Chelsea vs Newcastle Predictions

Chelsea vs Newcastle predictions for this Premier League fixture. Both Chelsea and Newcastle United will aim to bounce back from Premier League gameweek eight defeats when they meet in Sunday’s top-flight clash at Stamford Bridge. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Premier League | Oct 26, 2024 at 2:00pm UK at Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Newcastle Predictions

Can Chelsea Capitalise on Newcastle’s Slump at Stamford Bridge?

• Cole Palmer’s attacking influence: Palmer has registered a goal or assist every 63 minutes at Stamford Bridge, only bettered by Erling Haaland’s home contributions in the Premier League.
• Newcastle’s attacking woes: The Magpies have failed to score in their last two Premier League matches and have only found the net once in their last three games across all competitions.
• Chelsea’s home form: Chelsea have not lost to Newcastle at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League since 2012, with a record of 12 wins and three draws during that period.

Our Tips

As Chelsea prepare to host Newcastle United this Sunday at Stamford Bridge, the stakes are high for both teams. With Chelsea keen to recover from their recent setback against Liverpool and Newcastle struggling to regain their footing after a string of poor results, this clash promises to be a fierce battle. The Magpies will be hoping to turn their fortunes around, but they face a Chelsea side that has been strong at home, especially under the guidance of manager Enzo Maresca.

The Blues’ confidence will be buoyed after a comfortable midweek victory over Panathinaikos in the Europa Conference League, where João Felix was the star of the show. On the other hand, Newcastle are licking their wounds following a frustrating 1-0 defeat to Brighton. With both teams eager to put recent disappointments behind them, the game is set to be an intriguing encounter with both sides pushing for crucial points in the Premier League.

Best Bet: Chelsea to Win and Keep a Clean Sheet

Based on recent form, our best bet for this fixture is for Chelsea to win and keep a clean sheet. Let’s break down the reasoning for this selection.

Chelsea have been formidable in attack, especially at Stamford Bridge, where they have scored 17 goals in their last six matches. Their defence has been a little shaky, conceding goals in their last five games across all competitions, but Newcastle’s recent struggles in front of goal suggest that the Magpies might not have enough firepower to breach the Blues’ backline. Eddie Howe’s men have only managed to score eight goals in eight Premier League games this season, a meagre return for a team with European ambitions.

Newcastle have also been plagued by injuries, with key attacking players like Callum Wilson and Sven Botman ruled out, which significantly weakens their attacking options. While Alexander Isak and Anthony Gordon offer some threat, Newcastle’s ability to create clear-cut chances has been in decline. They’ve failed to score in their last two Premier League matches and struggled against an Everton side who have been anything but defensively resolute.

Chelsea, on the other hand, have been getting stronger in attack, with Cole Palmer and Nicolas Jackson forming a promising partnership. Jackson, who has been in red-hot form, will relish the chance to run at a Newcastle defence that has been vulnerable at times. Marc Cucurella and Wesley Fofana returning from suspension will add solidity at the back, giving Chelsea an even better chance to keep a clean sheet.

BettingTips4You.com expert Tyler Morris sums it up well:

“Chelsea’s attacking form at home is undeniable, and with Newcastle’s current struggles in front of goal, it’s hard to see the Magpies breaching Chelsea’s defence. A Chelsea win to nil is looking like a solid option, especially with their firepower up top.”

With a rejuvenated Chelsea attack and a Newcastle side struggling for goals, this is a prediction that carries both statistical backing and common sense. Chelsea have also only conceded 1.3 goals per game in the Premier League, making this bet even more attractive.

Second Prediction: Cole Palmer to Assist

For our second prediction, Cole Palmer to assist stands out as a great shout. The young midfielder has been in fine form this season, contributing 11 goal involvements in his first eight Premier League matches. Only Erling Haaland boasts a better goal contribution rate at home, a testament to Palmer’s ability to make things happen at Stamford Bridge.

Palmer has developed a knack for being in the right place at the right time, whether it’s delivering a pinpoint cross or finishing off a slick team move. His link-up play with Nicolas Jackson has been excellent, and given Newcastle’s defensive frailties—particularly with key players like Jamaal Lascelles and Kieran Trippier out injured—Palmer should have plenty of opportunities to make his mark on this game.

Moreover, Palmer’s ability to draw fouls and create set-piece opportunities for Chelsea adds another dimension to his game. Against a Newcastle team that could struggle to contain his dribbling skills, an assist or a goal from Palmer feels like a strong possibility.

Correct Score Prediction: Chelsea 2-0 Newcastle United

Given all the factors at play, our correct score prediction for this match is 2-0 to Chelsea. The reasoning is straightforward: Chelsea’s attacking firepower, particularly at home, combined with Newcastle’s inability to score in recent weeks, suggests a controlled yet decisive win for the Blues.

While Newcastle’s defence has been solid for much of the season, their recent form—conceding to both Everton and Brighton—suggests they are vulnerable, particularly with key defensive players missing. On the other hand, Chelsea have been consistent in front of goal, particularly at home, where they’ve scored over two goals per game on average.

Chelsea’s tendency to dominate possession (56.1% on average) will likely frustrate Newcastle, who have been less effective at controlling the ball. This could lead to more chances for Chelsea, especially with Palmer pulling the strings in midfield. Additionally, with Fofana and Cucurella back in the fold, Chelsea should have enough defensive stability to prevent Newcastle from finding the back of the net.

Given Newcastle’s struggles in front of goal and Chelsea’s strength at both ends of the pitch, a 2-0 victory feels like the most likely outcome.

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