Brentford vs Arsenal Predictions

Brentford vs Arsenal predictions for Saturday’s Premier League clash. Arsenal could find themselves atop the Premier League table this weekend if they secure a win against London rivals Brentford on Saturday evening, depending on the result of the Manchester City vs. Liverpool match earlier in the day. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Match Live Saturday, 25th November at 5:30 pm In:

Brentford vs Arsenal Predictions




£10 Returns £38

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

London Showdown: Arsenal’s Test at Brentford’s Fortress

Key Stats
– Brentford have scored in their last 19 home league games.
– Arsenal have won only one of their last five away contests.
– Bryan Mbeumo has contributed six goals this season in Ivan Toney’s absence.

Arsenal’s trip to Brentford offers an intriguing London derby, with Mikel Arteta’s side aiming to consolidate their position near the Premier League summit, while Brentford look to continue their impressive scoring run at home.

Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match


£20 Returns £42

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Best Value Bet Rationale
In the upcoming Arsenal vs Brentford clash, Christian Nørgaard’s role in midfield will be crucial for Brentford. Considering his average performance rating of 7.11 and consistent presence in the squad, having started all 12 games this season, Nørgaard is a key figure in Thomas Frank’s setup. His tackling ability, averaging 2.5 tackles per game, is particularly noteworthy. Given this statistic, the proposition of Christian Nørgaard achieving over 2.5 tackles in the match against Arsenal at odds of 4/5, boosted from the initial 8/11 by Bet365, represents a compelling bet.

Arsenal, known for their dynamic midfield play under Mikel Arteta, will likely control possession and press high, forcing Brentford to defend in numbers. Nørgaard’s role as a defensive midfielder will be vital in breaking down Arsenal’s attacks. His performance against top teams this season, notably a 7.2 rating against Liverpool and an 8.1 against Burnley, where he would have been required to put in numerous defensive shifts, suggests he thrives in such high-pressure games.

Given Arsenal’s offensive style, Nørgaard will likely be called into action frequently, increasing the probability of him surpassing the 2.5 tackles mark. His track record this season, combined with Brentford’s expected defensive workload, makes this bet particularly attractive. It’s an opportunity to capitalise on a player’s consistent defensive contributions in a game where they are expected to be under considerable pressure.
This betting selection, currently boosted by Bet365 at the time of writing (odds subject to change, T&C’s apply), offers a value proposition based on Nørgaard’s tackling consistency and the anticipated game dynamics.

Tactical Breakdown

Brentford’s Strategy: Despite missing their talisman Ivan Toney, Brentford, under Thomas Frank, have demonstrated offensive prowess, especially at the Gtech Community Stadium. Their approach revolves around utilising Bryan Mbeumo’s agility and Yoane Wissa’s pace. However, defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in their 3-0 loss to Liverpool, highlighting a need for greater solidity at the back.

Arsenal’s Approach: Arteta’s Arsenal has shown a blend of attacking flair and defensive resilience. Despite recent away game struggles, their overall form has been impressive. The absence of Gabriel Jesus poses a challenge, but Bukayo Saka’s form and the potential return of Martin Ødegaard could provide the necessary attacking impetus.


18+ New customers only. Opt in, and bet £10 on football markets (odds 2.00+). No cash out. Get 6x£5 football free bets at specified odds for set markets, which expire after 7 days. Offer valid from 12:00 UK Time on 25/08/2023. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply, see below. | | Please gamble responsibly. #Ad. 18+Only,

Key Player Match-Ups

The game could pivot on individual duels, such as Brentford’s Mbeumo against Arsenal’s defensive line, and the midfield battle between Christian Nørgaard and Declan Rice.

Managerial Impact

Arteta’s ability to adapt his game plan on the road will be crucial, while Frank needs to address Brentford’s defensive lapses to match their attacking output.

Predicted Gameplay Dynamics

Expect Arsenal to dominate possession, probing Brentford’s defence, while the Bees might rely on counterattacks. The game could be decided in the midfield, where ball control and transition play will be key.

Areas of Improvement

For Brentford, enhancing defensive coordination is crucial. Arsenal, meanwhile, need to translate their home form to away fixtures and manage game tempo better.

Pro and Cons of Team Strategies

Brentford’s attacking flair is commendable but their defence is a concern. Arsenal’s balanced play is a strength, but their away form and potential over-reliance on certain players could be problematic.

A Tactical and Player Performance Analysis

As Arsenal gears up to face Brentford, the matchup presents a fascinating contrast in styles, shaped significantly by the distinct philosophies of Mikel Arteta and Thomas Frank. This encounter is not just a test of tactics but also a showcase of key players who could tip the balance.

Offensive and Defensive Dynamics

Arsenal, under Arteta’s meticulous guidance, has evolved into a side that cherishes possession and relies on the intricate interplay between technically adept players. The likes of Bukayo Saka and Martin Ødegaard have become the fulcrums of Arsenal’s attack, blending creativity with pace. Saka, in particular, has been a revelation, tearing down defences with his dribbling and sharp crosses. Defensively, the Gunners have shored up their ranks with William Saliba emerging as a bedrock in defence. However, their Achilles heel has been dealing with counter-attacks, especially in away fixtures, where they’ve shown a tendency to be caught off guard.

Brentford, under Frank, contrasts this with a more direct and robust approach. They don’t shy away from physical confrontations, making the most of set-pieces and aerial duels. Bryan Mbeumo’s adaptability in the absence of Ivan Toney has been commendable, but it’s their defensive strategy that often raises questions. Their experimentation with a five-man defence against Liverpool didn’t yield the desired results, highlighting a potential area of vulnerability that Arsenal could exploit.

