Brighton vs Roma Predictions

Brighton vs Roma predictions for this Europa League round of 16 clash. Brighton & Hove Albion aim for an upset or to regain pride as they host a rejuvenated Roma in their Europa League second-leg tie, anticipating a challenging encounter. Read on for our free Europa League predictions and betting tips.


Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg | Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK at The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton vs Roma Predictions

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A Seagull’s Flight Against History: Brighton’s Battle at the AMEX

Key Stats

– Brighton boasts a 13-game unbeaten streak at home in all competitions.

– Roma, under De Rossi, has lost just once in their last 11 matches, showcasing newfound resilience.

– Brighton’s top scorer in the Europa League, Joao Pedro, is sidelined, adding pressure on the rest of the team to deliver.

Crafting an in-depth technical analysis of the anticipated Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Roma, we dive into the intricacies that define both teams’ current forms, strategies, and what this encounter holds in store. Following a demoralising 4-0 defeat in the Italian capital, Brighton’s European journey hangs by a thread, yet hope and strategy could intertwine to produce an unforgettable night at the AMEX Stadium.


Tactical Dynamics and Expected Lineups

Brighton’s Approach: Under Roberto De Zerbi, Brighton has cultivated a style marked by possession, precision, and pressing. Despite the heavy loss in the first leg, their home form suggests resilience and tactical astuteness. The expected lineup of Steele; Lamptey, Dunk, Van Hecke, Estupinan; Gilmour, Gross; Adingra, Lallana, Fati; Welbeck suggests a blend of experience and dynamism, particularly in midfield and attack. Billy Gilmour’s return adds creativity, aiming to unlock a robust Roma defence.

Roma’s Strategy: Daniele De Rossi’s Roma has shown grit, tactical flexibility, and a knack for crucial goals. Their expected squad, Svilar; Celik, Mancini, Ndicka, Zalewski; Bove, Paredes, Pellegrini; Dybala, Lukaku, El Shaarawy, is a testament to their depth and attacking prowess. With Dybala and Lukaku leading the line, Roma possesses the quality to exploit any defensive lapses while maintaining solidity at the back.

Key Battles and Game Deciders

The midfield tussle, especially between Gilmour/Gross and Paredes/Pellegrini, could dictate the pace and control of the game. Brighton’s ability to disrupt Roma’s midfield engine and create forward thrusts will be crucial. Additionally, the duel between Brighton’s attackers, particularly Welbeck, against Roma’s defensive anchor, Mancini, will be key to unlocking scoring opportunities.

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Analysis and Opinion

Brighton’s main challenge lies in balancing attack and defence. Their aggressive press and ball retention must translate into clear-cut chances, a task made daunting by Roma’s tactical discipline. On the other side, Roma’s counter-attacking prowess, led by the lethal duo of Dybala and Lukaku, could exploit Brighton’s need to push forward.

Improvements and Criticisms: Brighton must sharpen their finishing and defensive concentration. Their creativity is often let down by the final touch, an area De Zerbi must address. As for Roma, De Rossi’s challenge is to ensure his team’s away form in Europe matches their domestic resilience. His strategic nous will be tested against Brighton’s desperation and home advantage.


Best Bet: Brighton to Win and Both Teams to Score

Brighton & Hove Albion, despite facing a daunting first-leg deficit, have shown resilience and a knack for scoring at the Amex Stadium, bolstering the prediction that they could secure a victory against Roma. Their imperative to attack from the onset, aiming to salvage their European campaign, aligns with their statistical propensity to score at home.

Roma, on the other hand, possesses a potent attack capable of exploiting even the slightest defensive lapses, suggesting that while Brighton may emerge victorious, Roma is more than capable of finding the back of the net. This match’s dynamic, driven by Brighton’s urgency and Roma’s tactical acumen, sets the perfect backdrop for a contest where both teams are likely to score, with Brighton edging it in terms of victory.


Correct Score Prediction: Brighton 2-1 Roma

Anticipating a fiercely contested battle at the Amex Stadium, a 2-1 victory for Brighton aligns with the narrative of a team fuelled by determination and the backing of a home crowd. This prediction takes into account Brighton’s offensive strategies and their historical home performance, suggesting their ability to score multiple goals.

Conversely, Roma’s consistent threat on the counter or via set-pieces, combined with their strategic approach to secure an away goal, contributes to the expectation of a tight match, culminating in a narrow Brighton win. This scoreline mirrors the balance between Brighton’s offensive endeavours and Roma’s calculated responses.

Goalscorer Prediction: Pascal Gross to Score

In a match where Brighton’s offensive tactics are paramount, Pascal Gross emerges as a key figure due to his midfield dominance, set-piece prowess, and shooting capabilities. Gross’s inclination to occupy critical spaces, his track record of crucial goal contributions, and his role in orchestrating Brighton’s attacks make him a likely candidate to score.

In a scenario where Brighton presses forward, exploiting set-piece opportunities and requiring leadership in midfield, Gross’s attributes align perfectly with the anticipated match dynamics, making his contribution vital for Brighton’s pursuit of goals.


Team to Score First: Brighton

The context of the tie necessitates a strong start from Brighton, propelling them towards an aggressive opening. This strategy, aimed at unsettling Roma and instigating an early breakthrough, underscores the prediction that Brighton will score first.

Given their need to erase a significant aggregate deficit, coupled with their tactical approach that favours possession and creating early opportunities, Brighton’s likelihood of opening the scoring is accentuated. This anticipates that Roma, while defensively astute, may initially adopt a more conservative stance to manage the game’s tempo, further bolstering the likelihood of an early goal from the Seagulls.

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!