Exeter Chiefs vs Harlequins Predictions

Exeter Chiefs vs Harlequins predictions for this Gallagher Premiership Rugby clash. As the Premiership season approaches its climax, the encounter between Exeter Chiefs and Harlequins at Sandy Park emerges as a pivotal fixture. Read on for our free Rugby Gallagher Premiership predictions and betting tips.

Exeter Chiefs
Harlequins FC

Gallagher Premiership Rugby | Gameweek 17 – May 11, 2024 at 5:30pm UK at Sandy Park

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Exeter Chiefs vs Harlequins Predictions

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Strategic Encounter: Exeter Chiefs vs. Harlequins at Sandy Park

Key Stats

Exeter’s Home Record: Last season’s home win against Harlequins was by a narrow one-point margin, highlighting the importance of home advantage.

Dan John’s Impact: With the recent accolade for April’s try of the month and his consistent performance, John is pivotal to Exeter’s attack.

Harlequins’ Play-off Chase: Harlequins have not secured a regular season double over Exeter in nearly a decade, underscoring the historical challenge they face.

With just four points separating the two teams, this match not only influences their playoff aspirations but also serves as a testament to their season-long efforts. Here, we delve deep into the team dynamics, player matchups, and strategic nuances that could dictate the outcome of this highly anticipated matchup.


Team Form and Recent Performances

Exeter Chiefs have displayed a mixed bag of results lately, showing resilience in bouncing back from defeats with crucial victories, such as their recent triumph over Gloucester. Similarly, Harlequins, despite a heart-wrenching loss in the Champions Cup semi-finals against Toulouse, have managed to maintain a competitive edge in the Premiership, highlighted by a significant win against the leaders, Northampton Saints.

Key Player Showdowns and Tactical Setups

The clash at Sandy Park is expected to feature several intriguing individual matchups, given the quality on both sides. Exeter’s backline, led by Dan John, who has been in phenomenal form, and the dynamic centre pairing of Henry Slade and Joe Hawkins, will be crucial. Harlequins’ response to this threat will likely involve strategic plays from Marcus Smith, whose performance in the Champions Cup underlined his critical role in Quins’ setup.


In the forwards, the battle will be equally intense. Exeter’s front row of Scott Sio, Jack Yeandle, and Marcus Street will need to contend with the robust Harlequin trio of Joe Marler, Jack Walker, and Will Collier. The number eight matchup between Exeter’s Greg Fisilau and Harlequins’ Alex Dombrandt could prove decisive, with both players showing the ability to change the course of a game.

Exeter’s Home Advantage and Tactical Approach

Playing at Sandy Park, Exeter Chiefs will look to exploit their home advantage. Historically, home ground has played a significant role in this fixture, as evidenced by last season’s narrow win for Exeter at the same venue. Rob Baxter’s strategy of maintaining a consistent lineup suggests confidence in his starting XV’s ability to execute under pressure, aiming for a repeat of their home performance against Gloucester.

Harlequins’ Resilience and Adaptability

Harlequins have shown remarkable resilience this season, bouncing back from setbacks with performances that underscore their tactical versatility. Nick Evans, Harlequins’ Attack Coach, has praised the squad’s adaptability and is preparing his team for an intense encounter. With both teams knowing a win could dramatically boost their playoff hopes, expect Harlequins to leverage their recent high-scoring games to challenge Exeter’s defence.

Predictions for the Match

  1. Match Winner Prediction: Exeter Chiefs to Win with a -1 Handicap Considering the tight competition between the two teams and the significant home advantage that Exeter enjoys, a prediction favouring the Chiefs seems plausible. However, to add complexity and avoid short odds, opting for Exeter to win with a handicap offers a more nuanced bet. Given their robust performances at home and the strategic consistency shown by Baxter’s selections, Exeter is predicted to overcome Harlequins by more than the basic win margin.
  2. Try Scorer Prediction: Dan John Dan John, recently acclaimed for his try of the month, continues to be a critical figure in Exeter’s attacking strategy. His knack for finding the try line, combined with Exeter’s focus on exploiting Harlequins’ occasional defensive lapses, makes him a prime candidate to score during this high-stakes match. Expect John to be at the forefront of Exeter’s offensive efforts, capitalising on the creative playmaking of Slade and Skinner.
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Herrin Kendrick
Herrin Kendrick is a sports journalist with 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. His work has been referenced by many sports publications over the years. Sport passionate.