Brighton vs Ajax Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in the Europa League. After a shaky start in their European campaign, can Brighton claim a first group stage win against an out-of-form Ajax who are close to the relegation zone in their domestic league? Read on for our free predictions and tips.
Match Live Thursday, 26th October at 8:00 pm In:
Brighton vs Ajax Predictions
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Europa Showdown: Brighton’s Resolve vs Ajax’s Legacy
Key Stats
– Ajax sit worryingly close to the Eredivisie relegation zone after their recent loss.
– Brighton’s possession stats stand at a commanding 64.5%.
Brighton & Hove Albion eagerly await Ajax at the Amex Stadium this Thursday night, with aspirations of clinching their inaugural win in the Europa League. Their European debut, though memorable, wasn’t what they hoped for—a 3-2 loss to AEK Athens. A glimmer of hope came when they managed to draw 2-2 with Marseille, after initially trailing.
Brighton’s recent Premier League clash against Manchester City culminated in a 2-1 defeat. Despite the setback, spirits remain high as they brace themselves for a marquee match against the celebrated Dutch team, Ajax. But Ajax, famed in Europe, has had its share of issues lately. They started their Europa League with a 3-3 draw against Marseille and a 1-1 stalemate with AEK Athens. Domestically, they’re floundering. A surprising 4-3 defeat to Utrecht recently pushed them precariously close to the Eredivisie relegation zone, leading to the departure of their head coach, Maurice Steijn.
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Comparing the Competitors
Betting Outlook: Despite Brighton’s European novice status, they’re pegged as 1/3 favourites with Bet 365 to earn their maiden win in this competition. Ajax, with a richer European history, arrive as underdogs, quoted at 15/2 with William Hill. A draw is priced at 5/1 with Bet 365.
Recent Form: Brighton’s Europa encounters have seen goal-fests this season. They have a record of both teams scoring in a staggering 11 out of 12 matches in all competitions. Roberto De Zerbi’s charges have managed to find the net in nearly all their games, barring one. Yet, they’ve struggled to keep things tight at the back. Ajax, despite their recent struggles, retain their attacking potency. This makes a goal-heavy game highly likely.
Individual Brilliance: Brighton’s standouts include João Pedro and Pascal Groß, both of whom have been critical in the team’s attacking plays. Pedro, especially, has been sensational with an average rating of 8.00. On the other hand, Ajax has relied on Carlos Borges and Jay Gorter. Borges, with his flair, and Gorter, guarding the posts, have been instrumental in Ajax’s campaign.
Crucial Match Dynamics:
The Midfield Tussle: Brighton’s midfield, led by Pascal Groß, will be crucial in controlling the game’s tempo. Their possession stats, a commanding 64.5%, suggest they like to dominate. However, Ajax’s Kenneth Taylor will be looking to disrupt Brighton’s rhythm.
Defensive Frailties: Both teams have vulnerabilities at the back. Brighton has conceded five goals in two European games, while Ajax has let in four. Moreover, neither team has managed to keep a clean sheet. This could play a significant role in the outcome.
Managerial Duel: The tactical battle between Roberto De Zerbi of Brighton and whoever is at the helm for Ajax will be crucial. While De Zerbi’s attacking philosophy is evident, he needs to address his side’s defensive fragility. As for Ajax, the managerial shake-up might either be a breath of fresh air or add to their woes.
Where the Match Could be Decided:
The middle of the park is where this game will likely be won or lost. The midfield battle, especially between Groß of Brighton and Taylor of Ajax, will be pivotal.
Opinionated Suggestions:
Brighton, despite their attacking zeal, must tighten up defensively. Their European campaign cannot rely on outscoring opponents always. For Ajax, the managerial turbulence has clearly taken a toll. They need to rediscover their identity and play with the cohesion they’re renowned for.
Pro and Cons:
Brighton’s strength lies in their attacking threat, but their defensive lapses are glaring. Ajax, despite their rich European legacy, seem lost and lack clear direction. Yet, their attacking players can change a game’s complexion in moments.
Predictions:
1. Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals:
Analysis: Brighton and Ajax both boast strong offensive line-ups, demonstrated by their impressive goal records this season. Brighton’s Europa League encounters thus far have seen a combined total of 9 goals in just 2 matches, a clear indication of their attacking intent coupled with defensive vulnerabilities. Ajax, on the other hand, despite their recent struggles in the Eredivisie, have shown they can find the net regularly in Europe.
Taking into account both teams’ defensive lapses, and their potency upfront, it’s reasonable to predict that this match could see at least three goals with both sides contributing to the scoreline. Bet Value: This seems a justified and attractive bet for those seeking a balance between risk and potential return.
2. Correct Score Prediction: 2-2 Draw:
Analysis: Given the recent form and patterns observed in both teams’ matches, a high-scoring draw appears to be on the cards. Brighton’s attack, led by players like João Pedro, has consistently found the net. However, their defensive frailties have been evident. Ajax, facing a transition period, are also likely to bring their A-game to ensure they remain competitive in the Europa League. Combining these factors, a 2-2 draw appears plausible. Bet Value: This scoreline offers tempting odds for those willing to take a bit more of a punt.
3. Goalscorer Prediction:
Analysis:
Brighton: João Pedro has been the standout player for Brighton this season. His agility, vision, and striking ability make him a constant threat to opposition defences. He’s already showcased his goal-scoring prowess in previous matches and is likely to be among the goals again.
Ajax: Carlos Borges has emerged as a key player for Ajax. His flair and knack for being in the right place at the right time make him a prime candidate to find the back of the net. Bet Value: Depending on the offered odds, it might be worthwhile placing a wager on either player to score anytime during the match.
4. First Half Result: Draw:
Analysis: Both Brighton and Ajax will be keen to set a positive tone from the outset. Given the significance of the match, neither side will want to concede early. Therefore, a cautious approach, especially in the initial stages, can be expected from both teams. Although there’ll be attempts on goal, a deadlock at half-time seems a likely outcome. Bet Value: A draw at half-time could offer decent odds for those looking for a more conservative bet.
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