Cape Verde vs Mauritania predictions, betting tips and match previews for this African Cup of Nations Qualifying affair. Burkina Faso host Malawi on Sunday in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers, with both teams seeking a crucial win following their opening results in the campaign. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage | Sep 10, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde
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Cape Verde vs Mauritania Predictions
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Can Cape Verde’s Home Form Hold Against Mauritania’s Revival?
- Cape Verde’s Defensive Record: Cape Verde have kept five clean sheets in their last six home games, demonstrating their ability to shut down opposing attacks when playing in Praia. This defensive solidity will be crucial as they face a Mauritania side that struggles to score goals.
- Mauritania’s Struggles on the Road: Mauritania have failed to win in their last two away matches, drawing 0-0 with South Sudan and losing 2-0 to Congo DR. Their inability to score in these games further highlights their issues away from home, where they often struggle to find the back of the net.
- Low-Scoring Matches: Both teams have been involved in low-scoring matches recently, with five of Cape Verde’s last seven games producing under 2.5 goals. Similarly, Mauritania’s last seven matches have also seen fewer than 2.5 goals scored, making a tight, low-scoring contest the most likely outcome in this encounter.
Best Bet
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Cape Verde are set to welcome Mauritania to the Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde in what promises to be a crucial 2025 Africa Cup of Nations qualifying clash. After a disappointing start to their campaign with a heavy 3-0 defeat away to Egypt, Cape Verde are desperate to collect their first points of the qualification process. Meanwhile, Mauritania arrive full of confidence after an opening-round victory over Botswana, making this a potentially decisive game for both sides.
The hosts, Cape Verde, will need to recover from their poor showing in Cairo, where their defence was torn apart by a relentless Egyptian attack. Despite their recent form, which included five clean sheets in six games before their defeat, Cape Verde’s defensive vulnerabilities were starkly exposed. On home soil, however, the Blue Sharks have been more solid, going unbeaten in their last four matches and recording three victories.
Mauritania, on the other hand, will see this as an opportunity to build momentum. They secured a morale-boosting 1-0 win in their opener against Botswana, thanks to a late strike from Sidi Bouna Amar. While their overall form in 2024 has been patchy, with only one win in six matches, Mauritania will hope to continue their winning streak and take a huge step toward qualification.
Backing Cape Verde to come away with a victory seems the most likely outcome for this match, particularly considering their strong home form and Mauritania’s struggles on the road. While Cape Verde’s performance against Egypt was underwhelming, the level of competition in that match was far higher than what they will face against Mauritania. Furthermore, the fact that Cape Verde are unbeaten in their last four matches on home soil, with three wins and one draw, suggests they thrive when playing in front of their own fans.
One of the key reasons for this confidence in Cape Verde’s chances is Mauritania’s inconsistent away form. The visitors have failed to win any of their last two away games, drawing against South Sudan and losing to Congo DR. Their attacking frailties have been evident in their last seven games, scoring just one goal on two occasions, making it difficult to see them breaking down Cape Verde’s defence, which has generally been strong when not facing elite teams like Egypt.
Cape Verde’s attack, though inconsistent, is likely to improve in front of their home crowd. With the expected front three of Dailon Livramento, Ryan Mendes, and Willy Semedo likely to retain their places, there’s reason to believe the hosts will create enough chances to edge out a victory. The trio offers a combination of pace, trickery, and physicality that should trouble Mauritania’s defence, which hasn’t been the most resilient this year.
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Moreover, Cape Verde’s clean sheet record at home should not be ignored. The Blue Sharks have proven difficult to break down when playing in Praia, and with Mauritania’s lack of goalscoring firepower – having failed to score in five of their last seven matches – it’s likely that Cape Verde can keep things tight at the back while finding the net themselves.
As BettingTips4You.com expert Emmanuel Nwankwo suggests: “Cape Verde’s home form combined with Mauritania’s travel struggles makes them strong favourites to secure a narrow win. The hosts have consistently performed well on their own turf, and with Mauritania’s poor attack, a Cape Verde win looks to be the most logical outcome.”
Correct Score Prediction: Cape Verde 1-0 Mauritania
Given Cape Verde’s tendency to keep things tight at home and Mauritania’s struggles in attack, a narrow 1-0 victory for the hosts seems the most likely outcome. Both sides have shown a preference for low-scoring games, with under 2.5 goals in five of Cape Verde’s last seven matches, and Mauritania scoring just 0.3 goals on average in their previous 13 outings.
The key here will be Cape Verde’s ability to maintain defensive solidity. Despite their collapse against Egypt, Cape Verde have generally been tough to break down, especially at home. Mauritania, who have scored only once in their last five away games, are unlikely to breach the Cape Verde defence, particularly if they stick to their 4-5-1 formation with Souleymane Anne leading the line.
Cape Verde’s attack, while not the most prolific, should be able to find a way through against a Mauritanian side that has struggled on the road. The presence of players like Mendes and Semedo will be crucial, and while Cape Verde may not score many, one goal could be enough to secure all three points.
This prediction aligns with the best bet of Cape Verde to win, as the hosts are unlikely to run riot in terms of goals but should have enough quality to see off a low-scoring Mauritania side.
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