Brentford vs Everton Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews ahead of Saturday’s Premier League meeting. Brentford will be keen to bounce back following the narrow defeat away to Newcastle. Can they pick up a first home win when they face struggling Everton? Read on for our predictions.
Match Live Saturday, 23rd September at 5:30 pm In:
Brentford vs Everton Predictions
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A Premier League Duel to Watch
Key Stats
– Everton have netted just two goals this season, a joint-low with Luton Town.
– Bryan Mbeumo, Brentford’s top scorer, has found the net four times this term.
Following recent 1-0 losses, both Brentford and Everton are gearing up to rejuvenate their campaigns as they clash this Saturday at the Gtech Community Stadium. Brentford’s setback came from Newcastle United, ending their seven-match unbeaten run in the Premier League. The referee’s eight yellow cards in this match showcased the heated nature of the duel. While Brentford’s initial performance this season looked promising with a four-game unbeaten run, their home draws against Bournemouth and Crystal Palace dampened the enthusiasm. Nevertheless, Brentford have been a force at the Gtech, scoring in 16 straight Premier League fixtures.
Everton, on the other hand, hoped to build on their record against Arsenal at Goodison Park but suffered another 1-0 defeat. The team’s overall performance has been shaky with three consecutive home losses. Their offensive capabilities have also been in question, having netted just two goals this term, a stat only paralleled by Luton Town.
Key Players and Tactics
A substantial blow for Brentford is the injury to Rico Henry. This injury coupled with other player absences and suspensions has significantly impacted Brentford’s lineup. This means Kevin Schade might be the go-to option in the attacking section. Everton’s squad seems relatively unscathed from their last outing, with potential changes in the front. There’s anticipation about Dominic Calvert-Lewin making a starting appearance.
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Brentford’s top performers this season, as per the BettingTips4You Expert Rating, include Mathias Jensen and Zanka. Brentford’s impressive ball possession average of 48% and their average of 14.4 shots per game are promising figures, suggesting they have the capability to be offensive threats.
For Everton, Jarrad Branthwaite and Beto lead the performance charts. While Everton’s ball possession is lower at 41.8%, their successful dribbles per game at seven indicate their ability to break defensive lines.
Technical Analysis
Brentford and Everton have had varying starts to their Premier League campaigns, with both teams showcasing strengths and vulnerabilities. This juxtaposition between the two squads provides a rich tapestry to unravel in order to predict the potential dynamics of their upcoming encounter.
1. Offensive and Defensive Strategies:
Brentford: The Bees’ strategy is predominantly about maintaining a solid defensive shape while seeking opportunities to pounce. Brentford have been able to score consistently at home, with a record of having netted in 16 successive top-flight games at the Gtech. Players like Yoane Wissa and Bryan Mbeumo have shown their mettle up front. However, Brentford’s reliance on set-pieces, as evidenced by their two successful penalties and one free-kick goal, suggests they exploit these moments to break defences.
Everton: Everton’s strategy under Dyche seems more conservative. While their endeavour to frustrate Arsenal initially bore fruit, their attempts at goal were minimal, suggesting a deeper-lying, counter-attacking approach. Everton’s offensive issues are accentuated by the fact they’ve netted only twice this season. Beto, despite his above-average rating, hasn’t quite been the goal machine they might’ve hoped for.
Defensively, while Newcastle showed the kind of resilience that stopped Brentford, Everton might not possess that same mettle, especially given their recent defensive record.
2. Player Performances:
Brentford: Mathias Jensen and Zanka have been stellar, with Jensen providing creative sparks in the midfield and Zanka ensuring solidity at the back. However, the loss of Rico Henry to injury could prove detrimental to Brentford’s left flank.
Everton: Jarrad Branthwaite stands out defensively, but it’s the midfield trio of Amadou Onana, Abdoulaye Doucouré, and James Garner that could be vital. They will be expected to stifle Brentford’s midfield and initiate Everton’s offensive manoeuvres.
3. Management Impact:
Thomas Frank has Brentford playing cohesive football, emphasising collective effort over individual brilliance. While mid-table might feel underwhelming, their performances suggest they’re on the right track.
Dyche, on the other hand, is in tricky territory. While known for building resolute teams, the current Everton side looks fragile. Whether this is a transitional phase or a deeper issue remains to be seen.
4. Expected Goals (xG):
Brentford’s xG numbers might be bolstered by set-pieces, but their consistent scoring at home suggests they are a genuine threat. Everton’s xG remains worrisome, indicating a lack of clear-cut chances created.
5. Comparisons:
Tactically, Brentford seem more versatile, while Everton appears to rely heavily on a counter-attacking setup. Player-wise, while both teams have standouts, Brentford’s squad seems more in form. Success-wise, Brentford’s unbeaten home run contrasts sharply with Everton’s struggles.
6. Suggestions for Improvement:
Brentford: Solidifying the defence should be paramount, given they’ve failed to keep clean sheets in recent games.
Everton: Their offensive woes need immediate attention. Whether it’s a change in formation or personnel, Dyche needs to find a solution fast.
7. Pro and Cons:
Brentford: Pros: Consistent home form, versatility in tactics. Cons: Over-reliance on set-pieces, recent defensive frailties.
Everton: Pros: Potential in midfield, past success against Brentford. Cons: Lack of goals, shaky defence.
Predictions
1. Match Outcome: Draw
Brentford and Everton are both trying to recover their momentum after a series of challenging results. While Brentford’s historical home record is impressive, boasting an unbeaten run stretching back seven matches into the last season, Everton have also shown resilience against the Bees, having taken four points from them in the previous term.
This history, combined with both teams’ recent form, hints at a closely contested match. Furthermore, with Brentford’s average ball possession of 48% and Everton’s 41.8%, neither side dominates possession considerably, suggesting that a game of fairly even-handed exchanges is on the cards. Given the data and the recent performances, a draw seems a plausible outcome for this fixture.
2. Correct Score: 1-1
A delve into the recent performances of both teams unveils an interesting pattern. Brentford have managed to net an average of 1.6 goals per match this season, but their defence has been porous, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game. On the other hand, Everton have found the back of the net far less frequently, averaging just 0.4 goals per game, but they’ve conceded at a higher rate of 1.8 goals per match.
Factoring in that Brentford’s defence has been breached in each of their last four games, while Everton has had a tough time maintaining clean sheets, a 1-1 scoreline becomes a possibility worth considering. Additionally, with both teams showcasing similar duels won percentages (Brentford at 50.1% and Everton at 51.7%), it further solidifies the idea of a close encounter, potentially culminating in a shared point each.
3. Likely Goalscorer: Bryan Mbeumo
Brentford’s Bryan Mbeumo has emerged as a key player for the Bees this season, leading the team’s goalscoring chart with four goals. Mbeumo’s performances, coupled with his impressive BettingTips4You rating of 7.18, highlight his influential presence in Brentford’s attack.
Given Everton’s defensive woes, which have seen them concede an average of 1.8 goals per match this season, Mbeumo will likely be licking his lips at the prospect of adding to his tally. With Everton’s inability to keep a clean sheet thus far, combined with Mbeumo’s predatory instincts in front of goal, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Brentford forward find the back of the net in this clash.
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