Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen predictions for Friday’s Bundesliga clash at Signal-Iduna-Park. Borussia Dortmund anticipates securing their fifth consecutive Bundesliga victory as they welcome Werder Bremen on Friday night. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.
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Match Live Friday, 20th October at 7:30 pm In:
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Predictions
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A Clash of Intentions: Dortmund’s Prowess vs Bremen’s Desperation
Key Stats
– Bremen, despite their challenges, have scored in each of their last five league games.
– Marco Reus leads Dortmund’s charge with a stellar 7.62 rating, asserting his indispensable role.
When Friday night’s lights illuminate Westfalenstadion, Borussia Dortmund are poised to chase their fifth consecutive Bundesliga triumph, while Werder Bremen will be desperately seeking a reprieve from their slump.
A Contrast of Fortunes:
Dortmund, having initially dropped valuable points against potential relegation battlers like VfL Bochum and Heidenheim, have roared back to contention, neck-and-neck with giants like Bayern Munich. Their resilience manifested in convincing victories against formidable sides like Freiburg, Wolfsburg, Hoffenheim, and Union Berlin. However, the Champions League painted a different picture: a loss to Paris Saint-Germain and a stalemate against AC Milan.
Werder Bremen’s narrative contrasts starkly. A once-promising start following their 2022 promotion has now spiralled into despair, with a string of losses tarnishing their record. The heavy 4-2 losses to newcomers Heidenheim and SV Darmstadt 98 particularly highlight their fragility. Yet, there’s a silver lining: their offensive prowess remains intact. They’ve managed to net twice or more in their past five league fixtures.
Tactical Analysis:
The Dortmund Dominance:
Dortmund’s possession-heavy game is evident with a whopping 60.7% ball retention. They excel in ball distribution, especially in opposition territory, with 215 accurate passes at a 74.7% rate. Moreover, with an average BettingTips4You Expert Rating of 7.04, they rank 4th out of 18 teams.
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Notable standouts include Marco Reus and Mats Hummels. Reus, with a commendable 7.62 rating, has been Dortmund’s talisman, leading the goal tally alongside Donyell Malen.
Bremen’s Battle:
With an average rating of 6.84, Bremen ranks 10th. Their playstyle contrasts Dortmund’s. Possessing the ball only 48.1% of the time, they tend to be more direct. Olivier Deman and Justin Njinmah have been their shining lights, with respective ratings of 7.27 and 7.26.
Their defensive frailties, however, are glaring. With a mere one clean sheet and conceding at an alarming rate of 2.4 goals per game, they’re under immense pressure, especially considering potential absences of stalwarts like Stark and Pieper.
The Battle Ground:
The midfield will likely be the battleground. The duel between Marco Reus and Romano Schmid could prove pivotal. While Dortmund will seek control, Bremen might exploit the counters, particularly given their nine fast breaks this season.
In-Depth Scrutiny:
Bremen must bolster their defence. The consistent leakage of goals is unsustainable for top-flight survival. Dortmund, while dominant domestically, need to translate this form to European nights.
The tactical nous of both managers, Edin Terzic and Ole Werner, will be under the spotlight. While Terzic has masterfully steered Dortmund back to title contention, a sharper focus on European success is crucial. Werner, on the other hand, faces criticism. His inability to tighten Bremen’s defence is glaring and demands immediate attention.
Expert Predictions:
1. Match Outcome: Borussia Dortmund Victory Borussia Dortmund are poised at a pivotal juncture in their season. Riding the momentum from four consecutive Bundesliga victories, they face a Werder Bremen side that have struggled to find their feet. Whilst Dortmund have been steadily climbing the league table, Bremen have been grappling with their form, especially away from home.
Bremen’s recent heavy 4-2 defeats against teams like newly-promoted Heidenheim and SV Darmstadt 98 do not inspire much confidence ahead of their fixture at Westfalenstadion. Moreover, Dortmund’s track record against teams of Bremen’s current calibre this season has been commendable. With the likes of Marco Reus and Donyell Malen firing on all cylinders, combined with Bremen’s defensive vulnerabilities, it seems the scales tip heavily in favour of a Dortmund victory.
