Costa Rica vs Martinique Predictions

Costa Rica vs Martinique predictions as the two teams are fighting for a place in the quarter finals in the Gold Cup. Who will prevail? Read on for all our free betting tips and predictions.

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Costa Rica vs Martinique Predictions

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

A Tale of Resurgence: Costa Rica vs. Martinique at the Gold Cup Crossroads

Key Stats
– Costa Rica are undefeated against Martinique, outscoring them 5-1 in their previous Gold Cup matches.
– Costa Rica’s ball possession stands at 45.5%, almost 13% higher than Martinique.
– Martinique have lost nine of their last ten matches in which they’ve conceded multiple goals.

In a crucial third matchday encounter of the Gold Cup at Red Bull Arena, Costa Rica and Martinique are set to compete for a coveted place in the quarter-finals. The stakes are high for both teams, but particularly for Costa Rica, who sit on a shaky foundation of just one point, earned from their goalless draw with El Salvador. A victory would offer Les Matinino a pass into the knockout stage, a remarkable turnaround after their recent 2-1 defeat against Panama.

Resurgence or Departure for Costa Rica

In the world of football, history tends to echo through the matches. Costa Rica, fondly known as Los Ticos, are standing at a precarious crossroads where they need to either revive their winning legacy or face the risk of an early exit, which hasn’t been seen since 1998.

Their track record of 12 consecutive trips to the Gold Cup knockout stage is in peril, as they’ve failed to secure a win in their initial group matches for the first time since 2015. Even though they weathered a similar storm in 2015, the circumstances this time around are much more demanding.


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Their performance against El Salvador was one of missed opportunities, only managing to net one goal in two games. Still, the past paints a positive picture for Los Ticos; they have triumphed in their final group stage fixtures at the Gold Cup on two consecutive occasions. Their victory over Jamaica in 2021 marked the first time their manager Luis Fernando Suarez had won his final group match in this competition, providing a glimmer of hope for the Costa Rican fans.

However, Costa Rica’s recent form is cause for concern. Despite a commendable run of eight unbeaten World Cup qualifying matches, with seven victories, they’ve only tasted victory once in their six competitive matches since the 2022 finals. Nonetheless, they carry a 100% win record against Martinique, a record they’re keen to maintain in this pivotal clash.

Martinique: A Dark Horse Rising

Entering the final group fixture of the Gold Cup, Martinique carry a fair shot at progressing further, a scenario we haven’t witnessed for some time. The last occasion they had this opportunity was in 2019, when they fought bravely but were eventually subdued by a strong Mexican side. Martinique have often found themselves in a similar position, with five of their six Gold Cup appearances offering a chance to advance, though only capitalising once in 2002.

Under the leadership of Marc Collat, Martinique have experienced a mixed run. They’ve lost nine of their last ten matches where they conceded multiple goals, a trend they need to buck if they are to progress in the competition. Their ability to strike first will be pivotal; in the past, they’ve struggled when conceding the opening goal, resulting in nine losses from ten Gold Cup group fixtures.

A Tactical Dissection

Looking at Costa Rica’s recent form, they’ve managed to hold on to possession 45.5% of the time. This control, however, hasn’t translated into prolific scoring, averaging just 0.5 goals per game. Their strategy has seemingly revolved around sustained pressure, with an average of 9.0 shots per game. Defensively, they have performed relatively well, managing to keep a clean sheet once and conceding an average of just one goal per game.

On the other hand, Martinique have kept the ball for a smaller proportion of their games, with just 32.5% possession. Yet, they’ve proven more potent offensively, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game. Unfortunately, their defensive record is not as strong, with no clean sheets and an average of 1.5 goals conceded per game.

Predicting The Outcome

Given the historical context, current form, and strategic approaches of both teams, Costa Rica appear to be the more likely victor. Their winless streak may be disconcerting, but their track record of responding in high-pressure situations, along with their perfect record against Martinique, suggests a Costa Rican win.

Moreover, in terms of tactical approach, Costa Rica seem better equipped defensively, boasting a solid record and demonstrating superior ball control. Therefore, the forecast is Costa Rica to win to nil, extending their run of clean sheets against Martinique.

Furthermore, given Costa Rica’s offensive performance, we predict a 2-0 victory in the correct score market. Although they have only scored one goal in two games, they have shown potential with an average of 9.0 shots per game. Couple this with Martinique’s relatively weaker defensive record, and the possibility of a 2-0 Costa Rican win becomes compelling.

£20 Returns £62

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.