Chile vs Brazil Predictions

Chile vs Brazil predictions ahead of this World Cup qualifier clash. Brazil face Chile in a crucial World Cup qualifier, with manager Dorival Junior under pressure as Brazil risk missing the World Cup for the first time in history. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Chile

World Cup Qualifying – South America | Group Stage | Oct 11, 2024 at 1am UK at Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

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Chile vs Brazil Predictions

Will Brazil Finally Get Their World Cup Campaign Back on Track in Chile?

  • Brazil’s Defensive Woes: Brazil have conceded eight goals in their eight qualifying matches so far, reflecting their struggles at the back. Even though they’re traditionally strong defensively, this leaky defence has cost them vital points.
  • Chile’s Home Disasters: Chile have won only one of their last five home games, with their most embarrassing result being a 3-0 loss to Bolivia. This dismal form has placed them second from bottom in the CONMEBOL standings.
  • Brazil’s Attack to the Rescue: Rodrygo has been Brazil’s most reliable attacker in the qualifiers, scoring three of their nine goals. With Vinicius Junior absent, all eyes will be on him to deliver once again.

Our Tips

France/France Half Time/Full Time
19/20 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A France/France win in the Half Time/Full Time market looks promising, with France expected to assert early control given Israel’s weak defence and France’s strong home form and scoring capabilities.
France 3-0
5/1 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 3-0 France victory seems likely, given their defensive solidity and Israel’s struggle to create chances. France’s scoring form and Israel’s defensive weaknesses support a controlled, multi-goal win for the hosts.

The clash between Chile and Brazil is set to be a captivating fixture, with both teams desperately needing points to reignite their faltering World Cup qualification campaigns. Brazil, a team steeped in World Cup tradition, are facing a rare crisis. Despite being one of the most successful football nations in the world, their form has been nothing short of dire, with only two wins in their last nine competitive fixtures. This Thursday, they travel to Santiago to face Chile, a team in even worse form, languishing near the bottom of the CONMEBOL standings.

Chile’s form, like Brazil’s, has been dismal. They’ve lost their way since their glory days of back-to-back Copa America triumphs in 2015 and 2016. Now, under Ricardo Gareca’s leadership, La Roja seem a shadow of their former selves. Their struggles were exemplified by a shocking home loss to Bolivia, a result that sent shockwaves through Chilean football. Brazil, despite their own problems, will see this as a golden opportunity to get their qualification campaign back on track. Yet, this is football, and as much as we love to say anything can happen, can Chile really pull off an upset here?

Best Bet: Brazil to Win and Both Teams to Score

Given the stakes, the best bet for this match is Brazil to win, but both teams to find the back of the net. Let’s dive into why this makes the most sense from a betting perspective.

Brazil may be struggling, but their attacking prowess remains undeniable. Despite the absence of Vinicius Junior, they still boast a formidable front line featuring the likes of Rodrygo, Raphinha, and the exciting young talent, Endrick. With the creative force of Lucas Paquetá pulling the strings in midfield and the dynamic Bruno Guimaraes offering support, it’s hard to see Brazil not breaching a Chile defence that has been far from convincing.

Chile’s defence has conceded 12 goals in just eight qualifying matches, and their recent performances have shown little sign of improvement. The embarrassing loss to Bolivia highlighted their defensive frailties, and facing Brazil’s attackers will likely expose them even further. However, Chile aren’t completely toothless up front. Eduardo Vargas, despite his age, still offers a significant threat, and Diego Valdés is another player capable of creating something out of nothing. In fact, Chile have scored in their last three home qualifiers, and given Brazil’s recent defensive lapses (conceding eight goals in eight matches), there’s every chance they’ll find the net again.

But Brazil, even with their defensive issues, are still a level above Chile, particularly when looking at their overall team quality. Chile’s squad is in transition, with several key players either injured or out of form. The absence of Alexis Sanchez, one of their talismanic figures, further weakens their attack. Brazil, even under pressure, should have enough firepower to secure victory. As BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa summarises: “Despite their recent struggles, Brazil’s attacking depth will overwhelm Chile’s shaky defence, though their own backline isn’t invulnerable.”

This combination of Brazil’s superior attacking options and their defensive vulnerabilities makes a Brazil win with both teams scoring a solid pick. You can expect Brazil to dominate possession and create numerous chances, but Chile will have moments of opportunity, especially on the counter-attack. The form, statistics, and player quality all point towards Argentina securing a routine victory. Venezuela’s defensive discipline could keep the score respectable, but ultimately, Argentina are likely to prove too strong.

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Correct Score Prediction: Brazil 2-1 Chile

Given the reasoning behind the best bet, a 2-1 scoreline in favour of Brazil seems a logical prediction for this encounter. Brazil are likely to control the game, but their shaky defence could allow Chile to snatch a goal. While Brazil should ultimately triumph, the match is unlikely to be a walkover, particularly given their recent inconsistency.

Chile’s ability to get on the scoresheet is supported by their recent home form in qualifiers, even if they haven’t been converting that into wins. They’ve managed to score in three of their last four home games, and with the likes of Vargas leading the line, they should have enough firepower to trouble Brazil’s defence. Meanwhile, Brazil’s forwards, despite not firing on all cylinders recently, should do enough to bag a couple of goals. They’ve averaged over one goal per game in the qualifiers and, with a must-win situation looming, we can expect a determined performance.

It’s worth noting that Brazil’s games have been low-scoring affairs of late, with nine of their last eleven competitive matches featuring two or fewer goals. But in this scenario, Chile’s defensive woes should provide Brazil with opportunities to score more freely, making 2-1 a reasonable scoreline. While the game may not be a goal fest, it certainly won’t be devoid of drama.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.