England vs Greece Predictions

England vs Greece predictions for this Nations League fixture. England, under Lee Carsley, aim for a third consecutive win as they host Greece at Wembley on Thursday evening in UEFA Nations League League B Group 2. England are clear favourites. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | League B | Oct 10, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at Wembley Stadium

England vs Greece Predictions

Can Greece Upset the Odds at Wembley or Will England Continue Their Winning Streak?

• England’s attacking dominance: England are averaging 19 shots per game in the Nations League, with 8.5 of those hitting the target. Greece’s defence will be under immense pressure to keep this out.
• Greece’s struggle to create: Greece have averaged just 0.5 big chances per game in their two matches so far, showing their limited creativity against tougher defences.
• England’s defensive solidity: The Three Lions have yet to concede in this Nations League campaign, allowing only 0.5 shots on target per game—a testament to their control and organisation.

Our Tips

The UEFA Nations League Group B2 clash between England and Greece is shaping up to be an exciting encounter, with both sides in fine form. England, under the interim guidance of Lee Carsley, have been impressive so far, winning both of their matches without conceding a single goal. Greece, however, are no pushovers, having also secured two wins from two, topping the group thanks to a slightly better goal difference. The stakes are high, as both teams look to claim the top spot and secure a promotion to League A. Will England’s firepower be too much for the Greeks, or will Ivan Jovanovic’s side pull off a surprise at Wembley?

With England unbeaten in their last nine encounters against Greece, confidence will be sky-high for Carsley and his men. However, Greece have shown resilience under new management, and despite missing some key players, they will not be easy to break down. The stage is set for what could be a tight yet entertaining contest.

Best Bet: England -1 to Win

England enter this match with a clear upper hand, both in terms of quality and form. Lee Carsley’s side have been dominant in their opening two games, registering consecutive 2-0 wins, and they haven’t shown signs of weakness. Greece, while certainly solid, do not boast the same depth or attacking threat, especially with the absence of their star forward, Fotis Ioannidis. Betting on England to win by at least two goals (-1 on the handicap) seems the safest route.

England’s key strength lies in their possession game, as shown by their impressive 77.5% ball possession rate across their two Nations League fixtures. This ability to dominate the midfield, led by Jude Bellingham and Declan Rice, will likely stifle Greece’s attack and limit their chances to counter. Greece, on the other hand, have shown vulnerability in previous matches when facing stronger opposition, and Thursday’s clash will be a big step up in class.

Moreover, Harry Kane, though not at full fitness, has proven time and again his ability to produce in crucial moments. Even if Carsley opts to rest him, England can count on the likes of Ollie Watkins or Dominic Solanke to step up. With creative players like Phil Foden, Cole Palmer, and Jack Grealish feeding the frontline, England’s attack looks more than capable of breaking through a Greek defence that has kept two clean sheets, but hasn’t been tested by a side of England’s calibre.

The numbers back up this approach. England are averaging 19 shots per game, with 8.5 of those on target, which means Vlachodimos in the Greek goal can expect to be busy. Furthermore, England have scored all their goals from inside the box, showing that once they get into dangerous areas, they are clinical. Compare this with Greece’s average of 9.5 shots per game, and it’s clear that England should have the lion’s share of chances.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Tyler Morris notes: “England are simply too strong in all departments. Their superior possession game and attacking threat, even with a rotated squad, should be enough to break down Greece. Backing England on the -1 handicap is a smart move here.”

Correct Score Prediction: England 2-0 Greece

If we are backing England on the handicap, a 2-0 scoreline seems like the most likely outcome. It mirrors England’s performances so far in the Nations League, where they have won both games by the same scoreline. Greece, while capable of frustrating their opponents, have struggled to score against top-tier sides, especially away from home. Without Ioannidis, who has been their main attacking outlet, they could find themselves limited in front of goal.

England’s defensive solidity under Carsley has been impressive, with the team conceding zero goals in their last two matches. Marc Guehi and Levi Colwill have formed a reliable centre-back pairing, while Trent Alexander-Arnold adds both defensive assurance and attacking creativity from right-back. Greece’s best chance will likely come from set-pieces or counter-attacks, but England’s control of possession should minimise these opportunities.

Looking at the stats, Greece have scored five goals in their two Nations League matches but only managed 0.5 big chances per game. This suggests that while they can convert, they are not creating many high-quality opportunities. Against an England defence that has conceded just 0.5 shots on target per game, it’s hard to see them breaking through. As such, a 2-0 victory for England seems a logical prediction.

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