Crystal Palace vs Chelsea predictions for this Premier League clash. Chelsea, buoyed by recent successes, head to Selhurst Park for a Premier League London derby against Crystal Palace on Monday evening. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Premier League | Gameweek 24 – Feb 12, 2024 at 8pm UK at Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea Predictions
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A High-Flying Chelsea Aims to Soar at Selhurst Park
Key Stats
– Crystal Palace have conceded 11 goals in their last three matches, highlighting defensive concerns.
– Chelsea’s attack, rejuvenated by their FA Cup success, faces a Palace side desperate to tighten up at the back and avoid an unlucky 13th straight defeat.
Chelsea’s Comeback Trail: Under Mauricio Pochettino, Chelsea have displayed moments of brilliance interspersed with periods of inconsistency. Their recent victory against Aston Villa in the FA Cup showcased the potential within the squad, particularly the younger talents stepping up to the challenge. The Blues’ aim will be to translate this cup form into league success, where they’ve been struggling to find consistent form.
Crystal Palace’s Quest for Stability: Roy Hodgson’s Crystal Palace, on the other hand, has been a mixed bag of impressive home performances against a backdrop of overall underwhelming results. The Eagles’ recent heavy defeat to Brighton highlighted defensive vulnerabilities that Chelsea’s attacking force will be keen to exploit. However, Palace’s capacity to surprise and challenge top teams, especially at Selhurst Park, cannot be underestimated.
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Tactical Analysis and Expected Lineups
Crystal Palace: With key players like Michael Olise and Marc Guehi sidelined due to injuries, Hodgson will likely rely on the experience and versatility of his squad to fill these gaps. The expected lineup suggests a defensive approach, looking to capitalise on counter-attacks and set-piece opportunities.
Chelsea: Pochettino’s lineup choice indicates a blend of youth and experience, aiming to control the midfield battle and create spaces for dynamic forwards. The absence of Benoit Badiashile could see Thiago Silva returning to marshal the defence, providing the stability needed against Palace’s counter-attacking threat.
Tactical Analysis: Deep Dive
The Strategic Conundrum
Crystal Palace, under Hodgson, has often been a conundrum, blending moments of defensive resilience with flashes of offensive brilliance. Yet, their recent drubbing at the hands of Brighton showcased a vulnerability that has been increasingly apparent. The decision to bring on an unfit Michael Olise, only for him to succumb to injury, raises questions about Hodgson’s gamble on player fitness and tactical adaptability. Despite a notable home form that saw them claiming seven points from the last nine available, Palace’s inconsistency has been their Achilles’ heel, particularly against teams that press high and attack with intensity.
Chelsea, on the other hand, have embarked on a journey of resurgence under Pochettino, with their FA Cup victory against Aston Villa highlighting a potential turning point. The performances of Conor Gallagher, Nicolas Jackson, and Enzo Fernandez have breathed new life into Chelsea’s campaign, showcasing a blend of youth and experience that could be pivotal in their quest for silverware. However, Chelsea’s defensive fragility, especially in away fixtures, remains a concern, with the team risking an unwanted record of conceding four goals in three successive top-flight games for the first time in the Premier League era.
Key Players and Their Impact
The individual performances of key players from both teams could very well decide the outcome of this match. For Palace, Jean-Philippe Mateta’s ability to find the net, coupled with the defensive solidity of Joachim Andersen, offers a glimmer of hope. Chelsea’s Gallagher has emerged as a midfield dynamo, whose energy and ability to score crucial goals could trouble Palace’s midfield. Additionally, the creative prowess of Fernandez and the attacking threats posed by Jackson and Sterling could exploit Palace’s defensive gaps.
The Tactical Chess Match
The tactical battle between Hodgson and Pochettino will be fascinating. Hodgson’s penchant for a more conservative approach, prioritising defensive solidity over attacking flair, contrasts with Pochettino’s high-pressing game and emphasis on quick transitions. Chelsea’s ability to control the midfield and utilise the width of the pitch could prove troublesome for Palace, who may rely on counter-attacks and set pieces to unsettle the Blues’ defence.
