England vs Switzerland Predictions

England vs Switzerland predictions for this Euro 2024 clash. England face Switzerland in Dusseldorf, aiming for a Euro 2024 semi-final spot, seeking redemption from the 2021 final. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

European Championship | Quarter-Finals – Jul 6, 2024 at 5pm UK at Merkur Spiel-Arena

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England vs Switzerland Predictions

Can England Overcome Their Inconsistencies to Defeat Switzerland?

Pitting their wits against a determined team looking to deny them a repeat of the 2021 final, England’s squad is set to clash with Switzerland in a quarter-final battle at the Merkur Spiel-Arena in Dusseldorf on Saturday evening. Both teams have arrived at this stage with contrasting performances in the tournament, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter.

Match Preview

While a section of England fans expressed their dissatisfaction with Southgate’s tactics following a lacklustre draw against Slovenia, others retained hope that knockout football would ignite a stronger performance. However, their last-16 clash against Slovakia continued to highlight England’s struggle to assert dominance. Slovakia took a deserved lead through Ivan Schranz, marking his third goal of the tournament, and thwarted England’s advances for most of the game.

It was a moment of brilliance from Jude Bellingham that brought England level, followed by a quick goal from Harry Kane in extra time to complete a dramatic turnaround. Despite the victory, the performance drew familiar criticism. England have not secured a win in regular time since their opening match against Serbia, highlighting their ongoing struggle to impress.

Southgate’s ability to navigate through knockout stages is notable, having led England to four consecutive major tournament quarter-finals. With seven knockout victories in World Cup and European Championship history, Southgate surpasses all other England managers combined since 1966. Nonetheless, these achievements provide little solace if the team’s performances do not improve.

Switzerland, on the other hand, have been more convincing. They deservedly ousted reigning champions Italy, with Ruben Vargas and Remo Freuler playing pivotal roles. Switzerland’s unbeaten run and solid form have established them as formidable opponents, extending their streak to eight matches without a loss in all competitions.

England’s Challenges and Potential Tactical Shifts

The absence of Marc Guehi, due to injury and suspension, is a significant blow for England. In response, Southgate is contemplating a shift to a three-man defence, with Ezri Konsa likely to replace Guehi. This tactical adjustment aims to bolster England’s defensive solidity while accommodating the wing-back roles of Kieran Trippier and Bukayo Saka.

England’s attacking prowess, however, remains a concern. Despite a star-studded lineup, their inability to produce consistent and convincing attacking performances has been glaring. The reliance on individual brilliance, such as Bellingham’s spectacular goal against Slovakia, underscores the lack of cohesive attacking play.

Switzerland, meanwhile, have a clean bill of health and a settled lineup. The return of Silvan Widmer from suspension presents Murat Yakin with a selection dilemma, given Dan Ndoye’s impressive performance against Italy. A potential solution involves integrating Ndoye into the front three, adding dynamism and creativity to Switzerland’s attack.

Expected Lineups

England:

• Pickford
• Walker, Konsa, Stones
• Trippier, Bellingham, Rice, Foden, Saka
• Kane, Toney

Switzerland:

• Sommer
• Schar, Rodriguez, Akanji
• Widmer, Xhaka, Freuler, Aebischer
• Ndoye, Vargas
• Embolo

Tactical Analysis and Predictions

England’s struggles in attack have been well-documented. They have averaged just one goal per game, with a mere 3.3 shots on target per match. The lack of creativity and penetration in the final third has been a significant issue, necessitating tactical adjustments to enhance their offensive output.

Conversely, Switzerland have demonstrated efficiency in front of goal, averaging 1.8 goals per game with a balanced contribution from both feet. Their disciplined defensive structure, conceding only 0.8 goals per game, poses a formidable challenge for England’s attackers.

Tactical Analysis: Deep-Dive

Offensive and Defensive Strategies

England:

England’s offensive strategy has often revolved around a patient build-up, focusing on maintaining possession and slowly advancing up the field. Gareth Southgate’s preferred 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation aims to utilise the width provided by players like Bukayo Saka and Phil Foden, while Harry Kane operates as the central figure in attack. However, this approach has often resulted in a lack of urgency and penetration. The team’s struggle to create clear-cut chances was evident in their matches, with only 3.3 shots on target per game. Jude Bellingham’s moment of magic against Slovakia, where he scored a bicycle kick, highlighted the team’s reliance on individual brilliance rather than cohesive attacking play.

Defensively, England have been relatively solid, conceding only 0.5 goals per game. The backline, marshalled by John Stones, has been competent, but the absence of Marc Guehi due to suspension is a significant setback. Southgate’s potential shift to a three-man defence, incorporating Ezri Konsa, aims to add defensive stability. However, the defensive setup has often been criticised for being too cautious, leading to lapses in concentration, as seen in their last-16 clash against Slovakia.

Switzerland:

Switzerland, under Murat Yakin, have adopted a balanced approach with a 3-4-2-1 formation. Their offensive strategy is dynamic, relying on quick transitions and exploiting spaces with the pace and creativity of players like Ruben Vargas and Breel Embolo. Switzerland’s average of 1.8 goals per game is a testament to their efficient attacking play, with Vargas and Embolo being pivotal in their forward thrusts. The team’s ability to score from both inside and outside the box adds a layer of unpredictability to their attack.