Impact of Management

Arteta’s Arsenal is a reflection of his strategic acumen, marked by high pressing and a focus on youthful exuberance. This approach has rejuvenated Arsenal, but Arteta’s occasional tactical rigidity, especially in adapting to the game’s flow, is a concern.

Thomas Frank’s Brentford, meanwhile, punches above its weight, challenging bigger teams with a mix of grit and tactical flexibility. Frank’s ability to get the best out of a limited squad is admirable, but his team often lacks the tactical sophistication to outwit more versatile opponents.

Expected Goals and Tactical Comparison

In terms of expected goals (xG), Arsenal’s efficiency in front of goal is evident, with their xG aligning closely with actual goals scored. Brentford, while creating ample chances, often fails to convert them, reflecting in a lower xG.

Tactically, the two sides present a study in contrast. Arsenal’s fluid, high-tempo game is a stark contrast to Brentford’s more pragmatic, physical style. This divergence extends to player performances as well, with Arsenal players excelling in a possession-based system, while Brentford’s squad thrives in a more combative environment.

Areas for Improvement

For Arsenal, shoring up their defensive structure to counter fast breaks and maintaining consistency in away games are areas needing immediate attention. Brentford, on the other hand, needs to work on their defensive concentration and develop a more varied attacking play beyond relying on physicality and set-pieces.

Strengths, Weaknesses, and Our Takes

The strength of Arsenal lies in their cohesive and dynamic attacking play, but their predictability and vulnerability in away games are glaring weaknesses. Brentford’s strength in physicality and set-pieces is commendable, but their lack of tactical flexibility can be their undoing.

In a somewhat controversial take, one might argue that while Arteta’s structured approach has brought Arsenal success, it sometimes lacks the tactical flexibility that Frank shows. This rigidity, particularly in adapting to the game’s flow, could be Arsenal’s undoing in crucial matches.

Our Predictions

  1. Win-Draw-Win Market – Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score:
    • Rationale: Arsenal, despite their recent away form woes, possess a potent attacking line led by the likes of Bukayo Saka and Martin Ødegaard. Brentford, on the other hand, have shown consistent goal-scoring form at home, making it likely that they’ll find the net. However, Arsenal’s overall quality, especially in midfield control and creative play, should see them clinch a victory, albeit with Brentford also scoring.
  2. Correct Score Prediction – Brentford 1 – 2 Arsenal:
    • Rationale: This prediction stems from Arsenal’s attacking prowess, capable of breaching Brentford’s defence, and Brentford’s capability to exploit Arsenal’s occasional defensive lapses, especially in away games. A close match is anticipated, with Arsenal’s quality giving them the edge.
  3. Goalscorer Prediction – Bukayo Saka to Score Anytime:
    • Rationale: Saka’s current form and role in Arsenal’s attack make him a likely candidate to score. His pace, dribbling, and shooting abilities, coupled with Brentford’s defensive vulnerabilities, enhance the probability of him finding the net.
  4. Corner Prediction – Arsenal to Have More Corners:
    • Rationale: Arsenal’s style of play, involving wide attacks and frequent crosses, typically results in a higher number of corner opportunities. Their dominance in possession and attacking pressure are likely to corner Brentford into defensive positions.
  5. Total Corners – Over 9.5 Corners in the Game:
    • Rationale: Both teams’ attacking approaches and tendencies to shoot from range suggest a game rich in corner opportunities. Arsenal’s attacking thrust and Brentford’s counter-attacks add to the likelihood of numerous corners.
  6. Shot on Target Prediction – Bryan Mbeumo to Have 1 or More Shots on Target:
    • Rationale: As Brentford’s main attacking threat in Toney’s absence, Mbeumo is expected to be at the forefront of their offensive endeavours. His agility and willingness to take shots increase the likelihood of him testing Arsenal’s goalkeeper.
  7. Yellow Card Prediction – Christian Nørgaard to Get a Yellow Card:
    • Rationale: Nørgaard, known for his robust style in midfield, might struggle against Arsenal’s dynamic and technically skilled midfielders. This could lead to tactical fouls and a resultant booking.
  8. Assist Prediction – Martin Ødegaard to Provide an Assist:
    • Rationale: Ødegaard’s creative midfield role, characterised by key passes and vision, places him in a prime position to set up goals. His ability to find spaces and deliver precise passes makes him a strong candidate for an assist.




£10 Returns £38

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Top UK Bookies & Best Sign Up Offers 

Open Account Offer – Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365.

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and  T&Cs apply. #Ad. 18+Only,

18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 at odds 2.00+ within 7 days, no cashout. Get 6x £5 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. 7 day bonus expiry. Debit Card / Apple Pay payments only. #AD T&C’s Apply. 18+ | BeGambleAware | #Ad | #Ad. 18+Only,

#AD 18+ New customers only. Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus if first sports bet loses. Wagering requirements: sportsbook 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), casino 50x. Unless forfeited the sportsbook bonus must be wagered before using the casino bonus. Bonus expires 7 days after opt-in. Visit for full T&C's.

Subscribe To Our Newsletter For Exclusive Tips

Want to have exclusive tips from experts tipsters delivered right into your inbox? Subscribe Now To Our Newsletter. We will never spam, we fully respect your privacy!

Previous articleSheffield United vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions
Next articleWest Bromwich Albion vs Ipswich Predictions
Tyler Morris
Sports writer and analyst Tyler Morris has more than eight years of experience writing about a range of sports. He has considerable knowledge of football, and he has also covered US sports extensively, offering in-depth comments and analysis on the most recent events in these sports. Tyler is a respected specialist in the field since he utilises his knowledge to provide incisive analysis and opinion on the most recent sports events with a track record of successful tips.