expectation
The match will likely be decided in the midfield, where Frosinone’s ability to control the game will clash with Empoli’s need to disrupt and counter. The key individual duel between Soule and Haas could pivot the match’s momentum, and Frosinone’s wider play may be the avenue through which they unlock Empoli’s defence.
The gameplay will be a tale of two contrasting philosophies – Frosinone’s attacking intent against Empoli’s conservative pragmatism. While both teams will be wary of their defensive shortcomings, the desire for survival points may just tip the scales in favour of the home side’s offensive endeavours.
Predictions
Based on the analysis, the predictions for the match are as follows:
- Market Prediction: Considering Frosinone’s home strength and Empoli’s scoring struggles, the ‘Under 2.5 goals’ market seems plausible. Empoli’s lack of firepower could play into the hands of a Frosinone side eager to make amends for their previous outing.
- Correct Score Prediction: A tight affair is expected, with a 1-0 victory for Frosinone aligning with the trends observed in both teams’ performances.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Matias Soule is the man to watch. His scoring form, particularly at home, makes him a prime candidate to find the net at least once during the encounter.
- Corner Prediction: Frosinone, with an average of 4.8 corners per game, are likely to win the corner count, especially given their playing style that involves wide play. The total number of corners might hover around the 9 mark, combining both teams’ averages.
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