Finland vs Greece Predictions

Finland vs Greece predictions for their UEFA Nations League clash. Greece visit relegated Finland in UEFA Nations League Group B2, aiming to end strongly despite losing control of their automatic promotion destiny on the final matchday. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.

Nations League | Nov 17, 2024 at 5pm UK at Helsingin olympiastadion

Finland vs Greece Predictions

Will Greece Capitalise on Finland’s Misery in Helsinki?

• Greece’s Away Streak: Greece have won their last three away games in all competitions, scoring exactly two goals in each victory.
• Finland’s Defensive Woes: Finland have conceded 17 goals in their last seven matches, averaging over 2.4 goals conceded per game.
• Ioannidis Impact: Fotis Ioannidis has been directly involved in three goals during this Nations League campaign, making him a key figure for Greece’s attack.

Our Tips

The final matchday of League B Group 2 in the UEFA Nations League sees Greece visiting Finland, with both teams approaching the game from starkly different perspectives. Greece, despite their strong campaign, have been dethroned from the top spot after a humbling 3-0 defeat against England. Their automatic promotion hopes now hinge on more than just their own performance—they must better England’s result against Ireland. On the other hand, Finland have had a woeful Nations League campaign, sitting rock bottom without a single point and already relegated to League C.

For Greece, this encounter represents a chance to end on a high note, even if the automatic promotion dream may be out of reach. Conversely, Finland are playing for little more than pride, and given their recent form, that seems a stretch. With the stage set for a clash between a side chasing redemption and another weighed down by consistent failures, this game promises to carry its share of intrigue.

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Best Bet for the Match: Greece to Win and Over 2.5 Goals

Backing Greece to secure victory with over 2.5 goals in the match feels like the standout bet here. Greece’s attacking prowess has been evident throughout their campaign, and even in their loss to England, they carved out several chances that could have yielded goals if not for an outstanding Jordan Pickford. Against a Finnish defence that has conceded 17 goals in their last seven games, Greece are likely to find the net more than once.

Key to this prediction is Finland’s dreadful defensive record and their inability to stem the flow of goals. Across their five Nations League matches, they have been battered by an aggregate score of 11-2. Moreover, their tendency to lose concentration in high-pressure moments was starkly displayed when Joel Pohjanpalo missed a penalty against Ireland, a moment epitomising their hapless campaign.

Greece, under Ivan Jovanovic, have shown they can dominate against weaker sides. Winning their first four matches in the group with composed attacking football, they have consistently scored at least two goals in recent away games. Fotis Ioannidis, a likely starter, has been particularly sharp, netting three goals so far in the competition. The visiting side’s balanced approach, combining creativity in midfield with clinical finishing, makes them the clear favourites.

Finland, while toothless defensively, have managed to score in their home Nations League fixtures, which suggests they may snatch a consolation goal. However, their forwards—led by either Pohjanpalo or veteran Teemu Pukki—have struggled to make a consistent impact against disciplined backlines like Greece’s.

“With Greece’s superior quality and Finland’s porous defence, the conditions are ripe for a high-scoring affair favouring the visitors. Greece’s recent form on the road bolsters this outlook, with three straight away wins under their belt,” notes BettingTips4You.com expert Herrin Kendrick. “Expect goals, dominance, and a Greece side hungry to end the group stages on a positive note.”

Correct Score Prediction: Finland 1-3 Greece

This scoreline aligns perfectly with the expected flow of the game. Greece have shown they can score multiple goals against weaker opposition, and their recent run of away wins provides ample evidence of their strength on the road. While Finland’s attack has been largely impotent, their ability to score in Helsinki cannot be dismissed outright.

The combination of Greece’s attacking threat and Finland’s defensive vulnerabilities suggests that the visitors will take control early, likely scoring at least twice in the opening 60 minutes. Finland may grab a consolation late on, exploiting any lapses in concentration from Greece. Yet, Greece’s overall superiority should ensure they net a third goal to seal a comfortable victory.

Finland’s inability to keep clean sheets (they’ve gone 12 months without one) is another compelling factor in predicting a high-scoring win for Greece. At the same time, Greece’s propensity to concede away from home suggests the hosts could sneak a goal against the run of play.

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