Estrela Amadora vs Alverca Predictions

Estrela Amadora vs Alverca Predictions for this Primeira Liga. Estrela Amadora host Alverca at Estádio José Gomes on Monday, with both sides chasing their first victories of the 2025–26 Primeira Liga season on matchday three. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Primeira Liga  | Aug 25 2025 at 8:15 pm UK at Estádio José Gomes

Estrela Amadora vs Alverca Predictions

Can the Tricolores Finally Deliver at Home?

• Estrela’s home struggles continue
  • Despite staying up last year, Estrela have managed just one win in their last ten Primeira Liga matches at the José Gomes.
• Alverca leaking goals for fun
  • The newly promoted side have already conceded five goals in two games this season, showing how vulnerable their defence looks against top-flight opposition.
• Both sides struggling in front of goal
  • Between them, Estrela and Alverca have scored just two goals in four league matches so far, raising questions about attacking sharpness on both ends.

Best Bet for Estrela Amadora vs Alverca

The José Gomes Stadium will be alive on Monday night as Estrela Amadora and Alverca clash in a battle between two sides desperate to kickstart their Primeira Liga campaigns. The hosts have had a mixed beginning, securing just a single point from their first two games, while Alverca’s return to the top flight after more than two decades has been a baptism of fire, with two defeats leaving them stranded at the bottom.

Estrela’s story has been one of frustration stretching back into last season. They limped through the final weeks, barely staying above the drop zone, and have now gone five league matches without a win. A spirited draw at Estoril on opening day, salvaged late by Ianis Stoica, showed signs of resilience, but against Benfica they were undone once more – even though the effort was far from lacking. With manager José Faria returning to the touchline after suspension, the pressure is on to prove that his side can finally turn potential into points, especially at a stadium where they’ve won just once in ten league matches.

Alverca, meanwhile, are learning the hard way what top-tier football demands. A cruel stoppage-time strike denied them a draw against Moreirense, before they were ripped apart by Braga in the first half an hour of their second match. Conceding three without reply left them shell-shocked, and manager Custodio Castro knows this trip could quickly turn sour if his players fail to adapt to the pace and intensity of Primeira Liga life.

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Best Bet for this Match: Estrela Amadora to Win

Here at BettingTips4You, we focus on one clear and confident prediction per match rather than drowning readers with endless possibilities. Quality over quantity is our mantra, and for this game, the standout selection is backing Estrela Amadora to win.

Why? For all their struggles, Estrela are still a side with greater experience at this level, and with their head coach back on the sidelines, the balance and intensity of their play should rise a notch. Alverca’s early-season struggles have exposed a brittle backline that looks far from prepared for the rigours of top-flight football.

At José Gomes, even with their poor recent home record, Estrela will see this as a golden opportunity to claim their first victory. Alverca have not only lost both games but also shipped five goals while scoring just once. Against Braga, their midfield was non-existent in the first 30 minutes, and similar lapses here could gift Estrela the platform to dominate.

There’s also the psychological angle – Estrela’s comeback win over Strasbourg on the final day of last season to secure safety injected belief into the squad. With Faria’s return and a slightly more favourable opponent compared to Benfica, this is the kind of fixture they simply cannot afford to let slip.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Semproni explains:

“When you look at this clash, Estrela may not be world-beaters, but Alverca’s defence has been alarmingly open. Back the home side – their intensity and experience at this level should make the difference.”

Expect Estrela to come out sharp, press high, and try to unsettle a nervous Alverca defence. The hosts’ ability to take control in midfield, especially if Assane Ndiaye slots in smoothly, could tilt the game heavily in their favour.

Given the context, a narrow but deserved Estrela win looks the most probable outcome. Alverca might battle hard, but their lack of quality in both boxes makes this an uphill fight.

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Suggested Correct Score: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Alverca

A 2-1 home win feels likely – Estrela should edge proceedings thanks to superior organisation and attacking edge, but their defensive frailties mean Alverca could sneak a goal.

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