Flamengo vs Bahia Predictions

Flamengo vs Bahia predictions, betting tips and match previews for this Copa do Brasil clash. Flamengo are close to securing a fourth consecutive Copa do Brasil semi-final appearance as they prepare to face Bahia on Thursday at the Maracanã. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg | Sep 13, 2024 at 1.45am UK at Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo vs Bahia Predictions

Can Flamengo Keep Their Defensive Wall Intact Against Bahia at the Maracanã?

• Flamengo’s Home Fortress: Flamengo have won five of their last six matches at the Maracanã, keeping clean sheets in three of those victories. Their defensive prowess at home, coupled with Bahia’s struggles on the road, adds significant weight to the prediction of a win to nil for Flamengo.
• Bahia’s Away Woes: Bahia have only won one of their last five competitive matches away from home. During that run, they have failed to score in three of those games, underlining their attacking struggles when playing on the road, especially against top-tier opponents like Flamengo.
• Flamengo’s Clinical Edge: Despite having only one shot on target in the first leg, Flamengo managed to secure a 1-0 victory. Their efficiency in converting chances and their ability to control the game even when under pressure makes them favourites to win again at the Maracanã, especially with Bahia’s weak finishing.

Best Bet

As the Copa do Brasil quarter-final second leg approaches, Flamengo find themselves in a familiar and comfortable position. Having secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Bahia in the first leg, Flamengo are now just one step away from reaching the semi-finals for the fourth consecutive time. The fixture at the Maracanã offers them a chance to cement their dominance, with their formidable home form adding to the sense of confidence surrounding the Rio giants.

Bahia, on the other hand, face an uphill battle. The team has struggled for consistency in recent weeks, and their away record does not inspire much optimism ahead of this encounter. Bahia’s task is made even more difficult by their poor historical results against Flamengo at the Maracanã. However, with everything to play for, there is still an element of unpredictability that could shape the course of this match.

Based on the available data and form of both teams, the best bet for this match is Flamengo to win without conceding a goal. Flamengo have been exceptional defensively throughout this tournament, having conceded just one goal in their five matches so far. Their ability to maintain clean sheets, combined with Bahia’s struggles in attack, particularly in their recent games, makes this outcome highly likely.

Flamengo’s defensive strength is highlighted by their consistent ability to restrict opponents’ chances. In the first leg, Bahia were unable to find the back of the net, despite having more possession. Flamengo capitalised on their sole shot on target to win 1-0, showcasing their efficiency in front of goal and their ability to absorb pressure when needed. This trend could well continue at the Maracanã, where Flamengo have proven to be incredibly resilient, especially in Copa do Brasil fixtures.

Bahia’s recent form also supports this prediction. They have failed to score in two of their last three competitive matches, including the first leg against Flamengo. Furthermore, Bahia’s historical struggles at the Maracanã are significant, with their last victory at this venue dating back to 2011. This long-standing difficulty in scoring against Flamengo at their fortress adds weight to the prediction of a Flamengo victory without conceding.

Moreover, Flamengo’s home record is outstanding. They have lost just once at the Maracanã in this tournament since 2021, and that was against São Paulo in the opening leg of the 2023 final. Such consistency in front of their home crowd gives them an added psychological advantage over Bahia. Even with several key players potentially sidelined due to injury, Flamengo’s depth and tactical discipline under Tite should be enough to see them through without much difficulty.

As our BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa notes: “Flamengo’s defensive solidity and Bahia’s lack of firepower on the road point towards a comfortable home win with a clean sheet. Flamengo know how to manage these situations, and Bahia have not shown enough to suggest they can break them down.”

With Flamengo boasting an impressive defensive record, and Bahia struggling to generate clear chances away from home, a victory to nil for Flamengo looks like the most logical and valuable bet for this match.

Correct Score Prediction: Flamengo 2-0 Bahia

In line with the best bet of Flamengo winning to nil, a 2-0 victory for Flamengo seems a likely outcome. This scoreline reflects Flamengo’s expected control over the match while considering their efficiency in both defence and attack.

Flamengo’s ability to control the tempo of the game, particularly at the Maracanã, suggests they will look to maintain a solid shape and hit Bahia on the break or through set pieces. Given that Flamengo have averaged 1.6 goals per game in the Brasileirão this season and scored 39 goals in 24 matches, they have the attacking capability to score more than once, even without several key forwards.

While Flamengo are likely to limit Bahia’s scoring opportunities, the home side’s attacking depth should see them add to their 1-0 first-leg advantage. With Bruno Henrique scoring the only goal in the first match, his involvement again could be crucial, alongside the creative efforts of players like Gerson and Carlinhos. A two-goal margin allows Flamengo to dominate but also reflects Bahia’s capacity to hold firm for parts of the match.

The absence of key offensive players for both sides will likely reduce the potential for a high-scoring game, but Flamengo’s home advantage and superior quality should ensure a comfortable win. As Bahia’s form on the road remains poor, a 2-0 scoreline reflects a balanced and realistic outcome for this second leg.

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