England vs Australia Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in an international friendly. Before continuing their quest to top their group for Euro 2024 qualification, England prepares for another friendly match, welcoming Australia to Wembley this Friday evening. Read on for our free predictions and tips.
Match Live Friday, 13th October at 7:45 pm In:
England vs Australia Predictions
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Wembley’s Friendly Duel: England and Australia’s Quest for Supremacy
Key Stats
– Australia have conceded at least two goals in four of their last five matches.
– England have averaged a ball possession of 60.2% in their recent games.
Wembley is abuzz once more, as England prepare to welcome Australia in a friendly match ahead of their crucial Euro 2024 qualification bid. Both teams come into this game with contrasting fortunes. While England displayed their dominance with a 3-1 victory against Scotland last month, Australia had to be content with a draw against Mexico.
England’s Momentum
England’s unbeaten streak in friendlies, particularly at home, is commendable. Following an upset by France in the World Cup quarter-finals, England’s resolve has been unshaken, winning five and drawing one of their recent six matches. Their performances at home, especially, have been noteworthy with an 11-match winning run. This streak’s significance is magnified considering that Italy was the last team to defeat the Three Lions in a friendly back in 2018.
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A highlight from their recent matches was their contest with Scotland, marking their 150th Anniversary Heritage Match. Though the first-ever showdown in 1872 may not have been a spectacle, their recent clash was nothing short of electric. Young talents like Phil Foden and Jude Bellingham were the standouts, putting England in the driving seat. While Scotland did manage to get a consolation, Harry Kane’s consistency ensured England came out on top.
Australia’s Struggle for Dominance
Graham Arnold’s Socceroos have faced challenges asserting their dominance in recent friendlies. They started promisingly against Mexico last month, leading by two goals, only to see their advantage slip away. The resilience of teams like Argentina, a constant thorn in their side, has proven difficult for Australia to navigate.
However, it’s worth noting the fighting spirit the Australian Women’s football team showcased by defeating the England Women’s side six months ago. The men’s team would surely be inspired by that victory, aiming to replicate such a performance.
Team Analysis
In terms of team changes, England face a challenge with a series of injuries. Key players like Bukayo Saka, Luke Shaw, and Reece James are unavailable. However, this could be a golden opportunity for emerging talents like Levi Colwill, Eddie Nketiah, Jarrod Bowen, and Ollie Watkins to prove their mettle. Bowen, especially, given his recent form, could be in line for a starting berth.
Australia, on the other hand, have had to make alterations too. Riley McGree’s absence due to a foot injury has been filled by Aiden O’Neill. The likes of Tom Glover, Lewis Miller, and Alessandro Circati will also be eager to make their mark.
Key Statistics
England:
- Average BettingTips4You Expert Rating: 7.07
- Goals Scored: 16
- Goals Conceded: 2
- Top Scorers: Harry Kane (5), Bukayo Saka (4)
- Ball Possession: 60.2%
Australia:
- Average BettingTips4You Expert Rating: 6.66
- Goals Scored: 4
- Goals Conceded: 6
- Ball Possession: 37.5%
Tactical Analysis
In their most recent matches, both England and Australia have showcased distinct styles, strategies, and evolving dynamics.
Offensive and Defensive Strategies
England, under the stewardship of Gareth Southgate, have lately exhibited a blend of youthful exuberance combined with the reliability of seasoned players. Players such as Phil Foden and Jude Bellingham have been paramount in their attacking prowess. Foden and Bellingham’s goals against Scotland are testaments to their ability to break through robust defences. Harry Kane, meanwhile, with his timely strike against Scotland, reinforced his position as one of the team’s primary goal threats.
Australia’s offensive strategies have had moments of brilliance, as witnessed in their lead against Mexico. However, their inability to protect that lead, conceding two late goals, highlights defensive frailties that teams with clinical finishers, like England, could exploit. Their consistency in scoring in nine out of their last ten games demonstrates their attacking potential.
Individual Performances
For England, Bukayo Saka’s recent performances have made him a standout, boasting the highest average BettingTips4You rating, but his absence due to injury might be a pivotal blow. Trent Alexander-Arnold, Harry Kane, and Marc Guéhi follow closely in terms of performance ratings. These individuals, along with other key players, have been instrumental in maintaining England’s high scoring average of 3.2 goals per match and a commanding ball possession of 60.2%.
