Fiorentina vs Lecce Predictions

Fiorentina vs Lecce predictions for this Italian Serie A fixture. Fiorentina, after three defeats, host Lecce on Friday, aiming to revive their top-four hopes against the Serie A strugglers. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Serie A | Feb 28, 2025 at 7:45pm UK at Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina vs Lecce Predictions

Can Fiorentina Shake Off Their Slump Against a Goal-Shy Lecce?

• Fiorentina’s Shooting Efficiency: The Viola have a 13.2% shot conversion rate this season, the third-highest in Serie A, compared to Lecce’s league-worst 5.9%.
• Lecce’s Goal Drought: Marco Giampaolo’s side are the only team in Serie A yet to score a goal in February, highlighting their attacking struggles.
• Fiorentina’s Home Strength: La Viola have won seven of their 13 home games in Serie A, a stark contrast to Lecce’s poor away form.

Best Bet for Fiorentina vs Lecce

Fiorentina are in desperate need of a response as they welcome Lecce to the Stadio Artemio Franchi on Friday night. After a promising start to the year, the Viola have seen their form nosedive, suffering three consecutive defeats that have put their Champions League ambitions under serious threat. Their most recent outing—a 1-0 loss to relegation-battling Hellas Verona—was particularly frustrating, not only because of the last-minute goal that sealed their fate but also due to the worrying injury suffered by star striker Moise Kean.

Raffaele Palladino’s side have gone from humbling title contenders Inter Milan with a dominant 3-0 win to looking completely out of sorts in Serie A. Defensive lapses and a lack of cutting edge in attack have contributed to their downfall, and they now find themselves seven points adrift of the top four. With 12 matches left to play, they still have time to turn things around, but the pressure is mounting, and a slip-up against Lecce could be catastrophic.

Their opponents, meanwhile, are fighting battles of their own. Marco Giampaolo’s men have edged slightly away from the drop zone but are still far from safety. A 1-0 loss to Udinese last time out means they are now the only team in Serie A yet to find the back of the net in February. Their goal-scoring woes have been evident all season, with Nikola Krstovic’s inefficiency in front of goal a major talking point. The Montenegrin forward has managed just seven league goals from 102 attempts, the worst conversion rate in Europe’s top five leagues. That stat alone should make Fiorentina’s defenders breathe a little easier, but given their recent struggles, nothing can be taken for granted.

Best Bet for This Match: Fiorentina to Win & Under 2.5 Goals

At BettingTips4You.com, we don’t believe in bombarding our readers with endless predictions. Instead, we offer just one carefully selected tip per match. For this encounter, the best bet is Fiorentina to Win & Under 2.5 Goals.

Why Back This Prediction?

Despite Fiorentina’s recent woes, they are still a strong side at home. They have picked up seven wins from 13 games at the Franchi this season, and with key players returning, they should have enough to get past a struggling Lecce team. The visitors have the worst goal-scoring record in the division, and their inability to convert chances makes it difficult to see them troubling the hosts too much.

That being said, while Lecce’s attack has been dire, their defence has been relatively solid. They have conceded 20 goals in 13 away games, which is not disastrous for a team battling relegation. Fiorentina, for all their attacking potential, have struggled for fluency in recent weeks, and with Kean expected to be sidelined, they may lack the firepower to run riot. Lucas Beltran will likely lead the line, but with just four league goals this season, he is not exactly a prolific replacement.

The last time these sides met, Fiorentina romped to a 6-0 victory, but a repeat of that scoreline is highly unlikely. Lecce’s recent matches have been tight affairs, with two of their last three games ending in goalless draws. They will set up to frustrate, but Fiorentina should eventually find a way through.

“Fiorentina are not in the best of form, but Lecce’s struggles in front of goal make this a game the hosts simply have to win. It might not be pretty, but expect the Viola to grind it out.” – BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Pratesi.

Likely Correct Score: Fiorentina 2-0 Lecce

Given Lecce’s lack of attacking threat, a clean sheet for Fiorentina looks likely. While the hosts are not exactly firing on all cylinders, they should still have enough to secure a 2-0 victory. Their superior squad depth and home advantage should see them over the line, even if it is not the most convincing performance.

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