Defensively, Switzerland have been robust, conceding only 0.8 goals per game. The three-man defence, led by Manuel Akanji and Fabian Schär, provides solidity at the back. Silvan Widmer’s return from suspension strengthens their right flank, allowing for a balance between defensive duties and offensive support. Switzerland’s defensive discipline and ability to recover the ball efficiently have been key in their unbeaten run.

Individual Performances of Key Players

England:

Jude Bellingham has been a standout performer, showcasing his ability to drive forward and create scoring opportunities. His spectacular goal against Slovakia was a highlight of England’s campaign. Declan Rice’s role as a defensive midfielder has been crucial, with his ability to break up opposition play and provide cover for the defence. However, Harry Kane, despite scoring twice, has struggled to consistently impact games due to the lack of service and support from midfield.

Switzerland:

Ruben Vargas has been instrumental in Switzerland’s attack, contributing with goals and assists. His performance against Italy, where he scored and assisted, exemplified his importance to the team. Granit Xhaka’s leadership and vision in midfield have been vital, providing both defensive cover and creative passes. Breel Embolo, despite an injury-ravaged season, has made significant contributions, including a goal against Hungary.

Impact of Management on Style of Play

England:

Gareth Southgate’s cautious approach has been a double-edged sword for England. While it has provided defensive solidity, it has often stifled the team’s attacking potential. The lack of creativity and dynamism in midfield has been a persistent issue. Southgate’s tactical rigidity and reluctance to adapt have drawn criticism, particularly after tepid performances in the group stages and the narrow escape against Slovakia.

Switzerland:

Murat Yakin’s management has transformed Switzerland into a well-organised and efficient unit. His tactical flexibility and ability to get the best out of his players have been commendable. Yakin’s decision to employ a three-man defence and utilise wing-backs effectively has balanced their defensive duties with attacking support. His proactive approach and willingness to adapt tactics based on opponents have been key to Switzerland’s success.

Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

Expected goals (xG) is a useful metric to understand the quality of chances created and conceded by a team. England’s xG figures reflect their struggles in attack, with a low number of high-quality chances. Their reliance on moments of individual brilliance rather than structured attacking play is evident in their inconsistent xG numbers.

Switzerland, conversely, have posted impressive xG figures, indicating a more effective and cohesive attacking unit. Their ability to create high-quality chances, coupled with clinical finishing, underscores their superior offensive strategy compared to England.

Comparison of Tactics, Player Performances, and Overall Success

Tactically, Switzerland have shown greater flexibility and effectiveness in their approach. Yakin’s use of a 3-4-2-1 formation allows for both defensive solidity and attacking dynamism. England’s tactics, under Southgate, have been more conservative, often resulting in predictable and uninspired performances.

In terms of player performances, Switzerland’s key players like Ruben Vargas and Granit Xhaka have consistently delivered, contributing significantly to both attack and defence. England’s reliance on individual moments from players like Bellingham highlights their lack of a cohesive team strategy.

Overall success is reflected in Switzerland’s unbeaten run and their impressive victory over Italy, while England have scraped through their matches without displaying convincing performances. Switzerland’s balanced approach and effective management have set them apart as a more cohesive and successful unit in this tournament.

Suggestions for Improvement

England:

1. Increase Attacking Urgency: England need to adopt a more proactive and dynamic approach in attack. This involves quicker transitions and more incisive passing to create high-quality chances.
2. Utilise Creative Midfielders: Incorporating more creativity in midfield, perhaps giving players like Phil Foden a more central role, could help unlock stubborn defences.
3. Defensive Concentration: Maintaining defensive focus throughout the match and reducing unnecessary errors will be crucial, especially against well-organised teams like Switzerland.

Switzerland:

1. Maintain Defensive Discipline: While their defensive performance has been solid, ensuring that they maintain concentration and avoid lapses will be vital against stronger attacking sides.
2. Exploit Width: Utilising the width provided by wing-backs like Silvan Widmer can stretch opposition defences and create more space for attackers like Embolo and Vargas.
3. Continue Tactical Flexibility: Yakin’s willingness to adapt tactics based on opponents has been a strength. Continuing this approach will keep Switzerland unpredictable and effective.

Strengths and Weaknesses of the Teams

England:

Strengths:

• Defensive Solidity: England’s defensive record has been commendable, with only 0.5 goals conceded per game.
• Individual Brilliance: Players like Bellingham and Kane have the ability to produce moments of magic.

Weaknesses:

• Lack of Creativity: The team’s attacking play has been uninspired, with a heavy reliance on individual moments.
• Tactical Rigidity: Southgate’s reluctance to adapt and innovate has stifled the team’s potential.

Switzerland:

Strengths:

• Balanced Play: Switzerland have been effective both defensively and offensively, with a well-organised approach.
• Tactical Flexibility: Yakin’s ability to adapt tactics has kept opponents guessing and allowed Switzerland to maximise their strengths.