Suggestions for Improvement and Controversial Takes
Both teams have room for improvement. Crystal Palace’s defensive organisation and their over-reliance on individual brilliance need addressing. Hodgson’s tactical rigidity and questionable substitution decisions have left fans and pundits alike baffled, suggesting a need for fresh ideas and a more adventurous approach to matches. Chelsea, despite their attacking flair, must rectify their defensive woes. Pochettino’s gamble on youth and rotation has paid dividends but also exposed a lack of consistency in their defensive setup.
The controversial handling of player fitness by Hodgson, especially the Olise debacle, has been a point of contention, casting a shadow over his management style. In contrast, Pochettino’s willingness to trust in youth and adapt his tactics mid-game has rejuvenated Chelsea, albeit with defensive concerns that could derail their season.
Predictions and Rationale
- Chelsea to Win and Both Teams to Score
Given Chelsea’s recent resurgence under Mauricio Pochettino, coupled with Crystal Palace’s mixed form, the visitors are primed to take all three points. Chelsea’s attacking quality, featuring the likes of Raheem Sterling and Christopher Nkunku, is likely to overwhelm Palace’s defence, which has been susceptible to conceding.
However, Palace’s knack for finding the back of the net at Selhurst Park, particularly against high-calibre teams, suggests they won’t go quietly. This prediction leans on the expectation of Chelsea’s dominance in possession and attack, outscoring a Palace side that, despite defensive frailties, has consistently managed to trouble the scorers at home.
- Correct Score Prediction: Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea
Considering the attacking talents at Chelsea’s disposal and their defensive vulnerabilities, a scoreline of 1-3 in favour of the Blues appears a likely outcome. Crystal Palace, despite their struggles, have shown they can score against the run of play, especially in front of their home fans.
Chelsea’s defensive inconsistencies, particularly in away fixtures, offer Palace a glimmer of hope in an otherwise daunting matchup. This prediction is based on Chelsea’s ability to exploit Palace’s defensive gaps while also acknowledging the potential for Palace to capitalise on set pieces or counter-attacks.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Christopher Nkunku to Score
Nkunku has quickly adapted to the Premier League’s demands, showcasing his ability to find space and finish clinically. Against a Crystal Palace side that has shown vulnerability at the back, Nkunku’s movement and precision in front of goal make him a prime candidate to add to his tally. This prediction is bolstered by Chelsea’s likely tactical approach, focusing on creating chances through midfield domination and quick transitions, areas where Nkunku thrives.
- Corner Prediction: Chelsea to Have More Corners; Total Corners Over 9.5
Chelsea’s approach play, characterised by width and crosses, naturally leads to a higher number of corners. Against a defensively minded Palace, Chelsea’s forwards will be pushing wide and delivering crosses, increasing the likelihood of deflections and clearances behind the goal line. The dynamic nature of the game, with Palace looking to break quickly when they can, adds to the probability of a high corner count as both teams look to capitalise on set-piece opportunities.
- Shot on Target Prediction: Conor Gallagher to Have 1 or More Shots on Target
Gallagher’s midfield dynamism and propensity to take shots from distance make him a strong candidate to test the Palace goalkeeper. His energetic runs into the box and willingness to shoot from outside the penalty area mean he’s likely to register at least one shot on target. This prediction considers Gallagher’s recent form and his role in Pochettino’s system, which often sees him arriving late in the box — a tactic that could catch the Palace defence off guard.
- Assist Prediction: Raheem Sterling to Provide an Assist
Sterling’s pace and dribbling ability, combined with his improved end product in terms of crosses and cut-backs, position him as a likely candidate to provide an assist. Facing a Palace side that could be vulnerable on the flanks, especially if they commit bodies forward in search of goals, Sterling’s ability to beat his man and deliver quality service into the box could be crucial for Chelsea. This prediction is based on Sterling’s form and the tactical setup that Pochettino is likely to employ, aiming to exploit the spaces left by Palace’s attacking forays.
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