Finland vs England Predictions

Finland vs England Predictions for this Nations League clash in Helsinki. After a heavy loss to Greece, Lee Carsley’s England face significant pressure to bounce back against Finland in Helsinki on Sunday in the UEFA Nations League. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | League C | Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK at Helsingin olympiastadion

Finland vs England Predictions

Will England’s Firepower Be Too Much for a Struggling Finland?

• England’s Attacking Dominance: England are averaging 16.7 shots per game in the UEFA Nations League, a figure that dwarfs Finland’s five shots per match.
• Finland’s Defensive Struggles: Finland have conceded an average of 2.3 goals per game in their last seven matches, including every game in their current Nations League campaign.
• England’s Corner Threat: England have averaged seven corners per game, and with Finland’s defence under constant pressure, this figure is likely to rise in Helsinki.

Our Tips

The UEFA Nations League clash between Finland and England on Sunday promises to be a tense affair, with both teams coming off the back of disappointing defeats. England, stunned by a 2-1 loss at home to Greece, find themselves under pressure to reclaim their form and avoid consecutive losses. Lee Carsley’s side must respond in Helsinki, where they face a Finnish team still searching for their first point in this campaign. Finland, who were narrowly beaten 2-1 by the Republic of Ireland, will be desperate to avoid further embarrassment in front of their home crowd. England, however, will be equally eager to demonstrate that their slip-up was nothing more than a blip.

With the Three Lions boasting significantly more firepower and tactical flexibility than their Finnish hosts, the game is shaping up to be a fascinating encounter. Yet, with Finland’s proud footballing tradition and home advantage, can they deliver an upset, or will England restore order in their pursuit of UEFA Nations League promotion?

Best Bet: England -1 to Win

Backing England to win with a -1 handicap looks to be the strongest betting option here. Why? The gap in quality between these two sides is undeniable. Despite England’s shock loss to Greece, they remain a far superior side to Finland in almost every department. Their attacking stats this season are impressive—averaging 16.7 shots per game and an expected goals figure that dwarfs Finland’s. With Finland conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game, it’s hard to see them holding out against the array of attacking talent at Carsley’s disposal.

One key factor in backing this bet is Finland’s ongoing defensive woes. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight matches across all competitions and have conceded multiple goals in six of their last seven outings. The Finns have simply been unable to find any defensive solidity, and with England desperate to prove a point, this could spell trouble for the hosts.

England, even without talisman Harry Kane, still possess enough offensive threat to expose Finland’s fragile backline. Players like Ollie Watkins, Jude Bellingham, and Cole Palmer will likely cause all sorts of problems for Finland’s defence. Watkins, in particular, has been in fine form and will relish the opportunity to lead the line.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Tyler Morris explains, “Finland’s inability to keep goals out, combined with England’s hunger to bounce back, makes a comfortable win for the visitors highly likely. England have the tools to break down this shaky Finnish defence, and a -1 handicap gives you value without over-complicating the bet.”

Finland’s lack of goal-scoring prowess also plays into this bet’s favour. They have managed just one goal in three Nations League matches, and England’s defence, which has kept two clean sheets in this competition, should have enough to keep Finland’s strikers quiet. England’s average possession of 73% suggests that Finland will be spending most of the match defending, giving England the upper hand to dominate and push for a multi-goal victory.

Second Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners

For a more niche betting angle, over 8.5 corners in this match looks like a solid prediction. Both teams have consistently hit high corner counts in their respective campaigns, with England averaging seven corners per game and Finland also pushing the numbers with their more direct style of play.

While Finland’s overall game plan may revolve around soaking up pressure and hitting on the counter, they will inevitably concede corners to England’s aggressive wing play. Full-backs like Kyle Walker and attacking midfielders like Palmer are adept at forcing defenders into last-ditch tackles and clearances. On the flip side, Finland, despite their troubles, have shown a willingness to push forward and test opposing defences, contributing to their corner tally.

This match could see England dominating possession and launching wave after wave of attacks, racking up corners in the process. But don’t rule out Finland’s attempts to find a way back into the game, which could also lead to a few corner kicks of their own.

Correct Score Prediction: Finland 0-2 England

Given the gulf in quality between these two sides, the correct score prediction of a 2-0 England win seems the most logical outcome. England’s offensive capabilities should be enough to break down Finland’s shaky defence at least twice, but it’s unlikely that they will go on a goal-scoring rampage. Historically, England have been quite conservative in their attacking output, rarely going beyond two goals in recent matches. In fact, they’ve only scored more than two goals once in their last 16 internationals, which indicates a tendency to play with control rather than aggression once they establish a lead.

On the other hand, Finland’s struggles in front of goal make it hard to envisage them scoring. Their lone goal in the competition so far came from a set piece, and they haven’t demonstrated any consistent ability to create chances from open play. With England’s defence, led by Marc Guehi and Levi Colwill, conceding an average of only 0.7 goals per game, a clean sheet for the visitors looks likely.

The 2-0 prediction ties in nicely with our best bet of England -1 to win. England are expected to dominate possession, create numerous chances, and ultimately come away with a comfortable victory while keeping things tight at the back. Finland, meanwhile, are unlikely to find any joy against a well-organised English defence.

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