Denmark vs Slovenia Predictions

Denmark vs Slovenia Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in Euro 2024 qualifying. Denmark and Slovenia face each other on Friday, with the victor of this match securing automatic qualification for Euro 2024, leaving one game to spare. A win for either side would secure qualification. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

Denmark
Match Live Friday, 17th November at 7:45 pm In:
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Denmark vs Slovenia Predictions

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A Decisive Showdown in Copenhagen for Euro 2024 Qualification

Key Stats
– Denmark’s Home Dominance: Six consecutive home victories.
– Slovenia’s Scoring Prowess: 17 goals in eight qualifying matches.
– Head-to-Head: The reverse fixture ended in a 1-1 draw.

As Denmark and Slovenia gear up for a pivotal encounter in Copenhagen, the stakes couldn’t be higher with automatic qualification for Euro 2024 on the line. Both teams, tied at 19 points in Group H, are on the brink of securing their spots, but this clash could potentially tilt the balance.

Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match

BEST VALUE BET

£20 Returns £55

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Best Value Bet Rationale
In the high-stakes Euro 2024 qualifier between Denmark and Slovenia, Jonas Wind emerges as a compelling choice for the first goalscorer, currently boosted to 5/1 from 9/2 by Bet365. This selection, intriguingly enhanced at the time of writing, offers substantial value considering Wind’s recent form and Denmark’s offensive strategy.

Wind’s importance in the Danish setup has been increasingly evident. With an average BettingTips4You rating of 7.17, he has been instrumental in Denmark’s qualifying campaign. His scoring frequency stands at a goal every 166 minutes, underlining his efficiency in front of the goal. In the qualifiers, he has netted three goals from predominantly inside-the-box efforts, showcasing his positional intelligence and finishing prowess.
Denmark’s strategy under Kasper Hjulmand heavily leans on aggressive, forward-thinking football, particularly at home. They have an impressive streak of six consecutive home wins, a testament to their attacking dominance on familiar turf. Wind, with his robust physical presence and clinical finishing, is often the focal point of their attacks. His ability to get on the end of crosses and link-up play makes him a constant threat.

Slovenia, while resilient, will face a stern test against Denmark’s attacking might. They have only lost once in the qualifiers, but facing Denmark away is arguably their toughest challenge. Wind’s recent Bundesliga form for Wolfsburg, where he has scored eight goals in 11 games, further cements his credentials as a likely candidate to open the scoring.
Given Denmark’s attacking setup, Wind’s form, and Slovenia’s defensive challenges away from home, backing Jonas Wind as the first goalscorer at boosted odds provides a blend of value and probability that is hard to overlook in this crucial encounter.

Denmark’s Road to Qualification: Denmark’s journey in the qualifiers has been a blend of grit and determination. Despite some hiccups, including a loss to Kazakhstan and tight wins over Finland, Kasper Hjulmand’s squad stands on the verge of qualification. The team’s reliance on late goals and VAR decisions in crucial matches has been a concern, but their formidable home record and an undefeated streak of six matches speak volumes of their resilience.

Slovenia’s Quest for a Spot: Slovenia, under Matjaz Kek, faces a more precarious path. While they share the same points as Denmark, their lack of a playoff safety net puts them under immense pressure. Their recent form, however, has been impressive, with four consecutive wins, including a commendable 1-0 victory in Northern Ireland.

Parimatch


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Tactical Analysis: Denmark’s strength lies in their disciplined defensive setup and efficient use of possession, boasting a 68.1% ball possession rate. Their attacking prowess, led by the likes of Yussuf Poulsen and Jonas Wind, has been crucial in their campaign. Slovenia counters with their own formidable attack, led by Benjamin Šeško and Andraž Šporar. Their counter-attacking style could exploit Denmark’s aggressive play.

Key Players and Duels: Christian Eriksen’s absence for Denmark is notable, but players like Pierre-Emile Højbjerg and Andreas Christensen are expected to step up. For Slovenia, Jaka Bijol and Jan Oblak will be pivotal in their defensive strategy, while Šeško’s role in attack will be critical.

Strategic Insights:

  • Denmark needs to diversify their attacking tactics, not just relying on late surges.
  • Slovenia should focus on maintaining defensive solidity while exploiting Denmark’s high line.

Managerial Critique: Kasper Hjulmand’s conservative approach has been effective but lacks creative flair. Matjaz Kek’s reliance on counter-attacks could be predictable, warranting a more dynamic game plan.

The Deciding Factors: The midfield battle will be crucial, with Denmark’s tactical discipline up against Slovenia’s quick transitions. The key will lie in how well Denmark can break down Slovenia’s resilient defence while guarding against quick counterattacks.

Our Take: This match is not just a qualifier; it’s a test of tactical wit and resilience. Both teams have shown they can grind out results, but Denmark’s home advantage and slightly superior squad depth might just give them the edge in this high-stakes encounter.

Predictions:

  1. Match Outcome: Denmark Win – Denmark’s strong home record and Slovenia’s lack of depth in the playoffs make a home win the likely outcome.
  2. Correct Score: Denmark 3-2 Slovenia – Expect a high-scoring affair, with Denmark’s offensive might slightly edging Slovenia’s resilient attack.
  3. Goalscorer Prediction: Jonas Wind to Score – Wind’s impressive form for Wolfsburg indicates he could be a key factor in Denmark’s attack.
  4. Corner Prediction: Denmark to Get More Corners; Total Corners: Over 10 – Denmark’s attacking playstyle should result in more corners, with the game’s open nature leading to a higher corner count.
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Robin Bylund
Robin is a Premier League fanatic from Sweden that barely misses a minute of action from England's top flight. Robin's been with us since 2015 and combines his work for us with his own Podcast, while also freelancing as a translator and content producer for various media outlets.