Derby vs Millwall Predictions

Derby vs Millwall predictions for this Championship tie. Derby County seek their first win under new management against playoff-chasing Millwall. A competitive Championship clash is expected, with Derby aiming to capitalise on home advantage at Pride Park. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Championship | Feb 22, 2025 at 12:30pm UK at Pride Park Stadium

Derby vs Millwall Predictions

Can Derby End Their Dismal Run or Will Millwall Pile on the Misery?

• Derby’s Home Goal Drought – The Rams have failed to score in their last five home games, highlighting their attacking struggles.
• Millwall’s Away Struggles – The visitors have won just three of their 16 away matches this season, making them an unreliable bet on the road.
• Tight Margins in Derby’s Home Defeats – Four of Derby’s last five home losses in the Championship have been by a single goal, suggesting another close contest.

Best Bet for Derby vs Millwall

Derby County will be hoping that a change in the dugout can finally bring a change in fortunes when they welcome Millwall to Pride Park this Saturday. The Rams have been in free fall for weeks, suffering through an 11-game winless run across all competitions, and their most recent outing—a humbling 4-0 defeat at Queens Park Rangers—only deepened the gloom around the club. Now under the guidance of new head coach John Eustace, they must find a way to stop the slide before their survival hopes take an even greater hit.

Millwall, meanwhile, are clinging onto the hope of forcing their way into the playoff conversation, but recent results suggest they may be running out of steam at a crucial time. They followed up a shocking 5-1 thrashing at Plymouth with back-to-back 1-1 draws against West Brom and Preston, showing defensive fragility and a lack of cutting edge in front of goal. While they are still within touching distance of the top six, a failure to capitalise on winnable fixtures has left them playing catch-up. A trip to a struggling Derby side might seem like the perfect opportunity to put three points on the board, but Millwall’s away form has been inconsistent at best.

Best Bet: Millwall to Win

At BettingTips4You.com, we don’t believe in overwhelming our readers with multiple predictions. Instead, we focus on identifying the best possible bet for each match, ensuring that our analysis is of the highest quality and providing clarity for those looking to make informed wagers. For this encounter, the standout selection is a Millwall victory.

Derby’s struggles are impossible to ignore. They have been abysmal in recent months, failing to score in five consecutive home matches. Their defensive record is just as concerning, conceding in 17 of their last 20 Championship fixtures. The appointment of John Eustace may bring long-term improvements, but there was no immediate uplift last weekend, and Millwall will be confident of taking advantage of their hosts’ vulnerabilities.

Millwall may not be in peak form, but their performances have been far more encouraging than Derby’s. They have scored in eight of their last nine league games, and with Mihailo Ivanovic in solid form—having netted five league goals this season—they possess a striker capable of breaking down Derby’s fragile backline. Furthermore, Millwall’s defensive structure under Neil has been reasonably solid against weaker opposition, and given Derby’s toothless attack, they will feel comfortable soaking up pressure and hitting on the counter.

Another key factor is Derby’s home form. While they have picked up six wins at Pride Park this season, they have failed to win their last five home games and have not even managed to score in that period. That is not the form of a team likely to upset a solid mid-table opponent like Millwall.

A final reason to back the visitors is their ability to grind out close victories. Eight of their ten league wins this season have been by a single goal margin, which aligns perfectly with Derby’s recent home defeats, four of which have come by a solitary goal. A narrow Millwall win feels like the most probable outcome.

BettingTips4You.com expert Graham Hartshorn says:
“Derby look completely out of ideas in attack, and Millwall have the kind of disciplined approach that can punish them. With Ivanovic a constant threat and Derby’s defence leaking goals, a narrow away win looks like fantastic value.”

Given all these factors, our best bet for this match is Millwall to take all three points.

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Predicted Scoreline: Derby 0-1 Millwall

Everything points towards a tight, low-scoring encounter. Millwall have struggled for attacking fluency away from home, averaging just 0.80 goals per game against bottom-half sides on the road, but Derby’s issues in the final third mean even a single goal could be enough for the visitors.

Derby have suffered four one-goal defeats in their last five home losses, while Millwall’s victories tend to come by the same margin. Expect another closely fought contest, but one that ultimately ends in a 1-0 win for the visitors.

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