Fiorentina vs AC Milan Predictions

Fiorentina vs AC Milan predictions for their Serie A meeting on Sunday. Fiorentina and AC Milan will face off at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A’s Sunday night clash, following contrasting European results. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

AC Milan

Serie A | Oct 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Stadio Artemio Franchi

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Fiorentina vs AC Milan Predictions

Can Fiorentina End Milan’s Winning Streak or Will the Rossoneri Roll On?

  • Milan’s Scoring Surge: AC Milan are averaging 2.3 goals per game in Serie A this season, with Christian Pulisic leading the way, scoring in five of the last six matches.
  • Fiorentina’s Home Comforts: Fiorentina have only failed to score once in their last 17 home games at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, making it one of the toughest venues to keep a clean sheet.
  • Both Teams Vulnerable at the Back: Both Fiorentina and AC Milan have conceded exactly seven goals in their first six Serie A matches, showing defensive vulnerability that could make this a high-scoring affair.

Our Tips

St Pauli to Win
4/5 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
St Pauli are favoured for a narrow win over Holstein Kiel due to better defensive organisation, Kiel’s poor away form, and weaknesses in defence and midfield. Eggestein leads St Pauli’s attack.
St Pauli 1-0
15/2 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A tight, low-scoring match is expected, with St Pauli likely edging a 1-0 win. Eggestein’s movement could exploit Kiel’s fragile defence, which has struggled away from home.

As Serie A football rolls into the weekend, Fiorentina prepare to host an AC Milan side enjoying a decent domestic run. It’s a classic clash of styles at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, with Fiorentina desperate to convert their inconsistent form into something more substantial, while Milan hope to continue their ascent in the standings. The Rossoneri have been solid in Serie A but fragile in Europe, while Fiorentina have shown flashes of brilliance, only to be undone by defensive lapses. This match offers both teams a chance to make a statement, but the question remains: who will seize the opportunity?

Best Bet: AC Milan to Win and Both Teams to Score

Backing AC Milan to win while both teams find the net feels like the best bet for this clash. Why? Because despite Fiorentina’s patchy form, they still manage to net regularly, especially when playing in front of their fans. AC Milan, meanwhile, have the firepower to breach the Viola defence but aren’t exactly watertight themselves.

Fiorentina’s ability to score is no fluke. They’ve found the back of the net in all of their home matches this season and are averaging 1.2 goals per game in Serie A. Players like Moise Kean and Albert Gudmundsson have been key contributors, with the former scoring twice this season and consistently threatening in front of goal. Add to this the fact that the Viola have only drawn a blank in one of their last 17 matches at the Franchi, and it’s hard to imagine a scenario where they don’t at least grab one.

However, AC Milan are no pushovers, even when they leave gaps at the back. They’ve netted an impressive 14 goals in just six league matches, averaging 2.3 goals per game. The attacking flair provided by Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao, and Alvaro Morata has given them a cutting edge. Pulisic, in particular, has been in red-hot form, scoring four goals so far and proving a nightmare for Serie A defences.

Yes, Milan have conceded seven goals in six matches, which may give Fiorentina hope, but when it comes to head-to-head clashes, the Rossoneri have dominated recently. Milan have won six of their last eight clashes with Fiorentina, including a 2-1 victory in this very fixture last season. It’s worth noting that Milan’s strength comes from their ability to grind out results in tight matches, even when they aren’t at their absolute best.

Fiorentina may huff and puff, but Milan’s superior quality should see them securing the three points, albeit with a scare or two along the way. The Viola’s porous backline, coupled with Milan’s firepower, should see both teams score, but the visitors will likely leave with all three points. As BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Pratesi notes, “Milan’s attacking options are simply too powerful for Fiorentina’s inconsistent defence, and though both teams will have chances, the Rossoneri’s sharper finishing will prove decisive.”

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Correct Score Prediction: AC Milan to Win 2-1

Sticking with the narrative that both teams will score, but AC Milan will ultimately have an edge, a 2-1 scoreline feels like a natural fit. Fiorentina’s attack is potent enough to find the net, particularly with Moise Kean likely leading the line, but their defence is a different story entirely. They’ve shipped seven goals in six Serie A games and have looked vulnerable, especially against teams that press them high.

On the other hand, AC Milan are equally capable of conceding, especially after European fixtures when fatigue can play a part. Yet, Milan’s ability to score goals shouldn’t be underestimated. Their combination of pace, power, and technical brilliance going forward is likely to unlock the Viola defence more than once.

The balance of probabilities suggests Fiorentina will grab a goal, but Milan’s overall quality should see them find the net at least twice. It won’t be a walk in the park for the Rossoneri, but they’ve shown enough resilience in Serie A to suggest they can take home the spoils in this fixture. A 2-1 win fits the bill, marrying both teams’ attacking prowess with their defensive frailties.

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Luca Pratesi
Born in Milan and an ardent AC Milan supporter, Luca Pratesi brings a wealth of experience to BettingTips4You. Having written for renowned publications like Gazzetta dello Sport, Luca's passion for sports betting and tipping shines through his meticulous game analysis and keen eye for finding value. With an impressive track record, he joined BettingTips4You in 2024, eager to share his insights and help readers make informed betting decisions. Luca's deep knowledge and love for the sport make him a valuable asset to the team and a trusted source for betting tips.