France vs Italy Predictions

France vs Italy predictions for this Nations League clash. France and Italy, two giants of international football, face off at Parc des Princes on Friday night, beginning their new UEFA Nations League campaigns in an eagerly anticipated clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | League A | Sep 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Parc des Princes

France vs Italy Predictions

Can France Overcome Italy’s Resurgence in This Nations League Battle?

• France have kept six clean sheets in their last nine home matches across all competitions.
• Italy have scored only once in their last three matches, struggling to create chances consistently.
• France averaged 6 corners per game during Euro 2024, highlighting their attacking width.

Best Bet

Two of European football’s heavyweights face off this Friday at the Parc des Princes, as France take on Italy in a crucial UEFA Nations League opener. Both sides will be keen to make amends for their underwhelming Euro 2024 campaigns. France, having bowed out in the semi-finals to eventual winners Spain, look to reassert themselves on the international stage. Meanwhile, Italy, fresh off a dismal title defence where they exited in the round of 16, will hope for a better start under Luciano Spalletti’s reign. With both teams eager to make a statement, this encounter promises to be a thrilling affair.

Given the current form and tactical stability of both sides, the most prudent bet for this match would be backing France to win to nil. The rationale here centres on the defensive solidity France have shown on home soil and the struggles Italy have faced in breaking down robust teams. Les Bleus haven’t conceded in six of their last nine home matches, demonstrating their ability to maintain clean sheets, even against formidable opponents.

Moreover, Italy’s offensive output has been uninspiring of late, with only one goal scored in their last three matches. The absence of key attacking figures like Gianluca Scamacca further weakens their attacking line-up. Mateo Retegui may be in form at club level, but he lacks the international experience required to trouble a defence that includes solid centre-backs like William Saliba and Ibrahima Konaté.

France also boast significant firepower in attack, with Kylian Mbappé returning to form following his early struggles during the Euros. With players like Ousmane Dembélé and Marcus Thuram in support, they are expected to exploit Italy’s weakened defensive structure, especially as Luciano Spalletti continues to experiment with a three-man backline. Italy’s ongoing rebuild means they remain vulnerable, particularly against elite opposition.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Emmanuel Nwankwo notes: “France’s ability to control games at home, combined with Italy’s lack of cutting edge up front, makes this a strong opportunity to back Les Bleus for a victory without conceding. France to win to nil looks like a confident bet.”

Correct Score Prediction

With France expected to dominate proceedings, a 2-0 victory for the hosts seems the most likely outcome. As previously mentioned, France’s defensive resilience at home should see them limit Italy to very few chances. Italy, while defensively disciplined in their own right, have struggled to find the back of the net consistently, particularly in high-pressure matches.

France’s attacking quality, particularly from set-pieces and fast counter-attacks, will likely be too much for an Italy side still adjusting to Spalletti’s tactical tweaks. The combination of Mbappé’s pace and Thuram’s physical presence upfront should lead to goals in both halves.

This scoreline reflects the overall balance of play expected, where France will control much of the possession and create high-quality chances while restricting Italy’s ability to generate significant threats on goal.

Additional Prediction

Another valuable angle in this match would be betting on France to have over 6 corners. Given France’s aggressive attacking style and their likely dominance in terms of possession, they are expected to push Italy deep into their own half. The French wide players, particularly Dembélé and Mbappé, will constantly stretch the Italian defence, creating multiple opportunities for corners from blocked crosses or deflections.

France averaged 6 corners per game in Euro 2024, and this pattern is expected to continue, especially against a side like Italy, who may need to defend in numbers. Italy’s wing-backs will be tasked with stopping France’s creative wingers, but this often leads to conceding corners rather than allowing dangerous balls into the box.

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