Colombia vs Argentina Predictions

Colombia vs Argentina predictions for this Nations League clash. Colombia host pace-setters Argentina in Barranquilla on Tuesday night for South American World Cup qualifying. The hosts remain unbeaten after a late equaliser in Peru, while Argentina aim to continue their phenomenal start. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

World Cup Qualifying – South America | Group Stage | Sep 10, 2024 at 9:30pm UK at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Colombia vs Argentina Predictions

Can Colombia Hold Firm Against an Unstoppable Argentina?

• Defensive Resilience on Display: Argentina have conceded just two goals in seven qualifying matches, showcasing a defence that is difficult to breach. Similarly, Colombia have kept four clean sheets in their campaign, which underlines why a low-scoring game is expected.
• Colombia’s Low-Scoring Pattern: Four of Colombia’s last five games have produced fewer than three goals, highlighting their conservative approach in recent matches. This trend makes an under 2.5 goals prediction a smart play for this encounter.
• Draws Dominate the Head-to-Head: Four of the last six meetings between these sides have ended in draws, suggesting that these teams are evenly matched. The last encounter in Colombia saw both teams share the spoils in a 2-2 draw, while their most recent meeting in the Copa America also ended level after 90 minutes.

Best Bet

With World Cup qualification heating up, Colombia welcome an unbeaten Argentina side to Barranquilla, in what promises to be a highly competitive match. Set to take place at the Estadio Metropolitano, this fixture sees two of South America’s heavyweights face off. Colombia, who secured a late 1-1 draw against Peru in their last outing, will be looking to close the gap on Argentina, who comfortably dispatched Chile 3-0, despite the absence of Lionel Messi. Argentina are currently enjoying an excellent campaign with an unbeaten record, while Colombia, under manager Nestor Lorenzo, have been resolute but inconsistent in recent matches.

The stakes are high for both teams. Colombia, third in the standings, need to secure points to maintain their cushion in the automatic qualification spots, whereas Argentina, firmly in first, will aim to extend their unbeaten run and further solidify their dominance in the group. Despite Argentina’s remarkable start to the campaign, away matches in South America are notoriously difficult, and with a passionate Colombian crowd behind them, Los Cafeteros could provide a stern test for the Albiceleste.

Considering the balance of both teams, the best bet for this clash is a draw. Although Argentina have been in scintillating form, particularly with their strong away performances, Colombia are a resilient side, especially at home, and have shown they can compete with the best in the region. Looking at recent meetings between the two sides, there is a trend towards tight contests that often end without a winner.

Four of the last six encounters between Colombia and Argentina have ended in draws, highlighting how evenly matched they tend to be. The most recent of these was their Copa America final over the summer, which remained goalless after 90 minutes. Despite Argentina winning in extra time on that occasion, the regular time outcome points towards another draw being a likely result. Colombia have a solid defensive record in qualifying, conceding just four goals in their seven matches so far. With the likes of Yerry Mina and Jhon Lucumi marshalling their defence, they are more than capable of holding off Argentina’s dangerous forwards, even if Lionel Messi is unavailable.

Argentina, while certainly possessing firepower through players like Lautaro Martinez and Julian Alvarez, are also pragmatic when playing away from home. Scaloni’s side have conceded just twice in qualifying, a record that suggests this game could be a low-scoring affair. Moreover, Argentina’s unbeaten streak on the road in South American qualifying—now at 13 games—indicates they are highly skilled at managing difficult away games, often grinding out results rather than blowing opponents away. Given Colombia’s home form and Argentina’s disciplined away performances, a draw seems a sensible and well-supported prediction.

BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa weighs in on this best bet: “With both teams showing solid defensive records, and a history of stalemates in their recent encounters, a draw feels like a natural outcome in what should be a tight, closely fought match. Colombia at home are strong, but Argentina’s resilience on the road should see them share the spoils.”

Additional Prediction

Another wager worth considering is Under 2.5 goals. Colombia’s recent form suggests that this match might not see a flood of goals. Four of their last five matches have ended with fewer than three goals scored, and their cautious approach, especially against stronger teams like Argentina, is likely to persist. Despite Luis Diaz’s attacking threat, Colombia have managed only seven goals in their qualifying campaign, averaging just one per game. They tend to play conservatively, and given their position in the table, it is unlikely they will adopt an overly aggressive approach here.

On the other hand, Argentina have been efficient rather than spectacular in recent matches, and their own defensive solidity points towards a low-scoring game. The Albiceleste have kept six clean sheets in their seven qualifiers, conceding just two goals overall. Their defence, led by veterans like Nicolas Otamendi and Cristian Romero, has been difficult to break down, and even in the absence of Lionel Messi, their attack has been controlled and calculated rather than overly expansive.

Given these factors, a low-scoring draw, with under 2.5 goals, seems a likely outcome. With both teams focussing on maintaining their solid defensive records, it’s hard to see this game turning into a high-scoring affair.

Correct Score Prediction: 1-1

In line with our best bet for a draw, the correct score prediction is 1-1. Colombia have been involved in tight matches throughout qualifying, and their home advantage, combined with a strong defence, should help them keep Argentina at bay for much of the match. However, Argentina’s quality is undeniable, and they will likely find a way through at least once, even without their talisman Messi.

Colombia’s Luis Diaz is in fine form, and with Argentina missing several key defenders, including Lionel Messi and Nicolas Tagliafico, Diaz could be the man to break through for Los Cafeteros. His goal against Peru last time out was crucial, and with his pace and skill, he will be a constant threat down the left flank. However, Argentina’s counter-attacking ability, with Julian Alvarez and Lautaro Martinez leading the line, means they are more than capable of scoring themselves. A 1-1 draw fits the narrative of a tight, competitive match where both teams create enough chances to score, but neither dominate sufficiently to secure all three points.

This scoreline also mirrors their recent meetings, including their last match on Colombian soil, which ended 2-2, and the Copa America final, which was 0-0 after 90 minutes before Argentina edged it in extra time.

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