Derby vs Northampton Predictions

Derby vs Northampton Predictions for Tuesday’s League One clash. Following their defeat to Stevenage over the weekend, Derby County aim for a spirited comeback as they welcome Northampton Town on Tuesday. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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Derby County
Match Live Tuesday, 31st October at 7:45 pm In:
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Derby vs Northampton Predictions

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Battle at Pride Park!

Key Stats
– Derby County remain unbeaten in their last four home games.
– Northampton Town have struggled away, losing their last three.
– Derby’s Martyn Waghorn stands tall with six goals this season.

Fresh from a crushing defeat against Stevenage, the hosts, Derby County, are gunning for a strong comeback as they gear up to lock horns with Northampton Town this Tuesday. Meanwhile, Northampton’s current form isn’t all rosy either. Their recent outings have only fetched them a single point from four fixtures.

Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match

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Best Value Bet Rationale
In the upcoming game between Derby County and Northampton Town, the best value bet appears to be on Conor Washington to score anytime, currently boosted to 7/4 from 8/5 by Bet365 (odds subject to change, T&C’s apply). This prediction stems from a thorough examination of recent performances and prevailing conditions. Derby County are eager to redeem themselves after a loss to Stevenage, and playing at Pride Park, where they’re unbeaten in their last four outings, might give them that impetus. It’s also evident that Northampton, having endured three consecutive away defeats, are coming into this game with a shaken confidence. They last met Derby in league action in 1967, a long time which might see the visitors a tad unsettled.

But why Washington? While his name may not be at the top of the goalscoring charts for Derby, with 2 goals in 13 appearances and a notable BettingTips4You rating of 7.2 against Exeter City, Washington has the potential to make a mark, especially given that he’s been on the field for an average of only 33 minutes per game. With Northampton missing key players like Guthrie and facing suspension woes with Bowie, Washington might just find those gaps to capitalise on. Given his odds, Washington presents a tantalising prospect for punters looking for value.

The Men at the Helm Derby’s chief tactician, Paul Warne, finds himself teetering on the edge. With only three victories from the last nine league games, including three draws and as many defeats, his position is under scrutiny. A 3-1 setback against Stevenage only magnified their woes, leaving them five points away from the playoffs. However, with two games in hand over sixth-placed Stevenage, there might be some light at the end of the tunnel.

Northampton, post their promotion from League Two, haven’t had the easiest of returns to the third tier. Sat just above the relegation zone due to a better goal difference, they’ve garnered 14 points from 14 outings. Notably, they haven’t been their best in recent times, dropping three of their last four matches.

Strengths and Weaknesses: Team Dynamics Derby County flaunts a strong front when playing at home. The stats show they haven’t been bested in the last four games at Pride Park, making it a fortress of sorts. Notably, their last consecutive home victories were in February, indicating a challenge that they’d like to overcome. Key players, such as Nathaniel Méndez-Laing, Martyn Waghorn, and Eiran Joe Cashin, have stood out with impressive performances. But, a heavy reliance on these players might be their undoing. Paul Warne’s decision-making and inability to churn out consistent results is a gaping flaw.

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On the other side, Northampton’s woes primarily lie in their away games. Their record of three consecutive losses does not instil confidence. However, players like Marc Leonard and Sam Hoskins, with commendable performances, might just turn the tide.

Key Battles The midfield will be a crucial area to watch out for. Derby’s Nathaniel Méndez-Laing will be looking to exert his influence, and Northampton’s Marc Leonard will be trying to control the tempo for his side.

Managerial Analysis While Warne has shown promise, he often fails to bring consistency. His counterpart, Jon Brady, needs to address Northampton’s away form to solidify their position in the league.

Improvements and Final Thoughts Derby should look to improve their midfield play, ensuring that they dominate possession. For Northampton, shoring up their defence, especially in the dying minutes, is crucial.

Predictions

  1. Match Outcome – Considering Derby’s stronger home form and Northampton’s struggles on the road, a win for Derby seems likely. Based on data, our prediction is a Derby win.
  2. Correct Score – Given recent performances and stats, a 2-1 win in favour of Derby County appears to be a plausible scoreline.
  3. Goalscorer – Derby’s Martyn Waghorn leads the scoring chart for his team. Northampton’s Sam Hoskins has been prolific as well. However, considering the current form and stats, Martyn Waghorn is likely to find the net.
  4. Corner Prediction – With Derby’s average of 6.8 corners per game and Northampton’s 5.1, the total number of corners might be around 12. Derby could edge Northampton in terms of corners won.

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Graham Hartshorn
With more than 10 years of business expertise, Graham Hartshorn is a recognized authority on sports betting. He is the betting coordinator for @BTips4You, where he provides content for football fans.  Graham  is a reliable source for sports betting advice and analysis because of his enthusiasm for the business and his successful track record over the years.