2. Correct Score: 3-1 in favour of Borussia Dortmund When considering a correct score prediction, it’s pertinent to reflect on the goal-scoring patterns of both teams. Dortmund have exhibited an offensive prowess, netting an average of over 2 goals a game this season. Given Bremen’s defensive frailties, conceding an average of over 2 goals a match, it seems likely that Dortmund could notch up a couple in this fixture. However, Werder Bremen, even amidst their struggles, have showcased an ability to score.
The fact that they’ve managed to score two or more goals in each of their last five league games indicates they have the firepower to breach Dortmund’s defence. A 3-1 scoreline in favour of Dortmund seems a reasonable prediction, balancing Dortmund’s attacking strength with Bremen’s propensity to find the back of the net.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: Niclas Füllkrug There’s a narrative that often weaves its way into football fixtures – the tale of a player facing his former club. Niclas Füllkrug’s recent transfer to Dortmund from Bremen creates a tantalising subplot for this match. The striker has opened his account for Dortmund already, scoring in their recent match against Union Berlin.
Considering Dortmund’s attacking style, spearheaded by playmakers like Marco Reus, it’s highly plausible Füllkrug will receive ample service upfront. Given Bremen’s defensive concerns and Füllkrug’s potential motivation against his former employers, he emerges as a strong candidate to score.
4. First Half Result: Borussia Dortmund Leading Borussia Dortmund have a pattern of starting matches assertively. Their confidence from the string of wins, combined with the backing of their home fans at Westfalenstadion, will likely see them take the initiative early on. Werder Bremen’s record, particularly in away fixtures, suggests they might be on the back foot initially, trying to fend off Dortmund’s advances.
Given the attacking assets at Dortmund’s disposal and Bremen’s defensive woes, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the home side take a lead before the interval. Thus, a prediction of Dortmund leading at half-time aligns well with the patterns both teams have exhibited this season.
The club’s only solace this season seems to stem from their home record. Amassing all their League Two points at Prenton Park, the home crowd plays a pivotal role in bolstering the team’s spirit. Yet, the modest 10-point haul from 13 outings leaves them hanging precariously in 21st position, barely ahead of Forest Green Rovers on goal difference.
Doncaster Rovers: Aiming for Consistency
In stark contrast, Doncaster Rovers are riding high after a morale-boosting victory over Sutton United. This triumph, the team’s most resounding win in over a year, offers a glimpse of the promise and potential they hold for the 2023-24 season. Yet, consistency remains a thorn in their side. Their poor away record is particularly glaring; apart from basement-dwellers Sutton and Tranmere, no team has collected fewer away points this season.
However, the visitors bring a few sparks in their arsenal. Luke Molyneux, in his fresh role as a right wing-back, has been instrumental in the squad, setting up crucial plays with his three assists this season. While the team sits 19th in the League Two table, the supporters remain hopeful that the winter months will bring a change in fortunes.
Key Duels & Strategy
The impending absence of Davies and McGee from the Tranmere side means Adkins will need to reshuffle his deck, with Murphy poised to fill the goalkeeping void. While Doncaster’s injury woes are a concern, particularly with Rowe’s arm injury and the uncertainty around Close’s availability, their back three comprising Bailey, Anderson, and Olowu should hold the fort.
The midfield battle, especially between Tranmere’s Connor Jennings and Doncaster’s Zain Westbrooke, will be crucial. Jennings’ contributions from the midfield have been pivotal for Tranmere, and Westbrooke’s goal-scoring prowess adds another dimension to the contest.
Both teams’ managers display distinct qualities. Nigel Adkins, with his experience from Southampton and Hull City, possesses a tactical depth, though his recent decisions might be under scrutiny. On the other side, Grant McCann has shown resilience and ambition, although consistency remains his major challenge.
Predictions
- Outcome Prediction: Considering both teams’ form and performance metrics, a draw seems the most likely outcome. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities but also have players capable of finding the net.
- Scoreline Prediction: Given the attacking talent on display and recent form, a 2-2 draw seems a plausible scoreline.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Joe Ironside for Doncaster and Connor Jennings for Tranmere are the players to watch out for. Their recent form and contributions to their respective sides make them the most likely candidates to get on the score sheet.
- Corner Prediction: Tranmere, with an average of 5.1 corners per match, are likely to edge Doncaster in this aspect. An aggregate of 10 corners for the match seems a reasonable estimation.
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