Burnley vs Stoke City Predictions

Burnley vs Stoke predictions for this Championship fixture. Scott Parker’s Burnley face Stoke City at Turf Moor on Wednesday in their 25th Championship match, aiming to rebound after recent setbacks as the new year begins. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Championship | Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK at Turf Moor

Burnley vs Stoke City Predictions

Can Burnley’s Fortress Weather Stoke’s Revival Attempt?

• Burnley’s Defence Reigns Supreme
  • Burnley boast the best defensive record in the Championship, having conceded only nine goals in 24 matches this season.
• Stoke’s Away Woes Continue
  • Stoke have lost seven of their last 10 away games, scoring just seven times during that dismal run.
• Clarets’ Turf Moor Fortress
  • Burnley are unbeaten in 11 home matches, a run that includes three wins in their last four outings.

Our Tips

Burnley are set to host Stoke City at Turf Moor in what promises to be an intriguing Championship encounter on Wednesday. The Clarets are in a strong position, sitting in third place with 48 points, just three points shy of the league summit. However, their recent 0-0 draw against Middlesbrough revealed some cracks in their attacking armour. Stoke, on the other hand, are languishing in 18th, still in search of stability under interim manager Ryan Shawcross following the dismissal of Narcis Pelach. Despite their struggles, Stoke come into this game buoyed by a morale-boosting 1-0 victory over Sunderland, secured by a dramatic late goal from Thomas Cannon.

This clash pits two teams with contrasting fortunes against each other. Burnley are unbeaten in 11 matches, boasting the best defensive record in the division, while Stoke’s away form has been woeful, with just one win in their last 10 outings on the road. Turf Moor, a fortress for the Clarets this season, could prove pivotal as the hosts aim to keep pace at the top of the table. Stoke’s challenge will be whether they can break down a resolute Burnley defence while maintaining their composure against a side unbeaten at home.

Best Bet for the Match: Burnley to Win and Under 2.5 Goals

Burnley’s formidable home record and defensive solidity make them clear favourites for this clash. Despite their attacking struggles, with just 1.3 goals per match on average and 3.6 shots on target per game, the Clarets have mastered the art of grinding out results. Their ability to keep clean sheets—15 so far, the most in the league—offers them a platform to edge tight contests. Against a Stoke side that have struggled to score away from home, Burnley’s pragmatic approach should suffice.

Stoke’s dismal record on their travels underscores the logic behind this tip. The Potters have lost seven of their last 10 away games, managing a meagre seven goals in that stretch. Their defensive vulnerabilities are equally glaring, as they’ve conceded at least two goals in six of their past seven away fixtures. While Shawcross has instilled some fight in the squad, as evidenced by their win over Sunderland, Stoke’s inability to create consistent attacking opportunities, coupled with their defensive lapses, makes them unlikely to unsettle Burnley.

Moreover, the reverse fixture between these sides ended 2-0 in Burnley’s favour, with the Clarets creating significantly more clear-cut chances. With Stoke missing key players like Million Manhoef and Lynden Gooch, their offensive options are further depleted, leaving Burnley well-positioned to dictate proceedings.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Steve Harrington aptly summarises: “Burnley’s defensive stability is the cornerstone of their success, and against a Stoke side that struggle away from home, the Clarets are poised to edge another low-scoring victory. Expect a disciplined performance from the hosts.”

Correct Score Prediction: Burnley 2-0 Stoke City

Given Burnley’s dominance at Turf Moor and Stoke’s attacking struggles, a 2-0 scoreline in favour of the hosts feels like a natural prediction. Burnley’s home form has been exceptional, with their unbeaten run at Turf Moor stretching to 11 matches. Although their attack has been inconsistent, Zian Flemming and Jaidon Anthony offer just enough creative spark to break through Stoke’s fragile defence.

Stoke’s ability to keep a clean sheet against Sunderland was an anomaly rather than a trend, as they allowed 19 shots from inside the box in that game. With a defence prone to lapses, particularly against high-pressing teams like Burnley, they are unlikely to withstand sustained pressure.

The Clarets’ ability to capitalise on big chances, as demonstrated in the reverse fixture, makes a 2-0 win plausible. Burnley’s robust backline, led by CJ Egan-Riley and Maxime Esteve, should comfortably neutralise Stoke’s attacking threat, ensuring a clean sheet.

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