Derby vs Hull City Predictions

Derby vs Hull City Predictions for this Championship fixture. Derby County face Hull City at Pride Park on Saturday, with just one point separating them in the mid-Championship table. Both teams aim to climb the standings in this crucial clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

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Hull

Championship | Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK at Pride Park Stadium

Derby vs Hull City Predictions

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Can Derby Maintain Their Home Dominance as Hull Visit Pride Park?

  • Derby’s Home Fortress: Derby County have won four of their last five home matches, collecting 12 out of their 14 points at Pride Park this season.
  • Hull’s Travel Troubles: Despite an early-season surge on the road, Hull have taken just one point from their last three Championship matches and conceded 15 goals in total.
  • Goals All Round: Both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets, with Derby conceding 1.3 goals per game and Hull leaking 1.4 goals per game across their 11 matches this season.

Our Tips

Under 2.5 Goals
8/15 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A low-scoring draw or narrow win is likely, given both teams’ struggles in front of goal. West Brom and Burnley’s recent misfiring attacks and cautious approaches make under 2.5 goals a sensible bet.
West Bromwich Albion 1-0
5/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 1-0 West Brom victory is plausible, given their home advantage and Burnley’s depleted attack. With Josh Maja’s scoring ability, West Brom could capitalise on Burnley’s lack of creativity to secure a narrow win.

This weekend’s clash between Derby County and Hull City at Pride Park promises to be a fascinating encounter between two mid-table Championship teams. Separated by just one point, both sides have had mixed results recently, with Derby sitting 12th and Hull in 15th. Derby are keen to maintain their strong home record, while Hull will look to rediscover their early-season form away from home. Both teams arrive after drawing their midweek matches, and with plenty at stake, this encounter is shaping up to be a close, tension-filled battle.

Derby have impressed at Pride Park this season, with four wins from five home games. Hull, on the other hand, have shown flashes of quality on the road, including victories over Stoke City and QPR, but inconsistency has plagued their campaign. With both sides needing points to push into the top half, Saturday’s game could go either way. Can Derby extend their home dominance, or will Hull find the spark they need on the road?

Best Bet: Derby to Win and Both Teams to Score

Backing Derby County to win while both teams find the net seems the most promising bet heading into this fixture. Derby’s home record is one of the best in the league, with 12 of their 14 points coming at Pride Park. Their ability to perform in front of their own fans has been a consistent theme, and despite some defensive fragility, they’ve managed to grind out results, which makes them the favourites for this match.

That said, Hull are no pushovers on their travels, and they’ve netted in all but one of their away games so far this season. This balance of Derby’s home strength and Hull’s capacity to score when travelling makes this prediction feel almost inevitable.

Derby have shown both defensive resilience and lapses. They’ve kept four clean sheets this season but have also conceded in critical moments, as seen in their 1-1 draws against Millwall and Oxford United. Their ability to score, though, has remained reliable, especially at home, where they’ve netted 13 times across the season. Jerry Yates, the focal point of Derby’s attack, may not have been prolific this season, but with creative players like Corey Blackett-Taylor and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing supporting him, chances are bound to come his way.

On the other hand, Hull have their own attacking threats. Despite their struggles in recent weeks, with only one point from their last three games, Hull still have dangerous players like Chris Bedia and Abu Kamara, who are capable of finding the back of the net. Hull have averaged 1.2 goals per game this season and given Derby’s occasional defensive slips, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Tigers score at least once. However, Hull’s problem lies at the back. With only one clean sheet in 11 matches and a tendency to concede late goals, their defence has looked far from secure. This fragility should play right into Derby’s hands.

As our BettingTips4You expert Steve Harrington highlights: “Derby’s form at Pride Park has been one of the key stories of their season. Despite Hull’s ability to score on the road, the Rams should take advantage of the visitors’ inconsistent defence. Backing Derby to win with both teams scoring makes sense here.”

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Correct Score Prediction: Derby 2-1 Hull City

Given Derby’s strong home form and Hull’s recent defensive issues, a 2-1 scoreline in favour of the Rams seems like a well-founded prediction. It mirrors the expected flow of the game, where Derby’s superior home advantage should ultimately tip the scales, but Hull’s attacking potential means they’re likely to get on the scoresheet.

Derby’s home wins have generally been tight affairs, with a trend of one-goal margins in their favour. Their last clean sheet came before a series of draws where they conceded late goals, showing that while they can dominate games at Pride Park, they tend to let their guard down at some point. Hull, despite their recent stutter in form, have managed to score in all but one of their away games this season. This suggests they can find a way past Derby’s defence, even if they’re likely to struggle in keeping the Rams out at the other end.

With players like Xavier Simons and Kasey Palmer pulling the strings for Hull, it’s difficult to completely rule out a goal from the visitors, but Derby’s consistent ability to find the net at home should see them secure a 2-1 victory. The Rams have already scored 14 goals this season, and their attacking play has been particularly potent at Pride Park, averaging 1.3 goals per game. Meanwhile, Hull’s defence, having conceded 15 goals, has been leaky enough to suggest they’ll struggle to keep the Rams out.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.