Brest vs Strasbourg Predictions

Stade Brestois 89 v RC Strasbourg predictions for this Ligue 1 match on Thursday. When Brest hosts Strasbourg at Stade Francis-Le Ble on Thursday, they have the opportunity to equal their longest winning streak in Ligue 1 from the previous season. Read on for our free Ligue 1 predictions and betting tips. 

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Strasbourg
Match Live Thursday, 7th December at 7:30 pm In:
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Brest vs Strasbourg Predictions

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A Tactical Face-Off or a Foregone Conclusion?

Key Stats
– Strasbourg has scored only one goal or fewer in each of their Ligue 1 away fixtures this season, highlighting their struggles in finding the back of the net on the road.
– Brest has won their last two matches, scoring six goals in the process, showcasing their improved attacking prowess.
– Strasbourg’s slow starts have seen them concede first in eight domestic encounters this season, putting them on the back foot early in matches.

In an intriguing Ligue 1 encounter, Brest will host Strasbourg at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent forms and ambitions. Brest is aiming to extend their winning streak, while Strasbourg is desperately seeking a turnaround in their fortunes to avoid relegation. In this article, we will delve into a deep analysis of both teams, their strategies, key players, and offer predictions for the match.

Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match

BEST VALUE BET

£20 Returns £36

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Best Value Bet Rationale
Considering the upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Strasbourg, a compelling bet to consider is Emanuel Emegha to have over 0.5 shots on target, currently boosted by Bet365 from 5/6 to 10/11 (at the time of writing, odds subject to change, T&C’s apply). This proposition appears to offer excellent value for several reasons.
Firstly, Emegha’s recent performances have shown a consistent threat in front of goal. With an average of 0.6 shots on target per game this season and a total of 2 goals to his name, Emegha has demonstrated his ability to find scoring opportunities. His scoring frequency and position in Strasbourg’s attack suggest he is likely to have at least one shot on target in the game.

Moreover, the context of the match itself bolsters the likelihood of this bet coming to fruition. Brest, while showing strong form at home, have had defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 14 goals in 13 matches. Strasbourg, on the other hand, is under pressure to perform given their position just above the relegation zone. In such a scenario, players like Emegha are expected to step up and take more attempts at goal, increasing the chances of him hitting the target.
Additionally, the odds boost provided by Bet365 enhances the value of this bet. The adjustment from 5/6 to 10/11 makes it a more attractive proposition, offering a better return for the same level of risk.
In summary, given Emegha’s shooting stats, the defensive record of Brest, and the boosted odds, this bet presents itself as a strong value option for the upcoming fixture.

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Team Performance and Recent Form

Brest has been on an upswing lately, winning their last two matches convincingly. They secured a 3-1 victory against Montpellier HSC and followed it up with a resounding 3-0 win against Clermont. These performances have propelled them to seventh place in the Ligue 1 table.

The Brest attack has been rejuvenated, scoring three goals in consecutive league games. They have netted as many times in these two games as they did in their nine previous matches combined. Their recent 3-0 victory marked their first three-goal triumph since January 2023.

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On the defensive front, Brest has also shown improvement, keeping a clean sheet in their last match. This was their third clean sheet of the season and the third at home. Under the guidance of manager Eric Roy, Brest has accumulated 21 points after 13 matchdays, making it their second-best start to a top-flight campaign.

On the other hand, Strasbourg finds itself in a dire situation, just three points above the relegation zone. They have struggled defensively, conceding first in eight domestic encounters this season. Their poor start to matches has resulted in being outscored 10-1 in the opening 45 minutes.

Strasbourg is currently winless in seven consecutive Ligue 1 matches, the longest ongoing streak without a victory in the league. They have also struggled to find the back of the net in their away fixtures, scoring one goal or fewer in each.

Head-to-Head Record

Despite their current form, Strasbourg has a relatively good track record against Brest in the top flight. They have lost only one of their last six encounters against Brest and have won three of the previous four meetings. Strasbourg has also notched three consecutive away draws at Stade Francis-Le Ble.

Key Factors and Analysis

The outcome of this match could be decided in the midfield battle and individual duels between players. Brest’s recent success has been driven by their improved attack, and they will look to exploit Strasbourg’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Strasbourg’s slow starts have been a recurring issue, and they must address this concern to have a chance against Brest. The battle in the middle of the park will be crucial, with players like Pierre Lees-Melou (Brest) and Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (Strasbourg) expected to play pivotal roles.

Both teams are likely to adopt contrasting strategies. Brest, riding on their recent victories, will look to control possession and press high to maintain their momentum. Strasbourg, on the other hand, might adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on counter-attacks to exploit any defensive gaps.

Opinionated Suggestions for Improvement

For Brest, maintaining their recent attacking prowess and defensive solidity will be essential. They should continue to press high and capitalise on their home advantage to secure three points.

Strasbourg needs to address their slow starts and find a way to score more goals, especially in away fixtures. They could benefit from a more balanced and cautious approach while being more clinical in front of goal.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Brest’s strength lies in their improved attack, while their weakness could be complacency after recent victories. Strasbourg’s strength could be their resilience, but their lack of goals is a significant weakness.

Managerial Analysis

Eric Roy, in his first full season as Brest’s manager, has brought about a positive change in the team’s fortunes. On the other hand, Patrick Vieira at Strasbourg needs to find solutions to their ongoing struggles.

Expected Goals Averages

Brest’s expected goals average has seen an increase in recent matches, indicating their improved attacking efficiency. Strasbourg, however, needs to work on their expected goals as they have struggled to find the back of the net.

Predictions

  1. Match Result Prediction: Draw

While Brest has been performing well against weaker opponents, Strasbourg possesses the potential to put up a fight. Manager Patrick Vieira has the ability to turn things around, and their previous record against Brest suggests they can be competitive. We predict a hard-fought 1-1 draw in this fixture.

  1. Correct Score Prediction: 1-1

Given the resilience Strasbourg has shown in previous encounters with Brest, a 1-1 draw seems like a plausible outcome for this match. Both teams might find the back of the net, resulting in a balanced scoreline.

  1. Goalscorer Prediction: Romain Del Castillo (Brest)

Romain Del Castillo has been in fine form for Brest, contributing with crucial goals. We predict that he will continue his scoring streak and find the net in this game. Additionally, he could be a strong candidate for the first goalscorer.

  1. Corner Prediction: Brest to Win the Corner Battle

Brest has been performing well at home and has been the more dominant team in recent matches. We anticipate that Brest will win the corner battle in this game, with their attacking prowess creating more corner-kick opportunities. The total number of corners in the match is likely to be around 10-12.

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Robin Bylund
Robin is a Premier League fanatic from Sweden that barely misses a minute of action from England's top flight. Robin's been with us since 2015 and combines his work for us with his own Podcast, while also freelancing as a translator and content producer for various media outlets.