Estonia vs Azerbaijan Predictions

Estonia vs Azerbaijan Predictions for this Nations League clash. Estonia and Azerbaijan, both winless, face off on Friday in a crucial UEFA Nations League match, with both teams already battling potential relegation. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | League A | Oct 10, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at A. Le Coq Arena

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Estonia vs Azerbaijan Predictions

Can Estonia Stop the Rot or Will Azerbaijan Take Control?

  • Estonia’s Attacking Struggles: Estonia have failed to score in five of their last seven home matches, highlighting their inability to convert chances into goals.
  • Azerbaijan’s Away Record: Azerbaijan have managed just four goals in their last six away games, including a recent 2-0 win over Estonia, but have struggled for consistency on the road.
  • Tight Defences Expected: Both teams have conceded exactly two goals per game on average in the Nations League this season, suggesting a low-scoring encounter is on the cards.

Our Tips

Bournemouth to Win and Both Teams to Score
19/10 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Bournemouth, driven by Ouattara's form and attacking prowess, are favoured to win while conceding. West Ham's defensive struggles persist, highlighted by poor xGA metrics and top-half results.
Over 9.5 Corners in the Match
4/11 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Bournemouth’s attacking style and West Ham’s reliance on wide play suggest a high-corner count. Over 9.5 corners is likely, with both teams exploiting wide areas and set-piece opportunities.
Bournemouth 3-1
12/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Bournemouth are tipped to win 3-1, driven by their attacking dominance and West Ham’s defensive vulnerabilities. Bowen or a set piece offers West Ham’s consolation in an otherwise one-sided affair.

This Friday, the UEFA Nations League serves up a critical clash as Estonia host Azerbaijan. Both teams find themselves anchored at the bottom of League C Group 1, without a point to their names, and they’ll be desperate to turn their fortunes around. With the threat of relegation looming over both sides, this game carries extra weight, and the tension is palpable.

Estonia, playing on home soil in Tallinn, are reeling from back-to-back defeats, first against Slovakia and then Sweden. Despite showing flashes of resilience, particularly in managing to avoid a complete collapse against Sweden after being three goals down at half-time, the Blueshirts have yet to score a goal in this campaign. Azerbaijan, meanwhile, have also tasted defeat twice but under the leadership of veteran coach Fernando Santos, they will be keen to exploit Estonia’s recent struggles and return to winning ways.

Best Bet: A Draw

Given the circumstances surrounding both sides, a draw appears to be the most realistic outcome for this fixture. Neither team is in scintillating form, and both have struggled to find the back of the net, which sets up a low-scoring, hard-fought contest. Estonia’s home advantage, combined with their recent defensive resolve, will make it difficult for Azerbaijan to break them down, while Estonia’s own attacking frailties suggest they may struggle to capitalise on their chances.

Estonia have failed to score in five of their last seven home matches, a statistic that paints a gloomy picture for their attacking prospects. Furthermore, they will be without their first-choice striker Rauno Sappinen, who has withdrawn due to illness, further limiting their offensive options. Without the firepower up front, Estonia will likely struggle to breach Azerbaijan’s backline, especially considering that Kevor Palumets, a key figure in their midfield, will also be missing due to suspension.

On the other hand, Azerbaijan haven’t been prolific on the road either, scoring just four goals in their last six away fixtures. Their own defensive frailties have been evident, conceding five goals in their first two Nations League matches this season. However, they did manage to defeat Estonia 2-0 on their last visit to Tallinn, which could provide them with a psychological edge. Nevertheless, their recent form, with two successive losses, doesn’t inspire much confidence in an outright win.

The likelihood of both teams cancelling each other out is high. With Estonia’s lack of goals and Azerbaijan’s mixed results on the road, it’s hard to see either side running away with the game. A draw feels like the most balanced outcome, especially in a match that could easily descend into a cagey affair.

“This match has all the makings of a tight contest. Neither team can afford to lose, and with both sides lacking goals and form, a draw seems like the safest bet,” says BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten. “Estonia’s home advantage will likely balance out Azerbaijan’s slightly superior quality in the final third, leading to a stalemate.”

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Correct Score Prediction: 1-1 Draw

Given the expectation of a low-scoring game, a 1-1 draw feels like the most appropriate scoreline. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and yet lack the cutting edge to dominate the game offensively. Estonia, despite being at home, will likely struggle to create clear-cut chances, especially with Sappinen absent. However, the Blueshirts could still find the back of the net once, perhaps through a set piece or counter-attack, as Azerbaijan have shown they can concede away from home.

Azerbaijan, with attacking options like Renat Dadashov and Toral Bayramov, should be able to breach Estonia’s defence at least once. The visitors’ biggest threat will likely come from the wings, with Bayramov in particular looking to make up for his recent high-profile penalty miss in the Europa League. Azerbaijan have averaged just 0.5 goals per game in the Nations League so far, and Estonia have conceded two goals per game in this competition, making a 1-1 draw a reasonable prediction.

Given the lack of firepower on both sides, expecting more than two goals seems optimistic. A 1-1 draw fits the narrative of two struggling teams attempting to grind out a result in what could be a scrappy encounter. It’s a scoreline that reflects the overall balance between these two sides, who are both low on confidence and goals.

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Wolfgang Shotten
Author of betting articles for prominent German publications. Endures Hertha Berlin's ups and downs. Passionate Real Madrid supporter, is our Bundesliga expert. Has been covering the German's top-flight for more than 10 years with great success. Love football details. Based in Berlin, worked for BettingTips4You 5 years ago, and now the routes have met again!