Corinthians vs Vitoria predictions for this Brasilian Serie A tie. Corinthians aim to end a nine-game winless streak in Serie A as they host Vitoria at Neo Quimica Arena on Thursday. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.
Brasileiro | Jul 5, 2024 at 12am UK at Neo Quimica Arena
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Corinthians vs Vitoria Predictions
Can Corinthians Break Their Winless Streak Against Vitoria?
Key Stats
– Corinthians have failed to win in their last nine matches, scoring in just five of those games.
– Vitoria have conceded 20 goals in 13 matches, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
– Rodrigo Garro has provided two assists in the last 10 games, showcasing his creative prowess.
Corinthians are set to face Vitoria at the Neo Quimica Arena with hopes of breaking their nine-match winless streak in the Brasileiro Serie A. Both teams are grappling with poor form, making this encounter a crucial one for their respective campaigns.
Match Preview
Corinthians’ struggles continue as they succumbed to a 2-0 defeat against Palmeiras, a game marked by goals from Fabinho and Vitor Reis. This loss extends Corinthians’ winless run to seven games, comprising three losses and four draws since their last victory against Racing de Montevideo in the Copa Sudamericana. This dismal form has plunged Antonio Oliveira’s men to ninth place in the Serie A standings, merely three points above bottom-placed Fluminense. However, Corinthians’ home form provides a glimmer of hope, as they remain unbeaten in 10 of their last 11 home matches across all competitions.
Vitoria, meanwhile, were narrowly defeated 1-0 by Athletico Paranaense in their last outing. Despite a solid performance, a late goal by Julimar secured the win for Paranaense. Vitoria have shown inconsistent form, with two wins and two losses in their last four matches, leaving them 15th in the Serie A table. They could climb to 13th with a win against Corinthians. However, their recent record against Corinthians is far from encouraging, with no wins in their last four encounters since April 2018.
Expected Lineups and Team News
Corinthians will miss the services of Angel Romero, who is on international duty with Paraguay, and injured players Carlos Miguel and Fagner. Breno Bidon is suspended, and Diego Palacios remains out with a knee injury. Despite these setbacks, Oliveira is expected to field a competitive lineup to end their winless streak.
Corinthians’ possible lineup: Donelli; Mana, Caca, Henrique, Farias; Raniele, Coronado, Garro; Wesley, Alberto, Mosquito
Vitoria also face significant injury concerns, with Mateus Goncalves, Everaldo, and Dudu sidelined. Iury Castilho is set to miss his eighth consecutive game, while Camutanga and Leo Gamalho are out with knee issues. Osvaldo Filho and Bruno Uvini are also unavailable due to injuries. Leo Naldi is suspended, leaving Thiago Carpini with a depleted squad.
Vitoria’s possible lineup: Arcanjo; Lepo, Vinicius, Leonardo, Esteves; Santos, Andrade, Willian; Matheusinho, Alerrandro, Ze Hugo
Key Areas of the Field and Player Duels
The midfield battle will be critical, with Corinthians’ Igor Coronado and Rodrigo Garro looking to dominate possession against Vitoria’s Santos and Andrade. Defensively, the duel between Corinthians’ Caca and Vitoria’s Alerrandro will be pivotal. Caca’s ability to neutralise Alerrandro’s threat could determine the outcome of the match.
Tactical Analysis and Gameplay Predictions
Corinthians are likely to adopt a possession-based approach, aiming to control the tempo and create opportunities through patient build-up play. Their key challenge will be breaking down Vitoria’s defence, which has shown resilience despite their poor form. Expect Corinthians to utilise their wide players, Wesley and Mosquito, to stretch the Vitoria backline and create crossing opportunities for Alberto.
Vitoria, on the other hand, might focus on a counter-attacking strategy, exploiting the spaces left by Corinthians as they push forward. With Alerrandro spearheading the attack, supported by Matheusinho and Ze Hugo, Vitoria will look to capitalise on quick transitions and set-pieces.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Corinthians’ strength lies in their home form, where they have been difficult to beat. Their midfield control and ability to create chances are notable. However, their inability to convert these chances into goals remains a significant weakness, as evidenced by their low scoring rate.
Vitoria’s resilience in defence, particularly away from home, is commendable. However, their lack of consistency and inability to sustain pressure throughout the game have been their major downfalls. Their reliance on counter-attacks might not be enough against a possession-dominant side like Corinthians.
Managerial Analysis
Antonio Oliveira of Corinthians has faced criticism for the team’s recent performances. His tactical rigidity and failure to adapt to different match situations have been pointed out as key issues. The team’s inability to convert chances into goals also reflects a lack of effective attacking strategies.
Thiago Carpini of Vitoria, although managing a squad plagued with injuries, has shown tactical flexibility. However, his inability to instil consistency and sustain performances throughout 90 minutes has been a major drawback. Vitoria’s frequent lapses in concentration and defensive errors further highlight managerial shortcomings.
Betting Predictions
- Best Bet: Double Chance – Vitoria to Win or Draw
Considering Corinthians’ poor form and Vitoria’s defensive resilience, betting on Vitoria to win or draw seems a prudent choice. Despite their inconsistency, Vitoria have shown the ability to grind out results, and Corinthians’ inability to score could play into their hands.
- Correct Score Prediction: Corinthians 1-1 Vitoria
A 1-1 draw appears likely given both teams’ recent form. Corinthians’ scoring struggles and Vitoria’s solid defence suggest a low-scoring affair, with both sides likely to find the net once.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Yuri Alberto to Score Anytime
Yuri Alberto, with his pace and finishing ability, is a strong candidate to score for Corinthians. Despite the team’s overall struggles, Alberto has been a consistent threat in front of goal.
- Corner Prediction: Total Corners Over 10.5
Both teams’ playing styles suggest a high number of corners. Corinthians average 5.8 corners per game, while Vitoria average 3.7. This combined total supports the prediction of over 10.5 corners in the match.
- Innovative Market Prediction: Player Assist – Rodrigo Garro to Assist
Rodrigo Garro’s creative playmaking ability makes him a likely candidate to provide an assist. His vision and passing range are key to unlocking Vitoria’s defence, making this a viable betting option.
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