Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Predictions

Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz predictions for this Champions League fixture. Nuri Sahin’s Borussia Dortmund aim to recover from their heavy loss to Real Madrid as they host Sturm Graz at Signal Iduna Park on Tuesday. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Champions League | League Stage | Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK at Signal-Iduna-Park

Borussia Dortmund vs Sturm Graz Predictions

Can Dortmund’s Attack Overwhelm Sturm Graz’s Leaky Defence?

• Home Fortress: Dortmund have won their last nine games at Signal Iduna Park, scoring at least two goals in each of those victories.
• Prolific Guirassy: Serhou Guirassy is expected to spearhead the attack, looking to add to his Champions League tally against a defence that has conceded in eight of their last away games.
• Sturm Graz’s European Struggles: The Austrian champions have lost their last ten Champions League fixtures, highlighting the uphill battle they face.

Our Tips

Anticipation is building as Borussia Dortmund prepare to host Sturm Graz at the Signal Iduna Park this Tuesday in a crucial Champions League fixture. After a shocking 5-2 defeat to Real Madrid in their previous European outing—a match where Dortmund astonishingly squandered a 2-0 lead—the German side is desperate to restore pride and momentum. With six points from three games, they sit 11th in the Champions League table, while their Austrian opponents languish in 32nd place without a single point. The stakes couldn’t be higher for both teams, and the atmosphere promises to be electric.

Best Bet: Borussia Dortmund -2 to Win

Backing Borussia Dortmund with a -2 handicap seems a wise choice, considering the dynamics at play. Firstly, Dortmund have been a force to reckon with at home. They’ve secured victories in their last nine matches at the Signal Iduna Park, losing just two of their previous 20 home games. This fortress-like form is a testament to their dominance on home soil, where they often overwhelm opponents with relentless attacking football.

Despite recent struggles—including a humiliating exit from the DFB-Pokal at the hands of Wolfsburg and a shaky run that saw them lose four out of six matches—Dortmund showed signs of resurgence in their 2-1 victory over RB Leipzig. This wasn’t just any win; they became the first domestic team to topple Leipzig this season. Nuri Sahin praised his squad for delivering their best performance yet, especially given the injury woes plaguing the team.

On the flip side, Sturm Graz have been woeful in the Champions League. They’ve lost all three of their matches so far and are currently enduring a ten-game losing streak in the competition. Their away record is equally dismal, with seven losses and two draws in their last nine European fixtures on the road. While they might be sitting atop the Austrian Bundesliga, the gulf in class between domestic and European competition is evident.

Given Dortmund’s potent attack, even without key players like Karim Adeyemi and Giovanni Reyna, they have the firepower to dismantle Sturm Graz’s defence. Serhou Guirassy is expected to lead the line, supported by the likes of Jamie Bynoe-Gittens and Cole Campbell. Their ability to create and convert chances should see them not just win, but do so convincingly.

As our expert Wolfgang Shotten from BettingTips4You.com puts it:

“Dortmund at home are a different beast altogether. Despite injury setbacks, their depth and quality should see them cruise past Sturm Graz. Backing them with a -2 handicap offers both value and insight into how this match is likely to unfold.”

Considering all these factors, it’s hard to see anything other than a dominant Dortmund victory. The combination of their home form, attacking prowess, and the visitors’ poor European record makes the -2 handicap an enticing proposition.

Correct Score Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 4-1 Sturm Graz

Predicting a 4-1 scoreline aligns well with the expected flow of the game. Dortmund have been prolific at home, scoring 21 goals in their six matches at the Signal Iduna Park this season. They’ve managed to net four or more goals in three of their last six home games, showcasing their ability to rack up the scoreline against lesser opposition.

However, Dortmund’s defensive frailties cannot be ignored. They’ve conceded in each of their last five home matches, and with a makeshift backline due to injuries to key defenders like Julian Ryerson and Niklas Sule, it’s plausible that Sturm Graz could snatch a goal. The Austrian side averages more than two goals per game in their domestic league, and while the Champions League is a different kettle of fish, they have the potential to capitalise on any lapses.

Therefore, a 4-1 result reflects Dortmund’s dominance while acknowledging their defensive vulnerabilities—a high-scoring affair that leaves fans entertained.

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