On the other side, Australia’s top performers, based on recent matches, include Fran Karačić and Kye Rowles. Mitchell Duke and Craig Goodwin have shown their goal-scoring potential, even if the team’s overall attacking stats, like a scoring average of just one goal per match and lesser ball possession of 37.5%, pale in comparison to England.
Management Impact
Southgate’s approach to the England squad is one of balancing experience with emerging talent. This tact is evident in his selection choices, the trust he places in both the old guard like Harry Maguire, Jordan Henderson, and the new entrants like Foden and Bellingham. Southgate’s tactics, although sometimes debated, have led to a strong post-World Cup record.
Graham Arnold’s approach to the Australian team has been more conservative. The challenges his side face are evident in their ranking and stats. Yet, his persistence with certain players and tactics might be due to the challenges of building a cohesive side capable of challenging top-tier teams.
Expected Goals and Tactical Analysis
England’s expected goals (xG) would naturally be higher given their attacking stats, key players in form, and their success in friendly matches. Their solid defensive statistics, including an average of only 0.4 goals conceded per game, further amplify this.
Australia, with their defensive vulnerabilities showcased in recent matches, especially in the game against Mexico, may have a lower xG against a team like England. Their strategy might be more about containment, trying to nullify England’s threats, and capitalising on counter-attacks or set-pieces.
Comparative Analysis
In terms of tactics, England’s mix of youth and experience, combined with an expansive style of play and a higher ball possession percentage, gives them an edge. Australia’s approach seems more reactive, focusing on disrupting the opposition’s rhythm.
Both teams have standout players, but England’s in-form individuals, especially in their attacking line-up, pose a greater threat. Australia’s defensive statistics, with an average of 1.5 goals conceded per match, further highlight the gap between the two sides.
Suggestions for Improvement
For England, even with their strengths, there might be a need to focus on finishing big chances, given the average of 1.4 big chances missed per match.
Australia, on the other hand, needs to solidify their defence, especially in the latter stages of a game. Improving their ball possession and making their attacking moves count can put the opposition under pressure.
Dynamics, Strengths, and Weaknesses
While England’s strengths lie in their attacking prowess and ball possession, their dependence on certain players like Kane might be seen as a weakness if they are neutralised. Australia’s resilience and the unpredictability that comes with being an underdog are their strengths. Their recent defensive lapses, however, are a clear weakness.
Predictions
1. Match Outcome: Draw
The fascinating history between these two teams indicates a compelling encounter on the horizon. Looking at their previous performances, the Three Lions have been in formidable form, notably prevailing in 11 consecutive friendly matches, with a large majority of those victories coming at home. However, the historical data also reminds us that England’s only defeat to the Socceroos was a 3-1 setback in 2003. With Australia holding a memory of a win and England having a slight vulnerability after their 1-1 draw with Ukraine, a draw could very well be on the cards. Such an outcome could offer a balance to both teams’ aspirations and concerns.
2. Correct Score Prediction: 2-2
Looking into the recent fixtures, both teams have demonstrated a propensity to score. England overcame Scotland with a 3-1 margin, showcasing their offensive prowess. On the other side, Australia played a 2-2 draw with Mexico, a match in which they had a two-goal lead before being pulled back. This hints at Australia’s capability to find the net but also their vulnerability in maintaining a lead. England’s firepower and Australia’s recent tendency to be involved in high-scoring games point towards a possible 2-2 draw, ensuring an enthralling encounter for the fans.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: Harry Kane
Harry Kane has been in excellent form for England, consistently being a decisive factor in the team’s offensive setup. The statistics underline his importance, as he leads the scoring charts for England in the European Championship Qualification with 5 goals. Given his track record and his pivotal role in England’s attacking play, it would not be surprising to see Kane add to his tally against Australia. Moreover, Kane’s reliability was evident when he secured England’s two-goal advantage against Scotland, a testament to his big-game temperament.
4. Corner Prediction: England to have more corners; Total corners: 9
When diving into the tactical aspect of the game, corners can often provide insights into a team’s dominance and territorial advantage. England, with their impressive ball possession stats averaging at 60.2%, are likely to spend more time in the opposition’s half, thus winning more corners. In the European Championship Qualification, England average 4.4 corners per game. On the other hand, Australia, with a lesser ball possession average of 37.5%, have managed to win 2 corners per game in the World Championship 2022. Combining these figures and anticipating a tightly contested match, we can expect a total of approximately 9 corners in the game, with England edging out Australia in this department.
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