Burnley vs Derby County Predictions

Burnley vs Derby County predictions for this Championship fixture. Burnley, chasing the Championship title, host relegation-battling Derby County at Turf Moor on Tuesday in a crucial match for both sides on matchday 20 of the 2024-25 season. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Championship | Dec 10, 2024 at 7;45pm UK at Turf Moor

Burnley vs Derby County Predictions

Can Derby Upset the Odds at Turf Moor, or Will Burnley March On?

• Burnley’s Defensive Masterclass: The Clarets have conceded just seven goals in 19 league matches this season, with only three coming at home.
• Derby’s Away Day Woes: The Rams have won only one of their last ten away games in the Championship, underlining their struggles on the road.
• Brownhill’s Impact: Josh Brownhill has been involved in key moments for Burnley, scoring six goals and leading by example as captain.

Our Tips

Burnley are poised to host Derby County in what promises to be an intriguing clash at Turf Moor. While the Clarets continue their fight for a swift return to the Premier League, Derby find themselves battling at the opposite end of the Championship table. Burnley sit third with 37 points, just a point off the automatic promotion spots, while Derby languish in 16th, flirting precariously with the relegation zone. Both sides have much to play for, albeit for starkly different reasons, and this contrast could make for a compelling contest on Tuesday evening.

For Burnley, consistency and resilience have been the backbone of their season. After an initial stumble following relegation, Scott Parker has reignited their campaign. The Clarets boast an unbeaten home record, and Turf Moor has become a fortress, conceding just three goals in their nine home matches. Derby, on the other hand, are reeling from three consecutive defeats, their most recent a 2-0 loss at Leeds, and have struggled mightily on the road. The pressure is mounting on the Rams, who need a statement performance to lift themselves from their current malaise.

Best Bet: Burnley to Win

The clear disparity in form and quality makes Burnley the overwhelming favourites for this fixture. The Clarets’ defensive solidity has been unparalleled this season, conceding just seven goals in 19 games. Their ability to shut down opposition attacks, combined with an efficient attack led by the influential Josh Brownhill, who has netted six times this campaign, makes them a daunting prospect for any side. Derby, meanwhile, have struggled to find their rhythm. Despite Jerry Yates’ commendable recent form, with three goals in his last five outings, the Rams’ lack of cohesion and defensive frailties have been their undoing.

Burnley’s home advantage cannot be overstated. Their fans have been treated to strong performances week after week, and their recent run of four wins from their last six games further underscores their dominance at Turf Moor. Derby’s away record, featuring just one win in ten attempts, paints a grim picture. This, coupled with their ongoing injury concerns and defensive vulnerabilities, makes it hard to envisage anything other than a comfortable Burnley win.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Graham Hartshorn summarises, “Burnley’s consistency at home and Derby’s frailties on the road make this a mismatch on paper. The Clarets have the tools to control this match and grind out another crucial three points.“

Correct Score Prediction: Burnley 2-0 Derby County

A measured and professional performance from Burnley should see them secure a 2-0 victory. Their solid defence is unlikely to concede against a Derby side that has managed just one goal per game on average this season. Burnley’s midfield duo of Brownhill and Jack Cullen will likely dictate play, providing the platform for the likes of Jay Rodriguez and Luca Koleosho to create scoring opportunities.

The rationale for a 2-0 scoreline is grounded in Burnley’s recent performances and Derby’s struggles. The Clarets’ defence has been rock-solid, keeping clean sheets in five of their last six matches. Meanwhile, Derby have scored only once in their last two outings and lack the firepower to trouble a disciplined Burnley backline. This prediction aligns seamlessly with the best bet of a Burnley win, with the Clarets expected to maintain control throughout the 90 minutes.

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