Dundee vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Dundee vs Kilmarnock predictions for this clash in the Scottish Premiership. Dundee host Kilmarnock in a top-six clash, having lost all four games since the split despite a strong season. Read on for our free La Liga predictions and betting tips.

Dundee
Kilmarnock

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 34 – May 18, 2024 at 12:30pm UK at Dens Park

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Dundee vs Kilmarnock Predictions

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Dundee vs Kilmarnock: A Battle for a Positive Finish in the Premiership

Key Stats

Dundee have conceded 67 goals this season, the highest among the top-six teams.

Kilmarnock have kept 14 clean sheets, highlighting their defensive solidity.

Danny Armstrong has been directly involved in 16 goals for Kilmarnock this season.

Dundee host Kilmarnock in a significant clash for both teams in the Scottish Premiership’s final weekend. Dundee have had an impressive return to the Premiership, securing a top-six finish. However, they have faltered in recent weeks, losing all four matches since the league split. Kilmarnock, on the other hand, have secured European football next season, a notable achievement following a solid campaign. Both teams come into this match after heavy defeats to the Old Firm clubs, with Dundee collapsing 5-2 against Rangers and Kilmarnock being thrashed 5-0 by Celtic.

Expected Lineups

Dundee:

  • Goalkeeper: McCracken
  • Defenders: McGhee, Astley, Portales, Dodgson
  • Midfielders: Sylla, Boateng, Cameron, McCowan, Tiffoney
  • Forward: Bakayoko

Kilmarnock:

  • Goalkeeper: Dennis
  • Defenders: Mayo, Deas, Findlay, Ndaba
  • Midfielders: Armstrong, Donnelly, Watson, Kennedy
  • Forwards: Watkins, Vassell

With captain Joe Shaughnessy missing for Dundee, the defensive responsibilities will fall heavily on Antonio Portales and his backline colleagues. For Kilmarnock, the absence of Brad Lyons and Kyle Magennis means that Danny Armstrong and the other midfielders must step up.

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Team Analysis

Dundee: Dundee’s season has been characterised by their resilience and ability to challenge stronger teams. However, recent results suggest they are struggling, particularly defensively. Conceding 67 goals in 37 matches, they have shown defensive vulnerabilities that Kilmarnock could exploit. Their offensive stats, with 48 goals scored and an average of 1.3 goals per game, indicate they have the capability to score, but their defence remains a major concern.

Kilmarnock: Kilmarnock have enjoyed their best season in recent years, securing a fourth-place finish. They have scored 45 goals while conceding 43, showcasing a balanced approach. Danny Armstrong, with six goals and numerous assists, has been a standout performer. Defensively, they have been relatively solid, with 14 clean sheets this season. Their ability to recover possession and control the midfield will be crucial against Dundee.

Key Matchups

Antonio Portales vs Kyle Vassell: Portales has been a key figure in Dundee’s defence, and his ability to manage Kilmarnock’s attacking threat, particularly Vassell, will be vital. Vassell, with nine goals, will look to exploit any defensive lapses.

Danny Armstrong vs Luke McCowan: Armstrong’s creativity and goal-scoring ability make him a critical player for Kilmarnock. McCowan, Dundee’s top scorer, will be aiming to counter this by leading Dundee’s offensive efforts.

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Gameplay Predictions

The match is likely to be a tight affair with both teams aiming to end their seasons positively. Dundee will rely on their home advantage and look to bounce back from recent defeats. They will need to improve defensively and use their midfield to create chances for Bakayoko and McCowan.

Kilmarnock, buoyed by their successful season, will look to control the midfield and utilise Armstrong’s creativity and Vassell’s finishing ability. They have been more consistent and will likely adopt a balanced approach, combining solid defence with quick counter-attacks.

Strategic Insights

Dundee:

  • Strengths: Resilience, home advantage, and goal-scoring capabilities.
  • Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, recent poor form, and conceding too many goals.

Kilmarnock:

  • Strengths: Balanced team, solid midfield control, and consistent performance.
  • Weaknesses: Occasional defensive lapses, reliance on key players, and managing high-pressure situations.

Managerial Analysis: Tony Docherty has done well with Dundee in their return season to the Premiership, but recent form suggests a need for better defensive strategies. Derek McInnes has successfully guided Kilmarnock to European qualification, but he will be keen to address any defensive weaknesses exposed in their heavy defeat to Celtic.

Expected Goals Analysis

Dundee have averaged 1.3 goals per game, indicating they have the potential to score but struggle defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Kilmarnock have a slightly lower scoring average of 1.2 goals per game but concede fewer goals at 1.2 per match. This expected goals data suggests that while both teams can score, Kilmarnock are more likely to maintain a solid defence.

Betting Angles

  • Dundee to Score First: Dundee, playing at home and eager to end their poor run, might score first to set the tone.
  • Correct Score Prediction: A 2-1 win for Kilmarnock, reflecting their balanced attack and defensive capabilities.
  • Goalscorer Prediction: Danny Armstrong to score anytime, given his form and influence in Kilmarnock’s attack.
  • Innovative Market: Over 11.5 corners, considering both teams’ attacking approaches and defensive vulnerabilities.

Predictions

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Best Bet: Kilmarnock to Win Given Dundee’s recent poor form and defensive issues, Kilmarnock are favourites to secure a win. Their balanced approach and stronger defence give them an edge, despite playing away from home. Kilmarnock’s consistency throughout the season further supports this prediction.

Correct Score Prediction: Kilmarnock to Win 2-1 Considering both teams’ scoring and defensive records, a 2-1 victory for Kilmarnock is a reasonable prediction. Dundee are likely to score due to their home advantage and attacking potential, but Kilmarnock’s overall balance and form should see them edge out a win.

Goalscorer Prediction: Danny Armstrong to Score Anytime Danny Armstrong has been a standout performer for Kilmarnock, contributing significantly to their attacking play. His goal-scoring ability and form make him a strong candidate to find the net against Dundee’s vulnerable defence.

Team to Score First: Dundee Despite their defensive struggles, Dundee have the advantage of playing at home and will be motivated to start strong. Scoring first would help them build confidence, especially after recent defeats. Given their need to end the season positively, they are likely to push early for a goal.

Innovative Market: Over 11.5 Corners Both teams’ attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities suggest a high number of corners. Dundee average 4.9 corners per game, while Kilmarnock average 5.9. This combined average supports the prediction of over 11.5 corners in the match, reflecting both teams’ tendencies to attack and defend in numbers.

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Herrin Kendrick
Herrin Kendrick is a sports journalist with 10 years of experience in the sports betting industry. His work has been referenced by many sports publications over the years. Sport passionate.