Brazil vs Paraguay Predictions

Brazil vs Paraguay Predictions for this World Cup qualifier. Brazil, fourth in CONMEBOL qualifying with 22 points, boast strong home form (W5-D1-L1) but leak goals, conceding in five of seven games, with modest scoring averages excluding Bolivia’s 5–1 loss. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

World Cup Qualifying | June 11 2025 at 1:45 am UK at Neo Quimica Arena

Brazil vs Paraguay Predictions

Could Brazil’s Fortress Be Breached Again or Will Paraguay’s Defence Crumble?
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  • Paraguay’s Defence Travels Well: They’ve conceded only six goals in seven away matches, with five of those games seeing fewer than three goals.
  • Brazil’s Home Games Rarely Explode: Just three of Brazil’s seven home qualifiers have gone over 2.5 goals—and one was heavily influenced by a lopsided result against Bolivia.
  • Cagey Head-to-Head History: In five of the last six clashes between Brazil and Paraguay, at least one side has failed to score, pointing to another tight affair.

Best Bet for Brazil vs Paraguay  

Under 2.5 Goals
3/4 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Brazil’s creative struggles and Paraguay’s defensive solidity make a low-scoring match extremely likely. Both sides are cautious, and history supports this pick—under 2.5 goals looks the value play.

The iconic Neo Química Arena sets the stage for another chapter in South America’s most intriguing qualifying campaign. Brazil, once the intimidating steamroller of this region, now find themselves under scrutiny. Fourth in the standings, with 22 points collected from 15 outings, the hosts are under no illusions: their place at the 2026 World Cup might be safe, but their aura of dominance is fraying at the edges. With just one win in their last five and whispers swirling about their lack of attacking rhythm, there’s more on the line than just three points.

On the other side of the equation, Paraguay come in with momentum but a mixed bag of contradictions. Unbeaten in nine? Yes. Yet winless on the road? Also true. Their 24 points and third-place position underline a squad that have developed a knack for avoiding defeat, but not necessarily for stealing the show. Their away form paints a cautious picture, but recent 2-2 draws suggest they’ve started finding their voice in unfamiliar territory.

Tactically, this one feels set to simmer rather than boil over. Brazil will want to dictate, Paraguay will aim to frustrate—and somewhere in the chaos, someone might just nick it.

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Best Bet for Brazil vs Paraguay: Under 2.5 Goals

After reviewing every stat, scrutinising patterns, and, yes, even imagining the rain pouring in São Paulo, we’ve found a tip that fits this match better than a tailored suit. Under 2.5 Goals is our top and only recommendation for this clash. Here at BettingTips4You.com, we don’t chuck ten options at you like darts at a board. One match, one tip, full conviction. That means clearer decision-making, less second-guessing, and greater transparency about what we’re backing.


Why This is the Most Sensible Call for a Tense Encounter

Let’s start with Brazil. Despite playing in front of their fans, they’ve not exactly been handing out thrashings. Of their seven home games in this qualifying run, only three have seen more than two goals scored. Even that figure is a bit deceiving—skewed by a 5-1 hammering of Bolivia that’s doing some heavy lifting in the average goals tally. Strip that out, and what you’re left with is a team that’s struggled to be clinical while remaining vulnerable at the back—conceding in five home outings.

Now bring Paraguay into this. They’ve been the masters of doing just enough. Their defence is the stingiest in the group—only nine goals conceded from 15 matches, eight clean sheets in the process. That’s not just solid, it’s borderline boring in the most effective way. Paraguay’s games tend to resemble chess matches rather than street fights. And even though they’ve recently drawn 2-2 in their last two away trips, before that, they’d failed to score in five straight on the road. Their progress in front of goal has been cautious, not explosive.

Add to this the conservative nature of recent head-to-head clashes between these two. In five of the last six meetings, at least one team has failed to find the net. That sort of trend doesn’t just happen—it reflects a rivalry that tilts toward tactical caution more than goal-fests.

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“This feels like one of those games where the midfield battle steals the spotlight and the scoreboard stays quiet.”
BettingTips4You.com expert quote – Gerard Gabasa

With Brazil low on confidence and Paraguay allergic to chaos, everything is pointing toward a match where the first goal—if it comes—might just be the only one.

Predicted Scoreline: Brazil 1-1 Paraguay
Brazil have struggled to put teams away, and Paraguay have mastered the art of survival. A share of the spoils, with one goal apiece, looks very much on the cards.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.