Burnley vs QPR Predictions for this Championship fixture. Burnley host relegation-threatened Queens Park Rangers at Turf Moor on Saturday, aiming to extend their unbeaten Championship run to nine matches in this crucial second-tier encounter. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Championship | Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK at Turf Moor
Burnley vs QPR Predictions
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Can Burnley Cement Their Place at the Top of the Championship With a Win Over QPR?
- Burnley’s defensive steel: Burnley have conceded just five goals in 11 Championship matches, keeping six clean sheets in the process. Their defence has been one of the league’s strongest and will likely prove a tough nut to crack for QPR.
- QPR’s struggles in front of goal: Despite averaging 14.1 shots per game, QPR have only managed to score 11 times this season. Their poor conversion rate has left them languishing in the relegation zone.
- Burnley’s home resilience: The Clarets are unbeaten in five home matches this season, collecting 11 points from a possible 15, further solidifying their strong form at Turf Moor.
Our Tips
Fiorentina to Win and Over 2.5 Goals | |
Reasoning Fiorentina’s strong form and Genoa’s defensive frailties make an away win and over 2.5 goals likely. Fiorentina average 2.2 goals per game, while Genoa concede heavily, struggling offensively. | |
Reasoning |
Burnley are on a roll. Having weathered the storm of relegation last season, they’re now focused on storming their way back to the Premier League. Turf Moor will play host to a fascinating clash this Saturday as Vincent Kompany’s men, unbeaten in eight Championship matches, take on Queens Park Rangers. QPR, currently languishing in the relegation zone, will be desperate for points after what has been a largely frustrating start to the season. Burnley, on the other hand, are sitting comfortably near the top of the table, and a win this weekend could see them tighten their grip on a promotion spot.
Though QPR showed some resilience in their 1-1 draw against Coventry, they’ve generally struggled to find their footing. With a dismal record of just one win from 11 league matches, they’re far from convincing, particularly on the road. Meanwhile, Burnley will be keen to make Turf Moor a fortress, but they’ve not always looked invincible, grinding out narrow victories at home. Saturday’s game promises a battle between a team desperate to climb out of the relegation zone and one set on securing their place at the Championship summit. However, it feels like the cards are stacked against QPR, who have yet to keep a clean sheet this season.
Best Bet: Burnley to Win to Nil
Backing Burnley to win without conceding might just be the safest bet on the table for this encounter. Why? Burnley’s defensive record has been nothing short of impressive this season, with six clean sheets in their 11 Championship matches. On the contrary, QPR have found it tough going in front of goal, scoring only 11 times in as many games. That’s barely a goal per game, and it’s not hard to see why they are languishing near the foot of the table. Their last trip to Loftus Road saw them steal a draw against Coventry, but snatching a point at Turf Moor seems far less likely.
Burnley’s home form has been solid, especially in terms of defensive resilience. They’ve only conceded five goals across their league campaign and boast one of the strongest defensive setups in the league. With QPR’s lack of firepower and Burnley’s iron-clad defence, it’s hard to envision a scenario where the R’s manage to score. The Clarets have also been adept at managing matches where they aren’t scoring freely, allowing them to grind out results while keeping their opponents at bay.
A key factor here is QPR’s inability to convert their chances. Though they are averaging 14.1 shots per game, their conversion rate leaves much to be desired, with only 11 goals to show for their efforts. It’s a far cry from Burnley, who despite not being prolific, are much more efficient in front of goal. Add to this QPR’s struggle on set pieces and lack of creativity in the final third, and it’s no wonder they’ve been unable to score against some of the better defensive units in the league.
Our expert at BettingTips4You.com, Herrin Kendrick, summarises the rationale perfectly: “Burnley’s defence is one of the best in the division, and with QPR’s struggles in attack, it’s hard to see them breaching that backline. A Burnley win to nil feels like the most logical outcome.” Given the numbers, it’s difficult to argue against this.
Correct Score Prediction: Burnley 2-0 QPR
Aligning with the bet for Burnley to win to nil, a 2-0 result seems a sensible prediction. Burnley aren’t exactly tearing defences apart but are consistently doing enough to get the job done. Their average of 1.5 goals per game puts them on track to score at least a couple against a QPR side that has conceded 19 goals already this season. Turf Moor has been a tricky venue for teams to visit, and with Burnley keen to maintain their unbeaten run, they should be expected to control proceedings from start to finish.
Despite their struggles, QPR aren’t a side that will just roll over, and it’s likely Burnley will need to be patient. The Clarets have often had to grind out wins at home, and this match could follow a similar pattern. QPR’s defence has been shaky, but they might make Burnley work for their chances. A 2-0 scoreline accounts for Burnley’s superiority while also acknowledging that they aren’t exactly free-scoring. QPR, on the other hand, will likely struggle to break through Burnley’s defensive unit, which has only allowed five goals in 11 matches.
A 2-0 win fits the narrative of a solid, workmanlike performance from Burnley, with QPR unable to mount a serious challenge. If QPR are to find any joy, it will likely come from set-pieces or hopeful long balls, but Burnley’s defence has proved adept at dealing with such threats.
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