Weaknesses:

• Defensive Lapses: Occasional lapses in concentration have led to unnecessary goals conceded.
• Dependence on Key Players: While Vargas and Xhaka have been standout performers, over-reliance on them could be risky.

Critical Analysis of Management

Gareth Southgate’s management of England has been underwhelming, to say the least. His conservative tactics and reluctance to adapt have often left the team struggling to break down opposition defences. The persistence with a cautious approach, despite having a wealth of attacking talent, has been frustrating for fans and pundits alike. Southgate’s inability to inspire a coherent and dynamic attacking strategy is a glaring weakness, and his decisions have often been questioned.

Murat Yakin, on the other hand, has been a breath of fresh air for Switzerland. His proactive and adaptable approach has maximised the potential of his squad. Yakin’s tactical flexibility and ability to motivate his players have been instrumental in their success. His decision-making and strategic nous have set Switzerland apart as a well-drilled and effective team.

Predictions

Best Bet: Switzerland to Win

Given the contrasting forms of both teams, Switzerland appear to be in a stronger position to secure victory. The Swiss have showcased consistent performances throughout the tournament, boasting an unbeaten streak of eight matches. Their cohesive team play and tactical discipline have been pivotal in their success.

England, on the other hand, have struggled to find their rhythm, with only one victory in their last five matches. The Three Lions have shown vulnerabilities, particularly in their attacking play, which Switzerland can exploit. With solid defensive organisation and effective counter-attacking strategies, Switzerland are well-placed to capitalise on England’s inconsistencies and secure a win.

Correct Score Prediction: England 1-2 Switzerland

This scoreline reflects Switzerland’s defensive robustness and their ability to score efficiently. England, despite having potential match-winners, have struggled to maintain consistent attacking pressure. Switzerland’s well-drilled defence, led by the likes of Manuel Akanji and Fabian Schär, is capable of containing England’s forwards.

On the offensive front, players like Ruben Vargas and Breel Embolo have shown their scoring prowess, making it likely that Switzerland will find the back of the net. Given England’s tendency to rely on individual moments of brilliance, they are likely to score, but Switzerland’s overall team performance gives them the edge for a narrow victory.

Goalscorer Prediction: Ruben Vargas

Ruben Vargas has been a key player for Switzerland, contributing significantly in both scoring and assisting. His ability to exploit spaces and his clinical finishing make him a strong candidate to score against England. Vargas has already demonstrated his scoring capabilities in the tournament, and his form suggests he will continue to be a threat.

With Switzerland’s midfield providing ample support and creating opportunities, Vargas is likely to capitalise on any defensive lapses from England. His movement and sharpness in front of goal make him the top pick for an anytime goalscorer in this match.

Corner Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners

Both England and Switzerland have shown a tendency to win corners, indicating a high number of set-piece opportunities in this match. England have averaged 4.5 corners per game, while Switzerland have averaged 5.

The attacking styles of both teams, combined with their strategies to utilise width and set pieces, suggest that the match will see a significant number of corners. The tactical setups of both sides, aiming to create scoring chances through crosses and shots from outside the box, will further contribute to this statistic. Therefore, expecting more than 8.5 corners in this match is a well-founded prediction.

Shot on Target Prediction: Jude Bellingham

Jude Bellingham has been a standout performer for England, often producing key moments when needed. His ability to take on defenders and create shooting opportunities from midfield positions makes him a likely candidate to have shots on target.

Bellingham’s willingness to drive forward and his composure in shooting positions have been evident throughout the tournament. Given his pivotal role in England’s attack, he is expected to be involved in critical offensive plays, making him a solid pick for recording shots on target during the game.

Yellow Card Prediction: Declan Rice

Declan Rice’s role as a defensive midfielder involves breaking up opposition attacks and protecting the backline, often putting him in situations where fouls are necessary. His combative style and high tackle rate make him a prime candidate for receiving a yellow card.

Rice’s responsibility to disrupt Switzerland’s midfield play and his tendency to engage in physical duels increase the likelihood of him being cautioned. Considering the intense nature of knockout matches and the need for tactical fouls, Rice is a strong prediction for a yellow card in this fixture.

Assist Prediction: Granit Xhaka

Granit Xhaka’s vision and passing accuracy make him a prime candidate for providing assists. As a central figure in Switzerland’s midfield, Xhaka’s ability to distribute the ball effectively and find key passes is crucial. His role in set-pieces and his knack for creating scoring opportunities from deep positions enhance his chances of registering an assist. Xhaka’s understanding with forwards like Breel Embolo and Ruben Vargas, combined with his leadership on the pitch, make him a likely provider of assists in this match.

Innovative Market Prediction: Total Team Shots on Target – Switzerland

Switzerland’s attacking efficiency and England’s defensive frailties suggest that the Swiss will have a higher number of shots on target. Switzerland have shown their ability to generate scoring opportunities, averaging 4.5 shots on target per game. With England’s defence looking susceptible at times, Switzerland are likely to exploit these weaknesses.

Backing Switzerland to have more than 5 shots on target aligns with their attacking form and the tactical approach of creating multiple goal-scoring chances. This prediction is supported by Switzerland’s consistent performance in front of goal throughout the tournament.

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