Burnley vs West Ham predictions for Saturday’s Premier League clash at Turf Moor. It has been a very difficult landing for the hosts in the Premier League. Can Burnley claim their first home points against an injury-hit West Ham? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Saturday, 25th November at 3:00 pm In:
Burnley vs West Ham United Predictions
[wptb id="395252" not found ]Tactical Tussle at Turf Moor: West Ham’s Quest to Overcome Burnley’s Resistance
Key Stats
– West Ham’s Rising Form: Three wins in their last four matches in all competitions.
– Lucas Paqueta’s Goal Scoring Streak: Scored in back-to-back games for West Ham.
Burnley’s Plight
Burnley, languishing at the bottom of the Premier League, faces a daunting task against West Ham United. The Clarets’ defensive frailties have been their Achilles’ heel, conceding 30 goals in 12 matches. Their inability to capitalise on home advantage, losing all six home matches, has compounded their woes. Vincent Kompany’s youthful side seems to be struggling with the rigours of top-flight football, lacking the resilience and tactical astuteness required at this level.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
BEST VALUE BET £20 Returns £80   Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change |
Best Value Bet Rationale
Ward-Prowse, with a commendable BettingTips4You Expert Rating average of 7.56 this season, has consistently demonstrated his proficiency in long-range efforts. While his statistics show he hasn’t yet converted any of his nine attempts from outside the box into goals, his overall scoring frequency and technical ability suggest it’s only a matter of time. His shots per game rate of 1.3, coupled with a 14% goal conversion rate, underlines his threat from distance.
His knack for finding space and unleashing powerful strikes from afar could be a decisive factor, especially against a team that has struggled to maintain a tight defensive line.
Furthermore, Ward-Prowse’s role as an advanced midfielder in the potential absence of key West Ham forwards like Michail Antonio and Jarrod Bowen, could see him taking more shots from distance, increasing the likelihood of scoring from outside the box.
Given these factors, the odds of 7/1 for Ward-Prowse to score from outside the box represent a value bet, combining the player’s individual skills with the tactical context of the match.
Key Areas of Concern: Burnley’s midfield lacks cohesion, and their defence has been susceptible to quick counter-attacks and set-piece situations. They will need to be wary of West Ham’s potent attacking threats.
West Ham’s Resurgence
David Moyes’s West Ham, on the other hand, has shown signs of revival. Their recent performances, including a crucial win over Olympiacos, indicate a growing confidence within the squad. The Hammers have been efficient against promoted teams and bottom-table sides, but their away form has been inconsistent.
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Game Plan and Strengths: West Ham excels in exploiting space behind the opposition’s defence, with players like Lucas Paqueta finding form. Their ability to control the midfield and launch rapid attacks will be crucial against Burnley’s vulnerable defence.
Managerial Tactics
Kompany’s Burnley needs a tactical overhaul, especially in organising their defence and midfield. They must find a balance between attacking intent and defensive solidity. Moyes, with his experience, seems to have found a formula that works for West Ham, focusing on a solid midfield base and quick transitions.
Head-to-Head Dynamics
The match could be decided in midfield, where West Ham has the upper hand. Burnley’s struggle to maintain possession and create meaningful chances could be exploited by West Ham’s efficient midfield and attack.
Our Take: Key Battles and Areas for Improvement
- Burnley must tighten their defensive structure and be more clinical in attack. They could benefit from a more conservative approach, trying to hit on the break.
- West Ham should capitalise on their midfield strength, with players like Paqueta and Soucek pivotal in controlling the game’s tempo.
- Kompany’s inexperience at this level is evident, and he faces a stern test against Moyes’s tactical nous.
Predictions
1. Match Outcome Prediction: West Ham to Win
West Ham United are poised to capitalise on Burnley’s precarious position at the bottom of the table. The Hammers, under David Moyes, have exhibited a resurgence in form, particularly evident in their European exploits and recent Premier League outings. Contrastingly, Burnley’s dismal run, especially at Turf Moor, paints a bleak picture. With six straight home defeats, the Clarets have shown a worrying lack of defensive solidity and attacking threat. West Ham’s tactical flexibility and improved morale position them as favourites to clinch a win. Their ability to exploit Burnley’s defensive gaps, coupled with their proficiency in set-piece situations, gives them a significant edge in this encounter.
2. Correct Score Prediction: West Ham 2-0 Burnley
A 2-0 victory for West Ham is a plausible outcome, considering the contrasting forms of both teams. Burnley, having conceded 30 goals this season, display considerable vulnerability at the back, which West Ham’s attack is well-equipped to exploit. The Hammers have not been prolific scorers but have maintained a steady output, making a two-goal margin a reasonable expectation. This scoreline also reflects the likelihood of Burnley struggling to break down a West Ham side that has shown increasing defensive resilience in recent matches.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: Lucas Paqueta to Score
Lucas Paqueta, finding his rhythm in the West Ham lineup, emerges as a likely candidate to score. His recent form, marked by goals in successive games, indicates his growing confidence and knack for finding himself in goal-scoring positions. With the potential absences of Michail Antonio and Jarrod Bowen, Paqueta’s role in the attack becomes even more pivotal. His technical prowess and ability to navigate tight spaces could prove crucial against a Burnley defence that has been prone to lapses in concentration.
4. First Half Result Prediction: West Ham Leading
Predicting West Ham to lead at the half-time whistle is grounded in their recent pattern of asserting early dominance in games, combined with Burnley’s tendency to concede early goals. The Hammers have demonstrated the capacity to start matches with intensity, exploiting opportunities with a high-pressing style. Burnley’s fragile defence might struggle to withstand this initial onslaught, leading to the likelihood of West Ham establishing an early lead. This prediction also accounts for the psychological advantage West Ham might hold, given Burnley’s run of poor form and low morale.
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