Estonia vs Slovakia Predictions

Estonia vs Slovakia predictions for Thursday’s UEFA Nations League contest. Estonia and Slovakia face off in a UEFA Nations League C match in Tallinn on Thursday night, with both teams eager to start their campaigns positively. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | League C | Sep 5, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at A. Le Coq Arena

Estonia vs Slovakia Predictions

Can Estonia Hold Firm Against Slovakia’s Sturdy Defence in Tallinn?
  • Estonia have scored just 0.3 goals per game across their Euro 2024 qualifying campaign, underscoring their attacking struggles.
  • Slovakia conceded only eight goals in their 10 Euro 2024 qualifiers, half of which came against Portugal, illustrating their defensive solidity.
  • Estonia have failed to score in six of their last nine competitive matches, highlighting their struggles in front of goal.

Best Bet

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Total Corners Over 10 @ 9/5
Reasoning
Over 9.5 corners is a solid bet, given Manchester United’s dominance and Barnsley’s defensive approach. United’s wing play and attacking pressure should easily increase the corner count.
Odds subject to change
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Estonia will host Slovakia in a UEFA Nations League C opener in Tallinn, both sides eager to start their campaigns on a strong note. Estonia, buoyed by recent friendly victories, are aiming to impress their home crowd, while Slovakia, after their Euro 2024 heartbreak, will be looking to assert dominance and secure promotion. Thursday night’s match will set the tone for both teams, and it promises to be a competitive and tactical encounter.

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Based on the analysis of both teams’ recent form and statistics, the best bet for this match is backing Slovakia to win in a game with under 2.5 goals. The rationale behind this prediction stems from the contrast between the teams’ offensive and defensive capabilities.

Estonia, despite their friendly successes, have struggled significantly in competitive matches. They lost seven out of eight qualifiers for Euro 2024, managing to score just twice, while conceding 27 goals in nine games. These numbers indicate a team that lacks the firepower to break down sturdy defences, especially those as well-organised as Slovakia’s. On the other hand, Slovakia have proven to be a resilient side, conceding only eight goals in their 10 Euro 2024 qualifiers. Notably, half of those goals came against Portugal, one of the best teams in Europe.

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Looking at Estonia’s attack, they average only 0.3 goals per game and manage just 1.8 shots on target per game. These numbers suggest that Estonia will find it difficult to penetrate Slovakia’s defence, particularly given Slovakia’s strong defensive organisation. Meanwhile, Slovakia’s attack, led by the likes of Ivan Schranz and supported by experienced midfielders such as Juraj Kucka, have shown that they can get the job done in low-scoring games. With 1.5 big chances created per game and an impressive aerial presence, they are likely to nick a goal, possibly from a set-piece or a well-constructed counter-attack.

This prediction is further supported by Slovakia’s Nations League form, where they secured two 1-0 away wins in their 2022 campaign. Estonia, conversely, have been vulnerable in such matches, conceding 3 goals per game on average. They also struggle to hold possession, averaging just 32.9% ball control in their Euro 2024 qualifiers. Slovakia’s ability to dominate possession, with 47.8%, further tips the balance in their favour, suggesting they will control the tempo and dictate the play.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Robin Bylund states: “Given Slovakia’s defensive solidity and Estonia’s struggles in front of goal, a narrow win for the visitors looks the most likely outcome. Expect a low-scoring affair, with Slovakia edging it through their organisation and experience.”

With Slovakia’s stronger recent form and Estonia’s vulnerability, backing Slovakia to win with under 2.5 goals offers the best value.

Correct Score Prediction: Estonia 0-1 Slovakia

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The correct score prediction for this match is 0-1 in favour of Slovakia. This aligns with our best bet of a low-scoring match where Slovakia control proceedings but do not run riot. Estonia’s defence, while leaky in the Euro qualifiers, can be more stubborn in a home setting, particularly in a tournament opener where teams tend to adopt a cautious approach. Moreover, Slovakia’s own scoring rate suggests they are not prolific goal-scorers, having netted just four goals in their last four matches.

Slovakia’s 1.0 goals per game from their Euro 2024 campaign and Estonia’s significant defensive issues point to Slovakia likely scoring just once. This scoreline is consistent with Estonia’s inability to score regularly, averaging just 0.3 goals per game and only managing three goals in their nine Euro 2024 qualifiers.

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Robin Bylund
Robin is a Premier League fanatic from Sweden that barely misses a minute of action from England's top flight. Robin's been with us since 2015 and combines his work for us with his own Podcast, while also freelancing as a translator and content producer for various media outlets.