Cuiaba vs Bragantino predictions for their Brasileiro clash. Cuiaba, undefeated in four league matches, face Bragantino, who lost to Botafogo, in gameweek 13 at Arena Pantanal. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
Brasileiro | Jun 29, 2024 at 10.30pm UK at Arena Pantanal
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Cuiaba vs Bragantino Predictions
Will Cuiaba’s Defence Hold Firm Against Bragantino’s Attack?
Key Stats
– Cuiaba have kept six clean sheets in their last ten matches.
– Bragantino have lost their last two away games.
– Clayson has scored more match-winning goals than any other Cuiaba player.
As we approach the clash between Cuiaba and Red Bull Bragantino in the Brasileiro Serie A, the anticipation is palpable. The match at Arena Pantanal promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams seeking crucial points. Currently, Bragantino sit seven places above Cuiaba in the standings, but recent form and injuries might level the playing field.
Match Preview
Cuiaba have shown significant improvement after a dismal start to the season. Under the guidance of Petit, who took over after a winless six-match start, Cuiaba have found their rhythm. The turning point came with a 5-2 victory over Criciuma, and since then, they have lost only once in six matches. Their focus has shifted to securing results, even if it means sacrificing their attacking prowess. This approach has seen them net only two goals in their last three matches, down from 11 in the previous three.
On the other hand, RB Bragantino’s season has been a rollercoaster. Despite a strong start, recent performances have been inconsistent, resulting in three losses in their last five games. Pedro Caixinha’s men have slipped to seventh place, but a win could propel them back into the Copa Libertadores qualification spots. Conversely, a loss could see them drop as low as 11th.
Team News and Expected Lineups
Cuiaba will welcome Ramon back into the fold after his suspension, bolstering their defence. However, they will miss Max Alves, Gabriel Knesowitsch, and Deyverson due to injuries or illness. Clayson, who has been instrumental with match-winning goals, will be crucial for their attacking efforts.
Bragantino face their own challenges, with Andres Hurtado away on international duty and Cleiton’s availability uncertain. However, Henry Mosquera returns from suspension and could play a pivotal role.
Cuiaba’s Possible Starting XI: Walter; Alexandre, Marllon, Empereur, Ramon; Augusto, Mineiro, Denilson; Cafu, Pitta, Clayson
Bragantino’s Possible Starting XI: Lucao; Santos, Henrique, Candido; Vitinho, Jadsom, Raul, Capixaba; Helinho, Borbas, Evangelista
Key Tactical Insights
Cuiaba’s recent defensive solidity has been the cornerstone of their resurgence. With six clean sheets in their last ten matches, they have built a resilient backline. The emphasis on defence over attack is evident in their recent games, which have seen fewer goals but consistent points accumulation.
Bragantino, despite their attacking talent, have struggled for consistency. Their reliance on key players like Helinho and Evangelista has not always paid off, and their defensive frailties have been exposed, especially in away games. With only two clean sheets in twelve matches, their defence remains a concern.
Areas of the Field Where the Match Could Be Decided
The midfield battle will be crucial, with both teams looking to control possession. Cuiaba’s Denilson and Mineiro will need to stifle Bragantino’s creative outlets, particularly Raul and Jadsom. Clayson’s ability to exploit spaces and create chances will be key for Cuiaba, while Bragantino will look to Helinho and Borbas to break down a solid Cuiaba defence.
Key Player Duels
- Clayson vs. Santos: Clayson’s pace and dribbling skills will test Santos’ defensive capabilities. This duel on the flank could determine how effective Cuiaba are in their transitions.
- Marllon vs. Borbas: Marllon’s physical presence and defensive awareness will be crucial in neutralising Borbas, who has the ability to exploit defensive lapses.
- Denilson vs. Raul: The midfield battle between these two could shape the game’s tempo. Denilson’s defensive work rate against Raul’s creativity will be a key clash.
Gameplay Predictions
Given Cuiaba’s recent form, expect them to prioritise a structured and disciplined defensive setup. They will likely sit deep, absorb pressure, and look to counter-attack using Clayson and Cafu’s speed on the wings. Bragantino, despite their inconsistencies, will aim to dominate possession and press high to disrupt Cuiaba’s build-up play.
Suggestions for Improvement
For Cuiaba:
- Enhance offensive transitions: While their defence has been solid, Cuiaba need to improve their transition play to create more scoring opportunities.
- Utilise set-pieces effectively: With the aerial presence of Marllon and Empereur, focusing on set-pieces could provide crucial goals.
For Bragantino:
- Tighten defensive organisation: Bragantino must address their defensive lapses, particularly in away games, to avoid conceding avoidable goals.
- Maximise attacking depth: Leveraging the full width of the pitch with overlapping runs from full-backs can help stretch Cuiaba’s compact defence.
Managerial Analysis
Petit has done a commendable job in stabilising Cuiaba, focusing on defensive resilience. However, his conservative approach could be critiqued for limiting the team’s attacking potential. On the contrary, Pedro Caixinha’s Bragantino have been inconsistent, with their defensive frailties undermining their attacking strengths. Caixinha’s inability to maintain a stable form could be seen as a tactical shortcoming.
Expected Goals Analysis
Cuiaba’s expected goals (xG) has seen a decline recently due to their conservative approach. They average 1.1 goals per game but need to create more high-quality chances. Bragantino, with a slightly better xG, at 1.3 goals per game, need to convert their chances more efficiently to capitalise on their attacking play.
Predictions
Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Considering Cuiaba’s recent defensive solidity and Bragantino’s inconsistency in attack, a low-scoring game is anticipated. Six of the last seven meetings between these sides have ended with under 2.5 goals. Both teams’ current form supports a similar outcome.
Correct Score Prediction: Cuiaba 1-0 Bragantino
Aligning with the best bet, a narrow 1-0 victory for Cuiaba seems plausible. Their defence has been tight, and a single goal could suffice to secure the three points, especially given Bragantino’s struggles on the road.
Goalscorer Prediction: Clayson to Score Anytime
Clayson, with his knack for crucial goals, stands out as a potential scorer. His recent form and ability to find the net in tight games make him a likely candidate to score.
Corner Prediction: Total Corners Under 9.5
With both teams averaging fewer corners per game (Cuiaba 3.3, Bragantino 4.7), a total of under 9.5 corners seems probable. Their playing styles, focusing on defensive solidity and counter-attacks, support this prediction.
Innovative Market Prediction: Total Shots on Target Under 8.5
Given Cuiaba’s defensive approach and Bragantino’s recent inefficiencies in attack, the game might see fewer shots on target. Both teams’ statistics indicate a trend towards lower shooting accuracy, making this a viable market.
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