Everton vs Aston Villa Predictions

Everton vs Aston Villa predictions for this Premier League clash at Goodison Park. David Moyes returns to Goodison Park after 12 years as Everton host Aston Villa on Wednesday, with both sides aiming to boost their Premier League campaigns in a key midweek clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Premier League | Jan 15, 2025 at 7.30pm UK at Goodison Park

Everton vs Aston Villa Predictions

Will Moyes’ Return Ignite Everton’s Season Against Travel-Weary Villa?

• Everton’s Defensive Solidity at Home: The Toffees have kept four clean sheets in their last five games at Goodison Park, conceding just four goals in their last eight.
• Aston Villa’s Away Struggles: Villa have lost five consecutive Premier League away matches, conceding at least twice in each of those defeats.
• Iliman Ndiaye’s Key Contributions: Ndiaye has scored twice in his last four appearances, including a vital goal in the FA Cup win over Peterborough.

Our Tips

The atmosphere at Goodison Park on Wednesday night promises to be electric, as David Moyes returns to the touchline for his second spell as Everton manager. His first challenge is a significant one, taking on an Aston Villa side desperate to shake off their dreadful away form. This clash comes at a precarious time for both clubs: Everton are teetering just above the relegation zone after a turbulent season, while Villa are fighting to keep their top-four ambitions alive amidst a string of dismal results on the road. The stakes could hardly be higher.

For Everton, the return of Moyes brings a sense of nostalgia and, perhaps, hope. The Scot, who enjoyed an impressive 11-year tenure with the Toffees, will need to conjure every ounce of his tactical nous to reverse their fortunes. The home crowd, buoyed by his return, will demand a performance that banishes memories of Sean Dyche’s stiflingly negative tactics, which led to his dismissal last week. Meanwhile, Aston Villa will arrive with a point to prove. Despite sitting in the top half of the table, their dreadful run of five straight Premier League away defeats has left manager Unai Emery facing questions about his side’s ability to perform outside the comfort of Villa Park.

The Best Bet: Everton to Win

Backing Everton to secure victory seems a calculated and logical choice for this match, especially with Villa’s frailties on the road. Moyes’ return will inevitably inject fresh energy into the side, while Villa’s struggles away from home make them vulnerable in this type of fixture.

Everton’s home form has been one of their few saving graces this season. Across all competitions, they have only suffered one defeat in their last nine outings at Goodison Park, a statistic that highlights their ability to frustrate visiting teams. Their defensive organisation at home has been especially impressive, with four clean sheets in their last five matches on Merseyside. While the Toffees have struggled for goals, their backline, marshalled by James Tarkowski and Jarrad Branthwaite, has shown resilience under pressure. This solidity will be crucial against Villa, who, despite possessing attacking talent, have failed to score more than once in any of their last six away league games.

On the other side, Aston Villa’s away form paints a dire picture. They have suffered five consecutive Premier League defeats on the road, shipping two or more goals in each of those matches. The absence of key defensive players like Pau Torres and the potential unavailability of Diego Carlos further weakens their already shaky backline. Even Jhon Duran’s return up front, while welcome, does little to mask the fact that Villa are a team that struggles to impose themselves away from Villa Park.

Moyes’ tactical approach is likely to focus on ensuring his side remain compact, aggressive, and opportunistic. Players like Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Iliman Ndiaye will be tasked with making the most of their chances, particularly given that Villa’s full-backs, including Matty Cash, have shown vulnerabilities in recent matches. Everton’s defensive steel, combined with the lift provided by Moyes’ return, gives them the edge in what is expected to be a tightly contested encounter.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Graham Hartshorn suggests: “Moyes knows how to get the best out of teams fighting for survival, and his return should galvanise Everton. With Villa’s dreadful away form, this looks like the perfect opportunity for the Toffees to grind out a much-needed victory.”

With Villa’s travel sickness showing no signs of improvement, and Everton buoyed by the energy of a new (albeit familiar) leader, a home win appears to be the standout bet for this midweek clash.

Correct Score Prediction: Everton 1-0 Aston Villa

A slender 1-0 victory for Everton is the most plausible outcome. Both teams have struggled for goals this season, and the match is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. Everton’s defensive organisation at home has been one of their few consistent qualities, and their ability to grind out narrow wins is a hallmark of Moyes’ managerial style.

Villa’s lack of firepower on the road is another key factor. Despite their attacking talent, they have only managed 11 goals in nine away fixtures this season. Emery’s men have looked bereft of ideas when faced with well-drilled defences, and Everton’s ability to stay compact and hit on the counter could prove decisive. Ndiaye, who has been in solid form with two goals in his last four appearances, could once again be the hero for the Toffees.

Ultimately, this match is likely to be defined by fine margins, with Everton’s ability to dig deep under Moyes giving them the edge. Villa’s vulnerabilities on the road, combined with Everton’s home resilience, point towards a narrow victory for the hosts.

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